1 Elizabeth Dr · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained and thoughtfully updated, this three-bedroom, two-bath home offers comfortable living in a scenic Bella Vista setting. Vaulted ceilings in the living and dining areas create an open flow that feels both spacious and welcoming. Each bedroom opens to a balcony, providing easy access to the screened-in back deck overlooking a private, wooded backyard—an inviting space for relaxing, entertaining or enjoying the surrounding natural setting. Recent updates include a new roof, fresh interior paint, new flooring, and a new air handler installed in fall 2024. The crawl space includes a full-size access door with water and electric service and has been treated with a mold preven
Key facts
- New flooring
- Vaulted ceilings
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-135/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (0.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 827 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $149k; list at $295k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.16%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $318,476
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Hanworth Ln | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,588 (+3%) | 10mo | $317,000 | $200 | 74 |
| 1 Brighstone Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-14%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $214 | 72 |
| 7 Rogan Cir | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,477 (-4%) | 12mo | $322,000 | $218 | 72 |
| 6 Basildon Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-2%) | 4mo | $324,900 | $214 | 68 |
| 58 Elizabeth | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,582 (+2%) | 15mo | $326,000 | $206 | 68 |
| 56 Elizabeth Dr | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (-11%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $210 | 65 |
| 8 Adams Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (+8%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $194 | 65 |
| 54 Elizabeth Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+10%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $121 | 63 |
| 14 Adams Ln | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,588 (+3%) | 12mo | $315,000 | $198 | 63 |
| 7 Cummings Ln | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,346 (-13%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $227 | 43 |
| 27 Basildon Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (+12%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $156 | 42 |
| 6 Whitwick Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,726 (+12%) | 12mo | $352,500 | $204 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-48,599
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-43,560
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72715
- Home prices YoY
- -6.6%
- Active inventory
- 827
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,333 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,734/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $-11
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Connie Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,250 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15 Baywater Ln Unit 1221842P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1915 | $5,167 | $2.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9 August Ln Unit 1363327P Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1173 | $3,153 | $2.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $1,900 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2 William Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $1,850 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20 Annette Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4 Kemble Cir Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6 Erith Ln Unit 1512836P Bella Vista, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2077 | $5,027 | $2.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 26 Purfleet Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,575 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $295,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $295,000
-
2026-03-10price $310,000
-
2025-12-19$315,000 Active
-
2025-05-21price $300,000
-
2025-05-07price $310,000
-
2025-01-31price $280,000
-
2025-01-09price $290,000
-
2019-04-15soldstatus $149,400
-
2019-04-10soldstatus $149,400
-
2019-02-04$147,900
-
2017-03-21soldstatus $117,000
-
2017-03-15soldstatus $117,000
-
2017-01-16$117,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,734 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,888 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$154/yr (+$13/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,997
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$1,734
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,240
- − Management
- −$2,240
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$5,278
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,267
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 107.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.53%
- Current HPI
- 304.946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+152.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $295,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $310,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $315,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-05-21 Price Changed $300,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $310,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-01-31 Price Changed $280,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $290,000 NWARMLS
- 2019-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $149,400 Public Records
- 2019-04-10 Sold (MLS) $149,400 NWARMLS
- 2019-02-04 Listed $147,900 NWARMLS
- 2017-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-15 Sold (MLS) $117,000 NWARMLS
- 2017-01-16 Listed $117,000 NWARMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,734 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…