11-Plex
2901-2921 Columbia St · San Diego, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$3,775,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 11 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Discover a compelling value-add investment opportunity -- 11-unit residential Investment. Property perfectly positioned in the heart of Middletown, one of Metro San Diego's most sought-after and consistently resilient neighborhoods. This is your chance to acquire a property in a sub-market that continues to attract strong renter demand and long-term appreciation potential. RM-2-5 zoned corner lot offers significant upside potential for investors looking to increase current rents and through unit upgrades or explore future development possibilities. The property is well-maintained and functionally sound, providing stable in-place income while an investor executes their value-add strategy. Ke
Key facts
- Unit upgrades
- Triple-pane windows
- Well-maintained
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features listed
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 11 parking spaces; Includes 1 carport
- Home design: Residential income property (Com-Res Income); Zoned RM-2-5
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Landscaped lot
Interior
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Tile and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 11 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $3.77M. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $51/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $3.37M (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $3.37M (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
- San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Grant K-8 (reading 24%, 721 students, 32% FRL); Roosevelt International Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 761 students, 59% FRL); San Diego High (2,105 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $33,734/mo this rent would consume 394% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 2543% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $26k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $113k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.66M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.64%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $4,453,800
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726 Torrance St | 0.69mi | —/— | 8,000 (+3%) | 10mo | $2,650,000 | $331 | 55 |
| 3020 6th Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 7,298 (-6%) | 3mo | $4,200,000 | $576 | 52 |
| 2621-2629 1st Ave | 0.51mi | —/— | 6,870 (-12%) | 6mo | $3,925,000 | $571 | 51 |
| 2920 First Ave | 0.46mi | 5/5.0 | 8,876 (+14%) | 14mo | $4,300,000 | $484 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-634,141
- Equity at exit
- $562,865
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-736,609
- Equity at exit
- $326,393
Cash invested: $1,057,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92103
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 102.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $33,734 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$19,797
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$4,719 /mo · $56,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,573
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$7,084
- Net cashflow
- $562
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,171 | -5% $1,866 | +0% $562 | +5% $-743 | +10% $-2,047 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,103 | -5% $-771 | +0% $562 | +5% $1,894 | +10% $3,227 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,463 | -0.5pp $1,522 | base $562 | +0.5pp $-417 | +1.0pp $-1,412 |
11-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11× units | 2 | — | $33,737 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #5 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #6 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #7 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #8 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #9 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #10 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| #11 | 2 | — | $3,067 |
| Total (11 units) | $33,734 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $943,750
- Closing costs
- $113,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 W Fir St San Diego, CA | 4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 4775 | $9,245 | $1.94 | 3d | 4 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $3,775,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $3,775,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $3,775,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $3,775,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $3,775,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $3,775,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $3,950,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $3,950,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $3,950,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $3,950,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $3,950,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $3,950,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $3,950,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $3,950,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $3,950,000
-
2026-04-22$4,150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $404,808
- − Mortgage interest
- −$211,459
- − Property taxes
- −$56,625
- − Insurance
- −$18,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$32,385
- − Management
- −$32,385
- − Depreciation
- −$109,818
- Taxable loss
- −$56,738
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$13,617
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This 11-unit multi-family property in Middletown, San Diego, is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a solid investment opportunity with potential for value-add improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more renters.
- Rental HVAC system maintenance — Ensures comfort and reduces utility costs for tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more renters. ↑
- Rental HVAC system maintenance — Ensures comfort and reduces utility costs for tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Diego Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634320
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,673
- Composite
- 22.31/100
- National rank
- #8135
- State rank
- #393 of 517 in CA
Livability — San Diego
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #4206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Diego, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 1,397,612
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,836
- Household income
- $102,626
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2543.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -723.82%
- Current HPI
- 256.0844
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.24%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-4.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $3,950,000 SDMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $4,150,000 SDMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…