🏷️ Likely Rental
6120 Avenue R · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.05%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 6120 Ave R — a strong opportunity for both investors and buyers looking for value in an established Lubbock neighborhood. This property is currently tenant-occupied and generating $1,250/month in rental income, which is above typical rent for the area—offering immediate cash flow from day one. Even more attractive, it's priced at approximately 77% of its estimated market value, giving you built-in equity and long-term upside. Situated in the Bayless Atkins area, this home benefits from its central location with easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways. It's a consistent rental pocket with steady demand, making it a reliable choice for investors. For
Key facts
- 7,830 sq ft lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Built with unknown construction materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Publicly maintained road; City street frontage; No notable exterior features listed; Composition roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.02%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,670
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -28.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,590
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $28,350
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79412
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,145 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,205/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $320 | -5% $293 | +0% $266 | +5% $240 | +10% $213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $176 | -5% $221 | +0% $266 | +5% $312 | +10% $357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $314 | -0.5pp $291 | base $266 | +0.5pp $242 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6518 Avenue S Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $700 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 6130 Avenue P Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1341 65th Dr Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $695 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1923 67th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,525 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7006 Avenue S Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1307 61st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1618 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1614 58th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1612 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1610 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1927 71st St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $1,600 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1921 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2105 South Loop 289 Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1816 75th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2113 South Loop 289 Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $900 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2113 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $849 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1923 76th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $1,699 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2128 74th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1132 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7304 Avenue W Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $999 | $0.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2401 73rd St Unit 14 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $800 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1940 77th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,500 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7404 W Avenue Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $825 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2101 51st St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5512 Avenue G Unit G Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7406 Waco Ave Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1831 | $750 | $0.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5614 Avenue A Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1129 | $695 | $0.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1805 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,375 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1625 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $1,650 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2726 68th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1606 82nd St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $1,580 | $1.87 | 14d | 16 | 1.04mi |
| 2707 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1115 80th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1113 80th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8108 Sherman Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1512 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1508 82nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $750 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2725 63rd St Unit FS Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $1,599 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1118 82nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1116 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1112 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$95,000 Active 1039-char remark
-
2025-12-02price $95,000
-
2024-06-05historical $1,250
-
2024-04-16$1,250
-
2011-06-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,205 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$533/yr (+$44/mo · 44.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,205
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,099
- − Management
- −$1,099
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,777
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$426
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,018
- Household income
- $48,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 676.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 25% White 25% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 32% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.95%
- Current HPI
- 188.4033
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.87%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+7500.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $95,000 LARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $95,000 LARMLS
- 2024-06-05 Rental Removed $1,250 BUILDIUM
- 2024-04-16 Listed for Rent $1,250 BUILDIUM
- 2011-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,205 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…