5537 Co-12 Unit 1-D · La Veta, CO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 1 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This lower level condo is a great investment, needs some TLC but is priced accordingly. 2 bedroom 1 bath, great mountain views and river frontage common area.
Key facts
- Ground level condo
- Built 1983
- Listed 62 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in Fort Condos
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Stream on the property; Paved road access; Highway frontage; Pets allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedrooms and living areas combined)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Washer; Dryer; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Tile flooring; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.0% in La Veta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#198 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities D.
- La Veta School District Re-2 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #105 of 176 in CO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Huerfano County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Huerfano County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $145k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.92%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-33,848
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-42,113
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81055
- Home prices YoY
- -16.8%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,523 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $948/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$470
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $-166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-04-29status Active
-
2026-04-29price $145,000
-
2025-12-12$155,000 Active
-
2025-06-19$155,000 Active
-
2020-07-20soldstatus $85,000 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
This lower level condo is a great investment, needs some TLC but is priced accordingly. 2 bedroom 1 bath, great mountain views and river frontage common area.
-
2020-07-20soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
This lower level condo is a great investment, needs some TLC but is priced accordingly. 2 bedroom 1 bath, great mountain views and river frontage common area.
-
2020-07-20soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
This lower level condo is a great investment, needs some TLC but is priced accordingly. 2 bedroom 1 bath, great mountain views and river frontage common area.
-
2020-06-18$85,000 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
This lower level condo is a great investment, needs some TLC but is priced accordingly. 2 bedroom 1 bath, great mountain views and river frontage common area.
-
2020-06-18$85,000
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
This lower level condo is a great investment, needs some TLC but is priced accordingly. 2 bedroom 1 bath, great mountain views and river frontage common area.
-
2004-02-16soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 1 d/yr ≥85°F today · 3 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$948
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,462
- − Management
- −$1,462
- − HOA
- −$5,640
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$4,299
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $-966/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Veta School District Re-2
- NCES district ID
- 0805160
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,702
- Composite
- 28.61/100
- National rank
- #12044
- State rank
- #105 of 176 in CO
Livability — La Veta
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #16099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Veta, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,582
Population outlook (Huerfano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,963 people
- By 2030
- 5,550 · -6.9%
- By 2040
- 4,598 · -22.9%
- By 2050
- 3,849 · -35.5%
- By 2075
- 2,906 · -51.3%
- By 2100
- 2,156 · -63.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Huerfano
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.3% · R 52.9% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: 11.2pp · 2024: -8.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.6 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+7.8 2008: D+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.60%
- Current HPI
- 186.2383
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+314.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — SPMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $145,000 SPMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $155,000 SPMLS
- 2025-06-19 Listed $155,000 SPMLS
- 2020-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-20 Sold (MLS) $85,000 PARMLS
- 2020-07-20 Sold (MLS) $85,000 SPMLS
- 2020-06-18 Listed $85,000 PARMLS
- 2020-06-18 Listed $85,000 SPMLS
- 2004-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $948 · +131.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…