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300 N Clinton St
D- Composite 35.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$149,000

300 N Clinton St · Middletown, IL 62666
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,285 sqft · SingleFamily · 117 Days on market
Built 1955 0.88 ac lot Est $104k · 43% over ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perched upon an entire city block (. 88 acre), this spacious wood sided 3-bedroom ranch style home has a lot to offer including a newer 30X40 3+ car detached garage with three 10X10 roll up overhead doors and amazing exterior space to roam! Interior of home offers an inviting foyer, spacious living room with a central fireplace, large updated eat-in kitchen with an exterior access point, three bedrooms -- two with hardwood flooring, large full hall bath, and convenient hall laundry facilities with adjacent mechanicals. Property also features a large front porch/deck, two car attached garage, some vinyl replacement windows, metal roof, large newer storage shed, fenced side yard, and an updat

Key facts

  • Fenced side yard
  • Front porch
  • Water heater

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEUPDATED KITCHENFRONT PORCHSTORAGE SHEDFENCED SIDE YARDWATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage (attached and detached; oversized)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1955
  • Construction: Metal roof; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Shed(s); Replacement windows; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms — all on the main level; Bedroom 1: hardwood flooring, 14' x 11', egress window; Bedroom 2: carpet, 10' x 10', egress window; Bedroom 3: hardwood, 10' x 8', egress window
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted/cathedral/tray ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Living room fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($186/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,088 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • New Holland-Middletown Ed 88 (rural): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #684 of 919 in IL (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: New Holland-Middletown Elem Sch (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,259 of 2,056 statewide, top 62%, 75 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln Comm High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #304 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 786 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Logan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,566 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,085
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
101 S Anson St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+1%) 1mo $62,000 $48 88
603 N Madison St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,230 (-4%) 9mo $100,000 $81 77
306 N Anson St 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-3%) 17mo $114,000 $91 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$18,880
Equity at exit
$66,997
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$65,766
Equity at exit
$103,250

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62666

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,166 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $743/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,146
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $100 -5% $58 +0% $16 +5% $-27 +10% $-69
Rent -10% $-77 -5% $-31 +0% $16 +5% $62 +10% $108
Rate -1.0pp $91 -0.5pp $53 base $16 +0.5pp $-23 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,000 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 105 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,000 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,000 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 97 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 96 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 95 DOM
  18. 2026-04-15
    price $149,000
  19. 2026-03-20
    price $159,000
  20. 2026-02-22
    listed $170,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$743 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,062 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$1,320/yr (+$110/mo · 177.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,988
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$743
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,119
− Management
−$1,119
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$2,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$580
After-tax cash flow
$767/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Holland-Middletown Ed 88
NCES district ID
1700103
Math proficiency
15% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$55,706
Composite
21.68/100
National rank
#13592
State rank
#684 of 919 in IL

Livability — Middletown

Score
58/100
State rank
#1088
US rank
#20717

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Middletown, IL
Population (ZIP)
483

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,066 people
By 2030
27,370 · -2.5%
By 2040
26,078 · -7.1%
By 2050
24,908 · -11.3%
By 2075
22,504 · -19.8%
By 2100
19,226 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.2% · R 69.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.8 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+16.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $149,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $159,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $170,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $743 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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