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1210 Grand Central Ave
B+ Composite 79.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$99,000

1210 Grand Central Ave · Elmira, NY 14901
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,128 sqft · Townhouse public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1920 8,310 sqft lot $32/sqft · at area comps Est $101k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious income producing property currently generating $2,000 a month. Boasting high ceilings with over 3,100 square feet!! Features newer and separate hot water tanks, separate gas AND electric meters, and 3 beds and a full bath on each side. A vinyl-sided garage, matching the home, is located at the rear of the property and is accessible via a private alleyway. Ideally situated near Wegmans, with close proximity to Arnot Art Museum, Downtown Elmira, Arnot Ogden Medical Center, and the Steele Memorial Library.

Key facts

  • Private alleyway
  • Vinyl-sided garage
  • High ceilings

Tags

HIGH CEILINGSSEPARATE HOT WATER TANKSVINYL-SIDED GARAGEPRIVATE ALLEYWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Operating expense details: see remarks
  • Financial info: Both units are month-to-month tenancy; Unit rents listed: one unit at $800, the other at $1,200; Tenants pay all utilities

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; On-street parking; Multiple parking spaces available
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Multifamily property with 2 total units; Resale condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Existing (not new) construction
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot (approx. 53 x 156)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit kitchens include oven/range and refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen in each unit; Formal dining room in each unit
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies by area
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms total (unit breakdown: one unit with 2 full baths, one unit with 1 full bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $99k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
14.30%
Cash-on-cash
28.61%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,250
List price
$99,000
Delta
-2.22%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
156 W Washington Ave 0.62mi 6/2.0 3,233 (+3%) 4mo $130,000 $40 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
4.47×
Total profit
$96,060
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
39.9%
Equity multiple
10.02×
Total profit
$249,896
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14901

Home prices YoY
15.9%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,763 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,058/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$661

Break-even live

Break-even rent $927
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 517-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $99,000 Active 517-char remark
  3. 2008-10-29
    historical
  4. 2008-04-29
    listed $49,900
  5. 2007-09-13
    historical
  6. 2007-03-13
    listed $49,900
  7. 2006-09-11
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,058 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,058 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,155
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,058
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,692
− Management
−$1,692
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$6,792
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,630
After-tax cash flow
$6,299/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Elmira

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16139

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elmira, NY
City population
14,276
Population (ZIP)
14,430

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 32.34%
Current HPI
236.2674
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $99,000 UNYREIS
  • 2008-10-29 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2008-04-29 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2007-09-13 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2007-03-13 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2006-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,058 · -11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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