1309 W Plum St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this stunning home where space, comfort, and modern design come together perfectly. From the moment you walk in, you will notice the vaulted ceilings that instantly open up the home and give it a bright, airy feel. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a huge primary bedroom that truly stands out, offering plenty of space to relax and unwind. The attached bathroom includes a garden tub, creating a perfect spot to recharge after a long day. The layout of the home flows naturally into the living room, making it ideal for everyday living or hosting. Ceiling fans in both the living room and primary bedroom add comfort and efficiency year-round. Every detail in this home was designed with convenience and comfort in mind, making it completely move-in ready and easy to enjoy from day one. Located in a well-maintained community, residents also enjoy access to amenities such as a pool, playground, and clubhouse, adding even more value to the lifestyle here. Homes like this do not stay available long. Schedule your showing today and see everything this home has to offer before it is gone.
Key facts
- Access to amenities
- Attached bathroom
- Living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.50%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,500
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 89.26%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1407 W Commodore Blvd #194 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (0%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $55 | 87 |
| 1021 Gordon Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-3%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $44 | 87 |
| 1407 W Commodore Blvd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+6%) | 1mo | $49,000 | $43 | 86 |
| 1015 Gordon Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (0%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $55 | 76 |
| 1206 W Plum St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+6%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $52 | 71 |
| 1800 SW 11th St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+12%) | 5mo | $41,000 | $34 | 64 |
| 1427 W Arlington Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+12%) | 14mo | $50,000 | $41 | 61 |
| 1925 Last Rd #219 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-7%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $60 | 61 |
| 1021 W Peach St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (-15%) | 16mo | $44,000 | $48 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $21,254
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $62,097
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68522
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,517 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1309 W Plum St #73 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,679 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1915 SW 12th St Unit 128 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,429 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 705 Folsom Ln Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1173 | $2,105 | $1.79 | 13d | 16 | 0.53mi |
| 1101 W C St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $1,385 | $1.33 | 13d | 9 | 0.64mi |
| 2960 S Coddington Ave Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,419 | $1.78 | 13d | 10 | 0.68mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 6 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $975 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 8 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $950 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 4 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $975 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 760 W C St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,419 | $1.39 | 13d | 8 | 0.81mi |
| 1170 SW 27th St Lincoln, NE | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,349 | $1.32 | 13d | 12 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$91,900 Active 1109-char remark
Show marketing remark (1109 chars)
Welcome to this stunning home where space, comfort, and modern design come together perfectly. From the moment you walk in, you will notice the vaulted ceilings that instantly open up the home and give it a bright, airy feel. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a huge primary bedroom that truly stands out, offering plenty of space to relax and unwind. The attached bathroom includes a garden tub, creating a perfect spot to recharge after a long day. The layout of the home flows naturally into the living room, making it ideal for everyday living or hosting. Ceiling fans in both the living room and primary bedroom add comfort and efficiency year-round. Every detail in this home was designed with convenience and comfort in mind, making it completely move-in ready and easy to enjoy from day one. Located in a well-maintained community, residents also enjoy access to amenities such as a pool, playground, and clubhouse, adding even more value to the lifestyle here. Homes like this do not stay available long. Schedule your showing today and see everything this home has to offer before it is gone.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,199
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,456
- − Management
- −$1,456
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $5,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,401
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Lincoln, NE, is in good condition with minor repairs needed. It offers a bright, airy feel with vaulted ceilings and a well-maintained interior. The highest-ROI updates include fresh paint and deep cleaning to enhance its curb appeal and functionality.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathtub and shower area — Need cleaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Deep clean kitchen cabinets — Clean cabinets improve functionality and appearance
- Both Deep clean bathtub and shower area — Clean shower area enhances functionality and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathtub and shower area · Need cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Deep clean kitchen cabinets — Clean cabinets improve functionality and appearance ↑
- Both Deep clean bathtub and shower area — Clean shower area enhances functionality and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,836
- Household income
- $77,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 366.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.49%
- Current HPI
- 247.8809
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.38%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $91,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…