8320 Riverside Dr #101 · Cleveland, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the waterfront community of Lazy Lagoon in Punta Gorda! This charming custom site-built home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms +versatile den. Enjoy the relaxed coastal lifestyle with community amenities just steps away—fish from the community-owned dock on Shell Creek or unwind beneath the shade of majestic live oaks in the beautifully maintained waterfront park adjacent to your deck. The open-concept living and kitchen area features a spacious layout filled with natural light and coastal charm. The kitchen showcases a functional U-shaped design with abundant counter space and eye-catching turquoise cabinetry.
Key facts
- Community-owned dock
- Waterfront community
- Turquoise cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-299 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (34.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.4% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#574 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 1455 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.37%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,500
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -7.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134 Lazy Lagoon Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 852 (+11%) | 16mo | $24,500 | $29 | 66 |
| 3024 Sunny Harbor Dr | 1.07mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+9%) | 0mo | $134,000 | $160 | 49 |
| 3110 Coquina Esplanade | 1.12mi | 2/1.5 | 768 (0%) | 18mo | $60,000 | $78 | 48 |
| 3204 Bayside Pkwy | 1.01mi | 2/2.0 | 832 (+8%) | 7mo | $134,500 | $162 | 46 |
| 3206 Coquina Esplanade | 1.11mi | 2/1.5 | 736 (-4%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $82 | 40 |
| 30184 Balsam Blvd | 1.04mi | 2/2.0 | 832 (+8%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $258 | 35 |
| 5302 Swaying Palm Dr | 1.43mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 672 (-12%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $223 | 34 |
| 3313 Bayside Pkwy | 1.03mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+25%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $141 | 34 |
| 3410 Bayside Pkwy | 1.00mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-12%) | 14mo | $25,000 | $37 | 28 |
| 30087 Alder Rd | 1.17mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-12%) | 15mo | $189,000 | $281 | 28 |
| 5147 Palangos Dr | 1.30mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+19%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $291 | 28 |
| 3058 Maplewood Rd | 1.01mi | 2/1.5 | 912 (+19%) | 19mo | $150,000 | $164 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-37,144
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -25.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-47,852
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active
- Median asking
- $99,900 ($128/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 169 d
- This list price
- 83% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +36.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33982
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 1455
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,521 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$210
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $-299
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-213 | -5% $-256 | +0% $-299 | +5% $-342 | +10% $-385 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-419 | -5% $-359 | +0% $-299 | +5% $-239 | +10% $-179 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-236 | -0.5pp $-267 | base $-299 | +0.5pp $-332 | +1.0pp $-364 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2921 Wilson Ave Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,800 | $2.16 | 109d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8025 Roy Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,850 | $2.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8025 Roy Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,850 | $2.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3000 Coquina Esplanade Punta Gorda, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,450 | $2.52 | 116d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions: US-41 South, Left on Olympia Ave, Left on Riverside Dr, follow signs in the park to lot 101 on 6th St in the back.
- Financial info
- Total monthly fees $210; total annual fees $2,520Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- Monthly association fee $210 (includes management, maintenance of grounds, private road, sewer, water, trash, recreational facilities, escrow reserves fund)Association approval requiredAssociation managed by Gateway ManagementCommunity features: clubhouse, community mailbox, deed restrictions, golf carts allowed, special community restrictionsSenior communityNo pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Covered parkingDriveway parkingGround-level parking1-car carport
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity available and connectedWater available and connectedSewer available and connectedCable available
- Home design
- Manufactured single-wide homeOne-level entryFaces south
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingMetal roofRoof overCrawlspace foundationBuilt as a manufactured home
- Exterior features
- Covered deck/porch and rear porchPorchDeckCovered patio/porch areasHurricane shuttersExterior lightingRain guttersShade shuttersSliding doorsLandscaped lot with mature landscaping and treesPrivate lotPaved road with private maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeRange hoodRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Laminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral airMini-split unit(s)
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansCrown moldingHigh ceilingsOpen floorplan with living/dining room combo
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryer hookup (electric)Inside laundryTankless water heater
HOA detail $210/mo · $2,520/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $125,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $125,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $125,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $125,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $125,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $125,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $125,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $125,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $125,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $125,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $125,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $125,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $125,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $125,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $125,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $125,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $125,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $125,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $125,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $125,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $125,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $125,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricedays on market $125,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$5,744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,460
- − Management
- −$1,460
- − HOA
- −$2,520
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$5,449
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,308
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This waterfront home in Lazy Lagoon offers a good condition with a good rehab level, minimal repairs needed, and several updates that would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Improves air circulation and aesthetics ↑
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — Enhances aesthetics and durability ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Refreshes the space and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #10905
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleveland, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 198,646 people
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,006
- Household income
- $72,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 42% of renters
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.25%
- Current HPI
- 448.5895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $142,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…