1111 S River St · Franklin, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this adorable corner lot house, with a full finished attic that makes up the 4th bedroom plus some flex space, detached garage and a cellar basement with a work shop room, perfect for a small family to really make it your own! Being sold as is, If interested please email mrs. [email protected]
Key facts
- Cellar basement
- Work shop room
- Full finished attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-232 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (27.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (35.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.6% in Franklin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#396 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities D-.
- Franklin City (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #332 of 656 in OH (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.63%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 S River St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,097 (-0%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $41 | 92 |
| 7189 Shaker Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,142 (+4%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $144 | 69 |
| 1007 S River St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-14%) | 6mo | $153,600 | $163 | 67 |
| 912 S Main St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,052 (-4%) | 15mo | $91,000 | $87 | 65 |
| 1007 Thirkield Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-13%) | 17mo | $147,000 | $153 | 60 |
| 7293 Ellenridge Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+2%) | 10mo | $184,000 | $164 | 59 |
| 821 Union Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+4%) | 13mo | $170,000 | $149 | 57 |
| 218 Roberts Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+10%) | 2mo | $88,000 | $72 | 53 |
| 7282 Mentz Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (-12%) | 15mo | $100,000 | $103 | 49 |
| 631 S River St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+11%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $159 | 44 |
| 752 Tibbals Ln | 0.37mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,264 (+15%) | 10mo | $203,900 | $161 | 42 |
| 7215 Ellenridge Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-13%) | 16mo | $207,000 | $216 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-37,899
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-47,060
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45005
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $972 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,813/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $-232
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-147 | -5% $-190 | +0% $-232 | +5% $-274 | +10% $-317 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-309 | -5% $-270 | +0% $-232 | +5% $-194 | +10% $-155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-156 | -0.5pp $-194 | base $-232 | +0.5pp $-271 | +1.0pp $-310 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 S Main St Franklin, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 219 Maxwell St Apt C Franklin, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,500 | $3.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 223 Maxwell St Unit B Franklin, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 223 Maxwell St Unit C Franklin, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,813 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,077 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$263/yr (+$22/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,813
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$934
- − Management
- −$934
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$5,527
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin City
- NCES district ID
- 3904400
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,983
- Composite
- 48.89/100
- National rank
- #2081
- State rank
- #332 of 656 in OH
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #396
- US rank
- #6546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, OH
- County
- Warren County · 196,906 people
- City population
- 32,251
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,251
- Household income
- $75,399
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 811.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.03%
- Current HPI
- 235.1612
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.20%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $150,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,813 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…