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888 W Country Ln
C+ Composite 61.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

888 W Country Ln · Collinsville, IL 62234
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,044 sqft · SingleFamily · 18 Days on market
Built 1997 0.68 ac lot Est $253k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

VACATION AT HOME IN THIS GORGEOUS SECLUDED RANCH STYLE HOME ON .68 ACRE COMPLETE WITH IN-GROUND POOL! WALK IN TO THE VAULTED LIVING ROOM, THEN TAKE A LOOK AT THE KITCHEN THAT WAS UPDATED IN 2013 WITH TILE BACKSPLASH & NEW COUNTER-TOPS. FRESH PAINT IN WARM COLORS THROUGH MOST OF HOME! LOWER LEVEL HAS COMPLETELY FINISHED WALKOUT BASEMENT WITH BONUS ROOM BEING USED AS 2ND MASTER SUITE(HAS WALK IN CLOSET), RECREATION ROOM, FAMILY ROOM, 4TH BEDROOM, AND FULL BATHROOM WITH JACUZZI TUB. WALK OUT TO YOUR DREAM BACKYARD WITH 16 X 32 INGROUND POOL AND SLIDE. AMPLE CONCRETE SPACE FOR POOLSIDE PARTIES! LARGE YARD IS FULLY FENCED WITH PLENTY OF ROOM BEYOND THE POOL. 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY PROVIDED TO NEW BUYERS! 50 GALLON WATER HEATER JUST ADDED! MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TO VIEW THIS ONE TODAY!

Key facts

  • Large den
  • Walk-in closet
  • Ranch-style home

Tags

RANCH-STYLE HOMEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE FULL BATHROOMFULLY FINISHED BASEMENTLARGE DEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property owned by government (ownership type); Above-grade finished area recorded as 1,244; Below-grade finished area recorded as 800; Total living area recorded as 2,044; Lot approximately 0.68 acres (dimensions ~122.26 x 234.80)
  • Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 22 x 21)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Natural gas available; Electric service (other)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Patio; Back yard; In-ground pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (3 on the main level, 1 on the lower level)
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on main level, 1 in lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement with a bathroom; Basement included
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.0% in Collinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#491 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Collinsville CUSD 10 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #465 of 620 in IL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Collinsville High School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #427 of 693 statewide, top 62%, 1,978 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,050 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$253,456
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
301 Johann Dr 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,129 (+4%) 19mo $205,000 $96 56
15 Kyle Dr 0.17mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,800 (-12%) 12mo $315,000 $175 55
136 Kingsbury Ct 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,002 (-2%) 6mo $159,900 $80 54
1980 N Keebler Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 1,860 (-9%) 20mo $229,900 $124 50
4 Lexington Ct 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,023 (-1%) 13mo $204,900 $101 49
206 Chapel Dr 0.73mi 4/2.5 2,127 (+4%) 13mo $269,000 $126 46
106 Bridle Ridge Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,193 (+7%) 2mo $269,000 $123 46
2005 Golfview Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,878 (-8%) 4mo $265,000 $141 44
37 Pat Dr 0.70mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,960 (-4%) 17mo $249,900 $128 41
1301 Lexington Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,090 (+2%) 14mo $192,500 $92 39
410 Camelot Dr 0.55mi 4/2.5 2,272 (+11%) 20mo $285,000 $125 37
2 Chapel Ct 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,797 (-12%) 2mo $208,000 $116 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-9,088
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$8,532
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62234

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,712 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$435 /mo · $5,215/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,482
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $219 +0% $182 +5% $146 +10% $109
Rent -10% $47 -5% $115 +0% $182 +5% $250 +10% $318
Rate -1.0pp $248 -0.5pp $215 base $182 +0.5pp $149 +1.0pp $114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  2. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-03-02
    listed $130,000 Active
  5. 2014-09-10
    soldstatus 791-char remark
    Show marketing remark (791 chars)

    VACATION AT HOME IN THIS GORGEOUS SECLUDED RANCH STYLE HOME ON .68 ACRE COMPLETE WITH IN-GROUND POOL! WALK IN TO THE VAULTED LIVING ROOM, THEN TAKE A LOOK AT THE KITCHEN THAT WAS UPDATED IN 2013 WITH TILE BACKSPLASH & NEW COUNTER-TOPS. FRESH PAINT IN WARM COLORS THROUGH MOST OF HOME! LOWER LEVEL HAS COMPLETELY FINISHED WALKOUT BASEMENT WITH BONUS ROOM BEING USED AS 2ND MASTER SUITE(HAS WALK IN CLOSET), RECREATION ROOM, FAMILY ROOM, 4TH BEDROOM, AND FULL BATHROOM WITH JACUZZI TUB. WALK OUT TO YOUR DREAM BACKYARD WITH 16 X 32 INGROUND POOL AND SLIDE. AMPLE CONCRETE SPACE FOR POOLSIDE PARTIES! LARGE YARD IS FULLY FENCED WITH PLENTY OF ROOM BEYOND THE POOL. 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY PROVIDED TO NEW BUYERS! 50 GALLON WATER HEATER JUST ADDED! MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TO VIEW THIS ONE TODAY!

  6. 2013-12-03
    listed $200,000 791-char remark
    Show marketing remark (791 chars)

    VACATION AT HOME IN THIS GORGEOUS SECLUDED RANCH STYLE HOME ON .68 ACRE COMPLETE WITH IN-GROUND POOL! WALK IN TO THE VAULTED LIVING ROOM, THEN TAKE A LOOK AT THE KITCHEN THAT WAS UPDATED IN 2013 WITH TILE BACKSPLASH & NEW COUNTER-TOPS. FRESH PAINT IN WARM COLORS THROUGH MOST OF HOME! LOWER LEVEL HAS COMPLETELY FINISHED WALKOUT BASEMENT WITH BONUS ROOM BEING USED AS 2ND MASTER SUITE(HAS WALK IN CLOSET), RECREATION ROOM, FAMILY ROOM, 4TH BEDROOM, AND FULL BATHROOM WITH JACUZZI TUB. WALK OUT TO YOUR DREAM BACKYARD WITH 16 X 32 INGROUND POOL AND SLIDE. AMPLE CONCRETE SPACE FOR POOLSIDE PARTIES! LARGE YARD IS FULLY FENCED WITH PLENTY OF ROOM BEYOND THE POOL. 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY PROVIDED TO NEW BUYERS! 50 GALLON WATER HEATER JUST ADDED! MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TO VIEW THIS ONE TODAY!

  7. 2006-10-10
    soldstatus $177,000
  8. 2000-11-16
    soldstatus $115,000
  9. 1998-03-25
    soldstatus $96,000
  10. 1997-02-26
    soldstatus $70,000
  11. 1989-07-31
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,215 · $435/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,215 · $435/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,549
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$5,215
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,644
− Management
−$1,644
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$332
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$80
After-tax cash flow
$2,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collinsville CUSD 10
NCES district ID
1710650
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,504
Composite
15.65/100
National rank
#9288
State rank
#465 of 620 in IL

Livability — Collinsville

Score
67/100
State rank
#491
US rank
#10221

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
31,648
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
31,648
Household income
$69,607
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
801.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.21%
Current HPI
223.6438
Rent YoY
▲ 3.10%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1200.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-10 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-03 Listed $200,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $177,000 Public Records
  • 2000-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1998-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 1997-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1989-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,215 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…