🏗️ New Construction
Everett Plan · Ormond Beach, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.9/30.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,080
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The foyer continues into the open-concept great room, kitchen, and dining room which provide plenty of space for entertaining.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 371 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-717 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (12.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (23.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pine Trail Elementary School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #230 of 2,144 statewide, top 12%, 688 students, 45% FRL); Ormond Beach Middle School (math 57% / reading 55%, grade B-, #175 of 571 statewide, top 31%, 990 students, 48% FRL); Seabreeze High School (math 31% / reading 56%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 1,654 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 1349 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 372 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 372 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.42%
- DSCR
- 0.63
- GRM
- 13.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $364,990
- List price
- $299,080
- Delta
- -18.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179 Parkhaven Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (0%) | 0mo | $299,990 | $191 | 85 |
| 1456 Morning Walk Dr | 1.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (-5%) | 0mo | $319,960 | $214 | 52 |
| 1451 Morning Walk Dr | 1.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,828 (+16%) | 0mo | $364,990 | $200 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-107,860
- Equity at exit
- $54,421
- IRR
- -47.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-164,903
- Equity at exit
- $31,558
Cash invested: $102,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 23 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 138.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $289,995 ($194/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 456 d
- This list price
- 61% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +19.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32174
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 1349
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,285 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,914
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$456 /mo · $5,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $-717
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-465 | -5% $-591 | +0% $-717 | +5% $-843 | +10% $-969 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-898 | -5% $-807 | +0% $-717 | +5% $-627 | +10% $-536 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-533 | -0.5pp $-624 | base $-717 | +0.5pp $-812 | +1.0pp $-908 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,248
- Closing costs
- $10,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Bella Vita Way Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1736 | $2,300 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 12 Bella Vita Way Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1687 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 19 Old Port Cir Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2015 | $2,500 | $1.24 | 41d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $299,080 Active 372 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $299,080 Active 371 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $299,080 Active 370 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $299,080 Active 369 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $299,080 Active 368 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $299,080 Active 367 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $299,080 Active 364 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $299,080 Active 362 DOM
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2026-07-28pricedays on market $299,080 Active 361 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $332,080 Active 359 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $332,080 Active 358 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $332,080 Active 357 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $332,080 Active 356 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $332,080 Active 355 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $332,080 Active 354 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $332,080 Active 349 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $332,080 Active 348 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $332,080 Active 347 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $332,080 Active 346 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $332,080 Active 345 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $332,080 Active 344 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $332,080 Active 343 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $332,080 Active 342 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $332,080 Active 340 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $332,080 Active 339 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $332,080 Active 338 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $332,080 Active 336 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $332,080 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $332,080 Active 333 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $332,080 Active 332 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $332,080 Active 331 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $332,080 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $332,080 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $332,080 Active 327 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $332,080 Active 325 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $332,080 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-18pricedays on market $332,080 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $299,990 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $299,990 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $305,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $305,000 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $305,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-09pricedays on market $305,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $295,225 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $295,225 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $295,225 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $295,225 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $295,225 Active 305 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $295,225 Active 304 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $295,225 Active 303 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,423
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,445
- − Property taxes
- −$5,475
- − Insurance
- −$1,825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,194
- − Management
- −$2,194
- − Depreciation
- −$10,618
- Taxable loss
- −$15,327
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,678
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained interior and exterior. It has a good foundation and structure, and the HVAC system appears to be in good condition. The home is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through minor cosmetic upgrades and smart home features.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and add value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ormond Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #965
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ormond Beach, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 572,749 people
- City population
- 69,624
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,783
- Household income
- $71,011
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -327.97%
- Current HPI
- 271.92
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-10.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $300,225 Zillow
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $298,500 Zillow
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $296,000 Zillow
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $295,935 Zillow
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $296,000 Zillow
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $292,500 Zillow
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $300,000 Zillow
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $311,000 Zillow
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $320,575 Zillow
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $319,990 Zillow
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $320,575 Zillow
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $315,575 Zillow
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $326,465 Zillow
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $315,575 Zillow
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $318,615 Zillow
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $326,465 Zillow
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $330,575 Zillow
- 2025-08-01 Listed $334,075 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…