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37 Sturges St Multi-family
B- Composite 69.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

37 Sturges St · Jamestown, NY 14701
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,136 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1906 6,475 sqft lot $23/sqft · 63% below area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Two-unit multi-family dwelling in the city. Set on a side street, this property is walking distance from the park and the schools. Unit 1 has one bedroom, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Unit 2 has two bedrooms, a living room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Both units have laundry hook-ups. The home has a full basement and a full attic with stair access.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Laundry hook-ups
  • Full attic

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE FROM PARKWALKING DISTANCE FROM SCHOOLSLAUNDRY HOOK-UPSFULL BASEMENTFULL ATTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.9% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.61%
Cap rate
29.87%
Cash-on-cash
84.20%
DSCR
4.75
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,823
List price
$49,900
Delta
-62.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
161 Thayer St 0.17mi 4/2.0 2,133 (-0%) 7mo $100,000 $47 86
245 Fulton St 0.36mi 4/2.0 2,118 (-1%) 2mo $47,000 $22 81
16 Bowen St 0.21mi 4/2.0 2,250 (+5%) 3mo $50,000 $22 79
230 Price St 0.18mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,118 (-1%) 9mo $63,500 $30 78
532 Lakeview Ave 0.28mi 4/2.0 2,332 (+9%) 7mo $65,500 $28 66
211 E 8th St 0.43mi 4/2.0 2,280 (+7%) 4mo $24,000 $11 65
7 Lincoln St 0.42mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,090 (-2%) 10mo $32,000 $15 64
31 Falconer St 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,860 (-13%) 8mo $109,000 $59 62
115 Fulton St 0.45mi 4/2.0 2,380 (+11%) 4mo $30,000 $13 57
7 Valley St 0.66mi 4/2.0 2,054 (-4%) 10mo $67,000 $33 54
1007 N Main St 0.51mi 4/2.0 2,355 (+10%) 8mo $35,000 $15 52
14 Hedges Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 2,000 (-6%) 15mo $58,000 $29 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
84.6%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$54,445
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
87.9%
Equity multiple
10.17×
Total profit
$128,170
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14701

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,801 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,919/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$980

Break-even live

Break-even rent $560
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 41%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $832
1× unit 2 1 $969
Total (2 units) $1,801

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
148 Maple St Jamestown, NY 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,350 $0.95 44d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    historical Active Under Contract 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Two-unit multi-family dwelling in the city. Set on a side street, this property is walking distance from the park and the schools. Unit 1 has one bedroom, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Unit 2 has two bedrooms, a living room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Both units have laundry hook-ups. The home has a full basement and a full attic with stair access.

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Two-unit multi-family dwelling in the city. Set on a side street, this property is walking distance from the park and the schools. Unit 1 has one bedroom, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Unit 2 has two bedrooms, a living room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Both units have laundry hook-ups. The home has a full basement and a full attic with stair access.

  3. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Two-unit multi-family dwelling in the city. Set on a side street, this property is walking distance from the park and the schools. Unit 1 has one bedroom, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Unit 2 has two bedrooms, a living room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Both units have laundry hook-ups. The home has a full basement and a full attic with stair access.

  4. 2026-04-25
    price $49,900 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Two-unit multi-family dwelling in the city. Set on a side street, this property is walking distance from the park and the schools. Unit 1 has one bedroom, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Unit 2 has two bedrooms, a living room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Both units have laundry hook-ups. The home has a full basement and a full attic with stair access.

  5. 2026-03-17
    listed $59,900 Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Two-unit multi-family dwelling in the city. Set on a side street, this property is walking distance from the park and the schools. Unit 1 has one bedroom, a living room, a dining room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Unit 2 has two bedrooms, a living room, a kitchen and a bathroom. Both units have laundry hook-ups. The home has a full basement and a full attic with stair access.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,919 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,919 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,612
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,919
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,729
− Management
−$1,729
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$11,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,817
After-tax cash flow
$8,948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown City School District
NCES district ID
3615630
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,240
Composite
30.69/100
National rank
#6176
State rank
#553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

Score
69/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, NY
County
Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
City population
38,461
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,461
Household income
$49,685
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.93%
Current HPI
259.402
Rent YoY
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-10 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,919 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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