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115 Hollywood Trl Unit A79
D+ Composite 49.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$122,000

115 Hollywood Trl Unit A79 · Norwood, NC 27306
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 432 sqft · SingleFamily · 288 Days on market
Built 1987 2,178 sqft lot Est $115k · 6% over $43/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this unique unit here in the park. This a 2 bedroom, 2 1/2 baths unit with a fabulous outdoor kitchen setup and a second sleeping/bathroom space. Included in the outdoor kitchen - Blackstone Gas Griddle, Blackstone Prep Area, covered with elec and fan. Move over to the covered bar side and you have 4 stools, a beverage refrigerator, Microwave, Ninja Foodie Grill, Panini Maker, Oster French Door Oven. Power and a TV are already there. There is a covered swing, fenced yard for the pets and a pet washing station. Inside is a great living room freshly painted with new flooring. Most furnishing to remain. U shaped couch makes a comfortable queen bed. The kitchen has an ice maker, gre

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Covered bar side
  • Dog washing station

Tags

OUTDOOR KITCHEN SETUPBLACKSTONE GAS GRIDDLECOVERED BAR SIDEBEVERAGE REFRIGERATORDOG WASHING STATIONFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lake access includes public beach, community boat ramp and community boat slips; Located on a privately maintained gravel/paved road; Zoned RV
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with annual fee of $520; Community amenities: lake access, outdoor pool, picnic area, playground, recreation area, street lights, walking trails

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: County water; County sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-family residence; One level; Entry facing the community (unit in gated community)
  • Construction: Wood construction; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Outdoor kitchen; Fenced yard (wood)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Wall furnace; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Bar fridge
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Norwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#410 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Montgomery County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #143 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 138 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.02%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,912
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Hide A Way Trl 0.01mi 2/1.0 470 (+9%) 3mo $77,500 $165 76
201 Deer Park Rd 0.20mi 1/1.0 (-1) 408 (-6%) 6mo $90,000 $221 66
104 Oak Trl 0.37mi 1/1.0 (-1) 450 (+4%) 7mo $55,000 $122 59
103 Holly Harbor Trl Unit 348A 0.31mi 1/1.0 (-1) 400 (-7%) 5mo $150,000 $375 58
111/113 Shawnee Trl Unit D140/141 0.41mi 1/1.0 (-1) 420 (-3%) 9mo $165,000 $393 58
108 Sailors Ct Unit 108 B 0.22mi 1/1.0 (-1) 396 (-8%) 9mo $123,563 $312 57
286 Lake Tillery Trl 0.59mi 2/1.0 456 (+6%) 2mo $100,000 $219 55
110 Shawnee Trl 0.41mi 1/1.0 (-1) 402 (-7%) 8mo $125,000 $311 51
149 Deer Park Rd Unit D26/27 0.41mi 2/1.0 374 (-13%) 2mo $105,000 $281 51
135 Muskhogean Way 0.39mi 1/1.0 (-1) 380 (-12%) 2mo $81,500 $214 49
140 Landlubber Trl Unit H73 0.33mi 2/1.0 376 (-13%) 10mo $100,000 $266 49
146 Larboard Trl 0.27mi 1/1.0 (-1) 484 (+12%) 11mo $79,000 $163 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,509
Equity at exit
$29,812
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$18,550
Equity at exit
$31,615

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27306

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax est. 1.5%
$152 /mo · $1,830/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$43
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,122
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$43 · $516/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,000 Active 288 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,000 Active 287 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,000 Active 286 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,000 Active 285 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $122,000 Active 283 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,000 Active 282 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $122,000 Active 280 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $122,000 Active 279 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $126,000 Active 278 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $126,000 Active 277 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $126,000 Active 274 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $126,000 Active 273 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $126,000 Active 272 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $126,000 Active 271 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $126,000 Active 270 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $126,000 Active 269 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    price $126,000
  18. 2025-09-03
    listed $129,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,199
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$1,830
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,216
− Management
−$1,216
− HOA
−$516
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable loss
−$572
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$137
After-tax cash flow
$1,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Schools
NCES district ID
3703060
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$34,706
Composite
25.97/100
National rank
#7328
State rank
#143 of 178 in NC

Livability — Norwood

Score
63/100
State rank
#410
US rank
#15485

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,457

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,533 people
By 2030
25,724 · -3.0%
By 2040
23,842 · -10.1%
By 2050
22,077 · -16.8%
By 2075
18,754 · -29.3%
By 2100
15,537 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 5% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.8% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -11.0pp · 2024: -37.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.8 2020: R+31.8 2016: R+25.9 2012: R+15.2 2008: R+11.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.94%
Current HPI
334.2599
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $126,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $129,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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