139 Kenmore Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SOLID OLDER HOME IN NEED OF MINOR UPDATES AND IMPROVEMENTS. POSSESSION AT CLOSE.
Key facts
- 3,200 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1927
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $719 of equity ($345 loan paydown + $374 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $50k implies a 323% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.42%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,649
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -29.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Kenmore Ave | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 753 (0%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $53 | 95 |
| 2319 Dana St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+5%) | 1mo | $25,400 | $32 | 85 |
| 2375 Airline Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 755 (+0%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $93 | 85 |
| 2309 Dunham St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (+7%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $112 | 84 |
| 513 Federman St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (-4%) | 13mo | $84,900 | $117 | 70 |
| 769 Colima Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+2%) | 2mo | $107,500 | $140 | 63 |
| 230 Somerset St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $87 | 53 |
| 732 Colima Dr | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 829 (+10%) | 2mo | $126,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 142 Whiting Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-8%) | 10mo | $10,000 | $14 | 49 |
| 1830 Finch St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (+8%) | 14mo | $52,100 | $64 | 49 |
| 634 Woodsdale Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 682 (-9%) | 12mo | $53,000 | $78 | 41 |
| 620 Durango Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 12mo | $53,000 | $61 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $33,332
- Equity at exit
- $16,387
- IRR
- 48.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $97,207
- Equity at exit
- $21,285
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,032 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,163/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $436
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1123 | $1,478 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 307 Danberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $950 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 581 Colima Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2820 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $704 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2820 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $679 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2820 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $679 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 707 Toronto Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $900 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 538 Nicholas St Unit B Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1133 Parkside Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 932 Turner Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3349 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 791 | $885 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3406 Gibraltar Heights Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 678 | $919 | $1.35 | 14d | 14 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
SOLID OLDER HOME IN NEED OF MINOR UPDATES AND IMPROVEMENTS. POSSESSION AT CLOSE.
-
2026-03-18$49,900 Active 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
SOLID OLDER HOME IN NEED OF MINOR UPDATES AND IMPROVEMENTS. POSSESSION AT CLOSE.
-
2025-10-14price $11,800 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD #412-639319 SOLD AS-IS. FHA FINANCING UI (Uninsured) / 203K ELIGIBLE. TWO (2) BED BASEMENT RANCH w/LARGE LIVING ROOM w/CEILING FAN; SPACIOUS NEWER KITCHEN; DECK; 1.5 CAR GARAGE; and BASEMENT FOUNDATION. *Note: KEYS CANNOT BE PROVIDED AT CLOSING (House Must Be Re-Keyed). UTILITIES MUST BE PUT IN BUYER'S NAME FOR ANY INSPECTIONS BUYER CHOOSES TO HAVE COMPLETED.
-
2025-10-09price $27,500
-
2015-12-21soldstatus $11,800 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD #412-639319 SOLD AS-IS. FHA FINANCING UI (Uninsured) / 203K ELIGIBLE. TWO (2) BED BASEMENT RANCH w/LARGE LIVING ROOM w/CEILING FAN; SPACIOUS NEWER KITCHEN; DECK; 1.5 CAR GARAGE; and BASEMENT FOUNDATION. *Note: KEYS CANNOT BE PROVIDED AT CLOSING (House Must Be Re-Keyed). UTILITIES MUST BE PUT IN BUYER'S NAME FOR ANY INSPECTIONS BUYER CHOOSES TO HAVE COMPLETED.
-
2015-11-26price $12,800 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD #412-639319 SOLD AS-IS. FHA FINANCING UI (Uninsured) / 203K ELIGIBLE. TWO (2) BED BASEMENT RANCH w/LARGE LIVING ROOM w/CEILING FAN; SPACIOUS NEWER KITCHEN; DECK; 1.5 CAR GARAGE; and BASEMENT FOUNDATION. *Note: KEYS CANNOT BE PROVIDED AT CLOSING (House Must Be Re-Keyed). UTILITIES MUST BE PUT IN BUYER'S NAME FOR ANY INSPECTIONS BUYER CHOOSES TO HAVE COMPLETED.
-
2015-07-10$12,800 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD #412-639319 SOLD AS-IS. FHA FINANCING UI (Uninsured) / 203K ELIGIBLE. TWO (2) BED BASEMENT RANCH w/LARGE LIVING ROOM w/CEILING FAN; SPACIOUS NEWER KITCHEN; DECK; 1.5 CAR GARAGE; and BASEMENT FOUNDATION. *Note: KEYS CANNOT BE PROVIDED AT CLOSING (House Must Be Re-Keyed). UTILITIES MUST BE PUT IN BUYER'S NAME FOR ANY INSPECTIONS BUYER CHOOSES TO HAVE COMPLETED.
-
2007-02-20soldstatus $27,500
-
2007-01-08$29,900
-
2007-01-05historical
-
2006-10-05$32,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,163 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,163 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,163
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$990
- − Management
- −$990
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $4,740
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,138
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+51.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $49,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $11,800 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $27,500 NORIS
- 2015-12-21 Sold (MLS) $11,800 NORIS
- 2015-11-26 Price Changed $12,800 NORIS
- 2015-07-10 Listed $12,800 NORIS
- 2007-02-20 Sold (MLS) $27,500 NORIS
- 2007-01-08 Listed $29,900 NORIS
- 2007-01-05 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-10-05 Listed $32,900 NORIS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,163 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…