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321 Hidden Ct
D Composite 43.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

321 Hidden Ct · Montevallo, AL 35115
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,868 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2021 0.31 ac lot Est $282k · 6% under $20/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This one story home is MOVE IN READY!! Perfectly placed just minutes from I-65, Montevallo, Alabaster, Calera, and Veterans Park, this location is CONVENIENT and PEACEFUL! ENJOY low maintenance living with your BRAND NEW stove/oven and BRAND NEW dishwasher. The open living space and island give you PLENTY of room to entertain. The large primary bedroom suite will bring you RELAXATION and JOY! Pets and kids can enjoy the flat, fenced yard while friends and family will enjoy the fire pit. All BRAND NEW LVP flooring, carpet, and FRESH PAINT throughout will bring PEACE and COMFORT. There is plenty of room for kids, guests, or an office in the 3 additional bedrooms in the front of the home. With

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2021

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property access via paved public road; Lot size approx. 0.31 acres; Community amenities nearby include fishing, pond, sidewalks, and street lights
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee ($238/year); fees cover management, reserves for improvements, and utilities for common areas; Monthly garbage fee ($30/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with front entry; 2 garage spaces (main level); Driveway parking; Parking on main level
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Underground utilities; Internet available (AT&T / Charter)
  • Home design: Single-family property (existing construction); Subdivision lot (Hidden Forest); Not waterfront; No pool
  • Construction: One-side brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open patio; Garden/patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area with island and pantry; Laminate countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Built-in microwave; Electric oven; Electric stove
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level (total 4 bedrooms listed)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with separate shower and garden tub; Tub/shower combo; Linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: 9-foot-plus smooth ceilings; Recessed lighting
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Pull-down attic access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($284/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.7% in Montevallo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#217 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Montevallo Elementary School (math 29% / reading 49%, grade F, #257 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 749 students, 77% FRL); Montevallo Middle School (math 5% / reading 43%, grade F, #168 of 257 statewide, top 66%, 369 students, 78% FRL); Montevallo High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 506 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 26% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Shelby County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,956 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.38%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$282,068
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
321 Hidden Ct 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,868 (0%) 1mo $270,000 $145 99
220 Hillcrest Dr 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,919 (+3%) 1mo $290,000 $151 82
29 Monte Tierra Trl 0.30mi 4/2.5 1,904 (+2%) 8mo $219,900 $115 74
30 Monte Tierra Trl 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,752 (-6%) 2mo $209,900 $120 73
201 Makena Way 0.68mi 4/2.0 1,911 (+2%) 5mo $310,000 $162 61
301 Vincent St 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,919 (+3%) 8mo $295,000 $154 55
157 Hillcrest Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,664 (-11%) 6mo $211,000 $127 54
2013 Hidden Forest Ln 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,638 (-12%) 2mo $265,000 $162 52
612 Park Forest Ln 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,952 (+4%) 8mo $330,000 $169 52
328 Vincent St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,034 (+9%) 1mo $292,000 $144 50
509 Shelby Farms Way 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,770 (-5%) 10mo $339,900 $192 46
118 Forest Pkwy 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-14%) 5mo $150,000 $94 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-41,529
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-34,605
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35115

Home prices YoY
-19.3%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,090 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,284/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$20
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,060
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $174 -5% $99 +0% $24 +5% $-51 +10% $-126
Rent -10% $-141 -5% $-59 +0% $24 +5% $106 +10% $189
Rate -1.0pp $157 -0.5pp $91 base $24 +0.5pp $-45 +1.0pp $-115

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
328 Hidden Ct Montevallo, AL 4.0 2.0 1726 $1,850 $1.07 3d 1 0.04mi
133 Hidden Trace Ct Montevallo, AL 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,670 $1.17 12d 1 0.14mi
281 Hillcrest Dr Montevallo, AL 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,820 $1.20 45d 1 0.15mi
21 Eddings Ln Alabaster, AL 5.0 2.0 1861 $2,000 $1.07 12d 1 0.17mi
225 Hillcrest Dr Montevallo, AL 3.0 2.0 2050 $4,200 $2.05 3d 1 0.28mi
167 Revolutionary Way Montevallo, AL 4.0 2.0 2030 $2,100 $1.03 4d 1 0.62mi
109 Star View Cir Alabaster, AL 3.0 2.0 1601 $1,675 $1.05 25d 1 1.06mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$20 · $240/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    historical Contingent
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $265,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-20
    historical $265,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,284 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,284 · $107/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,075
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$1,284
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,006
− Management
−$2,006
− HOA
−$240
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$4,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,041
After-tax cash flow
$1,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelby County
NCES district ID
0103030
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$66,672
Composite
39.29/100
National rank
#3995
State rank
#16 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montevallo

Score
62/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#16530

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montevallo, AL
Population (ZIP)
16,911

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
237,024 people
By 2030
249,868 · +5.4%
By 2040
272,778 · +15.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +22.8%
By 2075
326,049 · +37.6%
By 2100
335,870 · +41.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 15% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.55%
Current HPI
207.2205
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $265,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $265,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,284 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…