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103 Kitchings St
B Composite 71.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

103 Kitchings St · Wichita Falls, TX 76301
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 16 Days on market
Built 1997 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the cottage house! This has been an Airbnb on a leased lot, but now it is available for sale, and you get to keep all of the wonderful contents in the home. These include the washer, dryer, refrigerator, beds, living and dining room furniture. .. you even get to keep the forks and spoons!! It is a 2-bedroom, 2-bath home with 1216 sq feet. All you need to do is move in. Call for a showing today!

Key facts

  • Built 1997
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story
  • Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Metal roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.1% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,301 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.54%
Cap rate
22.10%
Cash-on-cash
56.46%
DSCR
3.51
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.8%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$25,203
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
56.3%
Equity multiple
7.27×
Total profit
$70,013
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76301

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,014 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1901 Wenonah Ave Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 946 $1,000 $1.06 43d 1 0.55mi
504 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $895 $1.22 43d 6 0.67mi
1515 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,225 $1.35 43d 1 0.68mi
2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,100 $0.98 43d 1 0.77mi
1507 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,050 $0.80 43d 1 0.82mi
2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1104 $895 $0.81 43d 1 0.83mi
2204 Tilden St Unit A Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $930 $1.07 43d 1 0.87mi
1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,364 $1.25 43d 1 0.91mi
1301 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.96mi
2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,050 $1.01 43d 1 0.99mi
2007 10th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 744 $750 $1.01 43d 1 1.04mi
1916 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1226 $1,050 $0.86 43d 1 1.11mi
3706 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1100 $1,188 $1.08 43d 13 1.14mi
2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 910 $800 $0.88 43d 1 1.20mi
2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 43d 1 1.20mi
1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,175 $1.29 43d 1 1.20mi
1821 9th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $795 $0.66 43d 1 1.22mi
2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,390 $1.28 43d 1 1.24mi
1810 7th St Unit 1/2 Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 806 $775 $0.96 43d 1 1.28mi
1824 Collins Ave Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 43d 1 1.30mi
2812 Avenue R Unit R Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1044 $925 $0.89 43d 1 1.31mi
1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1452 $850 $0.59 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $39,900 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 409-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $39,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,172
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$997
− Repairs & maintenance
−$974
− Management
−$974
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$5,233
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,256
After-tax cash flow
$4,254/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It's move-in ready and has a good resale and rental potential.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean and organize interior — Creates a more inviting and professional appearance, which can increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean and organize interior — Creates a more inviting and professional appearance, which can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,479
Household income
$41,947
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
577.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 22%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.89%
Current HPI
135.1511
Rent YoY
▲ 5.27%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $39,900 WFAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…