3804 Gail Blvd · West Melbourne, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover comfortable, carefree 55+ living nestled in the desirable Hollywood Estates—a land-owned manufactured home community with no lot rent. Enjoy a low-maintenance lifestyle with access to a community pool, active clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and regular social events. City water, sewer, and public-maintained roads add to the convenience. Ideally located just minutes from I-95, Melbourne Square Mall, and the Atlantic beaches, with shopping, dining, and public transit close by. A low $124/month HOA makes this an exceptional value in a friendly, well-connected neighborhood.
Key facts
- Active clubhouse
- Shuffleboard courts
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA with a $125 monthly fee; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Faces southwest; Single-story (manufactured home)
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac / dead-end street; Wooded lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Furnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#73 in FL, #1,214 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: commute D+, amenities F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Meadowlane Primary Elementary School (650 students, 47% FRL); Central Middle School (math 50% / reading 48%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 1,127 students, 53% FRL); Melbourne Senior High School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #175 of 667 statewide, top 27%, 2,249 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $135k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.26%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,432
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $26,225
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32904
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 304
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,815 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $403/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$125
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $512
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $588 | -5% $550 | +0% $512 | +5% $474 | +10% $435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $368 | -5% $440 | +0% $512 | +5% $583 | +10% $655 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $580 | -0.5pp $546 | base $512 | +0.5pp $477 | +1.0pp $441 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 Jennifer Cir Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 828 | $1,600 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3020 Mary St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $2,095 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4850 Sutton Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 760 John Adams Ln Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 49 Piney Branch Way Unit A Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1288 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 135 NW Shannon Ave West Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 126 San Paulo Cir Unit 1-126 Melbourne, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,275 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 127 San Paulo Cir Unit 1-127 Melbourne, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,300 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 164 San Paulo Ct Unit 5-164 Melbourne, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,300 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 101 San Paulo Cir Unit 14-101 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 223 San Paulo Cir Unit 8-223 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 356 Vesta Cir Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,900 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 300 Amherst Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $2,050 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 212 Dubber Rd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4850 Heritage Lakes BLVD West Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1018 | $2,070 | $2.03 | 15d | 119 | 1.19mi |
| 2900 Vassar St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,925 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 309 Rutgers Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 300 Rutgers Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,850 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 21 Rosevere Way Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1921 Park Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,775 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 208 Seminole Ave W Unit 1 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,900 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $125 · $1,500/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewerpool
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-03status $134,900 Pending 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active Under Contract 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active Under Contract 153 DOM
-
2026-05-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-28$134,900 Active
-
2025-12-25historical 591-char remark
Show marketing remark (591 chars)
Discover comfortable, carefree 55+ living nestled in the desirable Hollywood Estates—a land-owned manufactured home community with no lot rent. Enjoy a low-maintenance lifestyle with access to a community pool, active clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and regular social events. City water, sewer, and public-maintained roads add to the convenience. Ideally located just minutes from I-95, Melbourne Square Mall, and the Atlantic beaches, with shopping, dining, and public transit close by. A low $124/month HOA makes this an exceptional value in a friendly, well-connected neighborhood.
-
2025-11-25price $139,000 591-char remark
Show marketing remark (591 chars)
Discover comfortable, carefree 55+ living nestled in the desirable Hollywood Estates—a land-owned manufactured home community with no lot rent. Enjoy a low-maintenance lifestyle with access to a community pool, active clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and regular social events. City water, sewer, and public-maintained roads add to the convenience. Ideally located just minutes from I-95, Melbourne Square Mall, and the Atlantic beaches, with shopping, dining, and public transit close by. A low $124/month HOA makes this an exceptional value in a friendly, well-connected neighborhood.
-
2025-07-14$155,000 Active 591-char remark
Show marketing remark (591 chars)
Discover comfortable, carefree 55+ living nestled in the desirable Hollywood Estates—a land-owned manufactured home community with no lot rent. Enjoy a low-maintenance lifestyle with access to a community pool, active clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, and regular social events. City water, sewer, and public-maintained roads add to the convenience. Ideally located just minutes from I-95, Melbourne Square Mall, and the Atlantic beaches, with shopping, dining, and public transit close by. A low $124/month HOA makes this an exceptional value in a friendly, well-connected neighborhood.
-
2013-01-23soldstatus $39,000 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
2 Bedroom 2 Bath 1100 Sq Ft. of living space in 55+ Community. Screened porch, vaulted ceilings, walk in closet, large storage shed and carport. Great location. Priced to sell!
-
2012-02-17$42,900 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
2 Bedroom 2 Bath 1100 Sq Ft. of living space in 55+ Community. Screened porch, vaulted ceilings, walk in closet, large storage shed and carport. Great location. Priced to sell!
-
1986-04-01soldstatus $10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $403 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$716/yr (+$60/mo · 177.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$403
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,743
- − Management
- −$1,743
- − HOA
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $4,238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Melbourne
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #1214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Melbourne, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,241
- Household income
- $90,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 597.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.98%
- Current HPI
- 304.2546
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.32%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1184.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $134,900 SCMLS
- 2025-12-25 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $139,000 SCMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $155,000 SCMLS
- 2013-01-23 Sold (MLS) $39,000 SCMLS
- 2012-02-17 Listed $42,900 SCMLS
- 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $403 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…