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3783 Travis Blvd
C Composite 59.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

3783 Travis Blvd · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1952 0.39 ac lot $97/sqft · 42% above area Est $49k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home featuring new flooring, fresh paint, updated bathroom, and new cabinets throughout. Roof is newer and the refrigerator remains with the home. Great opportunity for a starter home or investment property. Home does not have central AC.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • New flooring
  • New cabinets

Tags

REMODELED HOMENEW FLOORINGUPDATED BATHROOMNEW CABINETSNEWER ROOFREFRIGERATOR REMAINS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.39-acre lot
  • Financial info: Listing available for Cash or Conventional financing
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); Resale property; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1952; Composition roof; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: No heating system specified; No cooling system specified
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Southfield Elementary School (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #1,158 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 737 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.22%
Cash-on-cash
21.17%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,218
List price
$70,000
Delta
42.22%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3783 Travis Blvd 0.00mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 1mo $55,000 $76 99
1325 Triple Hill Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 700 (-3%) 6mo $82,400 $118 68
3727 Travis Blvd 0.12mi 2/1.0 767 (+6%) 22mo $48,000 $63 65
3986 Spencer Cir 0.22mi 2/1.0 775 (+8%) 22mo $13,700 $18 59
3481 Travis Blvd 0.28mi 2/1.0 768 (+7%) 23mo $50,000 $65 56
1329 Triple Hill Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 672 (-7%) 13mo $55,000 $82 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$8,539
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$39,296
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $501/yr
Insurance
$29
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $639
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $319 -5% $299 +0% $279 +5% $259 +10% $240
Rent -10% $201 -5% $240 +0% $279 +5% $318 +10% $358
Rate -1.0pp $315 -0.5pp $297 base $279 +0.5pp $261 +1.0pp $243

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Under Contract 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Completely remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home featuring new flooring, fresh paint, updated bathroom, and new cabinets throughout. Roof is newer and the refrigerator remains with the home. Great opportunity for a starter home or investment property. Home does not have central AC.

  2. 2026-05-17
    historical Active Under Contract 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Completely remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home featuring new flooring, fresh paint, updated bathroom, and new cabinets throughout. Roof is newer and the refrigerator remains with the home. Great opportunity for a starter home or investment property. Home does not have central AC.

  3. 2026-04-26
    listed $70,000 New 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Completely remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home featuring new flooring, fresh paint, updated bathroom, and new cabinets throughout. Roof is newer and the refrigerator remains with the home. Great opportunity for a starter home or investment property. Home does not have central AC.

  4. 2026-04-26
    listed $70,000 Active 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Completely remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath home featuring new flooring, fresh paint, updated bathroom, and new cabinets throughout. Roof is newer and the refrigerator remains with the home. Great opportunity for a starter home or investment property. Home does not have central AC.

  5. 2020-04-09
    soldstatus $29,000
  6. 2020-04-09
    soldstatus $29,000
  7. 2019-11-19
    listed $32,500
  8. 2019-11-19
    listed $32,500
  9. 2019-11-15
    soldstatus $51,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$501 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$644 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$143/yr (+$12/mo · 28.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,905
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$501
− Insurance
−$1,148
− Repairs & maintenance
−$952
− Management
−$952
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$2,394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$575
After-tax cash flow
$2,777/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $55,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MGMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $70,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $70,000 MGMLS
  • 2020-04-09 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MGMLS
  • 2019-11-19 Listed $32,500 MGMLS
  • 2019-11-19 Listed $32,500 CGMLS
  • 2019-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+19.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $501 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…