185 E Valley Point B101 Ln · Kimmel, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$36,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this cozy and charming 1st floor studio nestled within Blue Knob All Seasons Resort. This fully furnished unit offers a convenient location just steps away from the indoor pool, hot tub, gym, & The Club House Bar & Grille. Blue Knob proudly stands as the highest skiable mountain in all of Pennsylvania, promising exhilarating winter adventures. In addition, the resort provides an array of summer activities, including swimming at the outdoor pool, golfing, tennis, pickleball, hiking at Blue Knob State Park, & so much more ensuring year-round enjoyment. With a monthly $290 HOA fee, you gain access to the pools, hot tub, gym, tennis/pickleball courts, as well as building & property maintenance, & garbage removal. Don't hesitate to contact us today for more information about this incredible opportunity!
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Gym
- Club house bar
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $37k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $37k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Claysburg-Kimmel SD (rural): math 37% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #284 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($255 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 498 days — a 12% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 498 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.61%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,752
- List price
- $36,900
- Delta
- -34.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $27,650
- Equity at exit
- $19,132
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $67,004
- Equity at exit
- $31,635
Cash invested: $10,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16625
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$194
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$46 /mo · $554/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$290
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,225
- Closing costs
- $1,107
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $290 · $3,480/yr
- Likely covers
- trashpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $36,900 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $36,900 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $36,900 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $36,900 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $36,900 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $36,900 Active 492 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $36,900 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $36,900 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $36,900 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $36,900 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $36,900 Active 483 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $36,900 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $36,900 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $36,900 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-04-06status Active 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Welcome to this cozy and charming 1st floor studio nestled within Blue Knob All Seasons Resort. This fully furnished unit offers a convenient location just steps away from the indoor pool, hot tub, gym, & The Club House Bar & Grille. Blue Knob proudly stands as the highest skiable mountain in all of Pennsylvania, promising exhilarating winter adventures. In addition, the resort provides an array of summer activities, including swimming at the outdoor pool, golfing, tennis, pickleball, hiking at Blue Knob State Park, & so much more ensuring year-round enjoyment. With a monthly $290 HOA fee, you gain access to the pools, hot tub, gym, tennis/pickleball courts, as well as building & property maintenance, & garbage removal. Don't hesitate to contact us today for more information about this incredible opportunity!
-
2026-03-28historical 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Welcome to this cozy and charming 1st floor studio nestled within Blue Knob All Seasons Resort. This fully furnished unit offers a convenient location just steps away from the indoor pool, hot tub, gym, & The Club House Bar & Grille. Blue Knob proudly stands as the highest skiable mountain in all of Pennsylvania, promising exhilarating winter adventures. In addition, the resort provides an array of summer activities, including swimming at the outdoor pool, golfing, tennis, pickleball, hiking at Blue Knob State Park, & so much more ensuring year-round enjoyment. With a monthly $290 HOA fee, you gain access to the pools, hot tub, gym, tennis/pickleball courts, as well as building & property maintenance, & garbage removal. Don't hesitate to contact us today for more information about this incredible opportunity!
-
2026-02-02price $36,900 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Welcome to this cozy and charming 1st floor studio nestled within Blue Knob All Seasons Resort. This fully furnished unit offers a convenient location just steps away from the indoor pool, hot tub, gym, & The Club House Bar & Grille. Blue Knob proudly stands as the highest skiable mountain in all of Pennsylvania, promising exhilarating winter adventures. In addition, the resort provides an array of summer activities, including swimming at the outdoor pool, golfing, tennis, pickleball, hiking at Blue Knob State Park, & so much more ensuring year-round enjoyment. With a monthly $290 HOA fee, you gain access to the pools, hot tub, gym, tennis/pickleball courts, as well as building & property maintenance, & garbage removal. Don't hesitate to contact us today for more information about this incredible opportunity!
-
2025-12-03price $37,900 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Welcome to this cozy and charming 1st floor studio nestled within Blue Knob All Seasons Resort. This fully furnished unit offers a convenient location just steps away from the indoor pool, hot tub, gym, & The Club House Bar & Grille. Blue Knob proudly stands as the highest skiable mountain in all of Pennsylvania, promising exhilarating winter adventures. In addition, the resort provides an array of summer activities, including swimming at the outdoor pool, golfing, tennis, pickleball, hiking at Blue Knob State Park, & so much more ensuring year-round enjoyment. With a monthly $290 HOA fee, you gain access to the pools, hot tub, gym, tennis/pickleball courts, as well as building & property maintenance, & garbage removal. Don't hesitate to contact us today for more information about this incredible opportunity!
-
2025-11-03price $54,500
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2025-09-05price $39,900 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Welcome to this cozy and charming 1st floor studio nestled within Blue Knob All Seasons Resort. This fully furnished unit offers a convenient location just steps away from the indoor pool, hot tub, gym, & The Club House Bar & Grille. Blue Knob proudly stands as the highest skiable mountain in all of Pennsylvania, promising exhilarating winter adventures. In addition, the resort provides an array of summer activities, including swimming at the outdoor pool, golfing, tennis, pickleball, hiking at Blue Knob State Park, & so much more ensuring year-round enjoyment. With a monthly $290 HOA fee, you gain access to the pools, hot tub, gym, tennis/pickleball courts, as well as building & property maintenance, & garbage removal. Don't hesitate to contact us today for more information about this incredible opportunity!
-
2025-01-27$44,500 Active 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Welcome to this cozy and charming 1st floor studio nestled within Blue Knob All Seasons Resort. This fully furnished unit offers a convenient location just steps away from the indoor pool, hot tub, gym, & The Club House Bar & Grille. Blue Knob proudly stands as the highest skiable mountain in all of Pennsylvania, promising exhilarating winter adventures. In addition, the resort provides an array of summer activities, including swimming at the outdoor pool, golfing, tennis, pickleball, hiking at Blue Knob State Park, & so much more ensuring year-round enjoyment. With a monthly $290 HOA fee, you gain access to the pools, hot tub, gym, tennis/pickleball courts, as well as building & property maintenance, & garbage removal. Don't hesitate to contact us today for more information about this incredible opportunity!
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2024-10-31price $55,000
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2024-08-03price $30,000
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2024-05-20soldstatus $39,000 Closed
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2024-03-08price $42,900
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2024-02-16price $49,900
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2024-01-04status Active
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2023-12-26status Pending
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2023-11-30$54,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 3 d/yr ≥92°F today · 7 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,197
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,067
- − Property taxes
- −$554
- − Insurance
- −$184
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − HOA
- −$3,480
- − Depreciation
- −$1,073
- Taxable income
- $3,727
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$894
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This cozy and charming 1st floor studio is in good condition with minor repairs needed in the kitchen. It offers a convenient location with access to resort amenities, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — Worn and dated appearance
- Minor kitchen countertops — Need cleaning and possibly a fresh coat of paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the property
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · Worn and dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen countertops · Need cleaning and possibly a fresh coat of paint | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the property ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can boost curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Claysburg-Kimmel SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206120
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 37.68/100
- National rank
- #4365
- State rank
- #284 of 539 in PA
Livability — Kimmel
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,551
Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,395 people
- By 2030
- 43,353 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 38,858 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 34,162 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 24,868 · -45.2%
- By 2100
- 16,910 · -62.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bedford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.6) · D 15.4% · R 84.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -68.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.6 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+44.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.20%
- Current HPI
- 122.9552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-32.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — AHARMLS
- 2026-03-28 Delisted — AHARMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $36,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $37,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $54,500 AHARMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $39,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-01-27 Listed $44,500 AHARMLS
- 2024-10-31 Price Changed $55,000 AHARMLS
- 2024-08-03 Price Changed $30,000 AHARMLS
- 2024-05-20 Sold (MLS) $39,000 AHARMLS
- 2024-03-08 Price Changed $42,900 AHARMLS
- 2024-02-16 Price Changed $49,900 AHARMLS
- 2024-01-04 Relisted — AHARMLS
- 2023-12-26 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2023-11-30 Listed $54,900 AHARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…