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19471 Dwyer St
B- Composite 68.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

19471 Dwyer St · Detroit, MI 48234
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,359 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1929 4,792 sqft lot $74/sqft · 77% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit's Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1929

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,441/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
10.89%
Cash-on-cash
16.41%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,361
List price
$100,000
Delta
77.43%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4001 E Outer Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (+3%) 2mo $105,000 $75 65
19178 Sherwood St 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,381 (+2%) 8mo $149,000 $108 60
20225 Moenart St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (-4%) 0mo $105,000 $81 57
19363 Packard St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,368 (+1%) 8mo $60,000 $44 53
18820 Moenart St 0.59mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,450 (+7%) 1mo $65,000 $45 49
20143 Rogge St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,411 (+4%) 7mo $84,000 $60 46
20000 Concord St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-12%) 4mo $140,000 $117 44
19931 Keystone St 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,548 (+14%) 7mo $70,000 $45 40
18665 Helen St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-8%) 9mo $98,000 $79 39
19610 Cliff St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,183 (-13%) 8mo $45,000 $38 32
19466 Packard St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,179 (-13%) 6mo $62,000 $53 31
18800 Fenelon St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,173 (-14%) 7mo $50,000 $43 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$13,840
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$68,493
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,441 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,273/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $956
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 24d 1 0.06mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 0.39mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 22d 1 0.50mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 43d 1 0.50mi
20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 16d 1 0.53mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,300 $1.13 1d 1 0.56mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 16d 1 0.59mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 0.60mi
19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 0.71mi
20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,394 $1.13 43d 1 0.75mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 954 $1,350 $1.42 43d 1 0.97mi
21410 Panama St Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 24d 1 1.08mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,595 $1.38 2d 1 1.09mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,595 $1.38 43d 1 1.09mi
21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,375 $1.39 43d 1 1.10mi
19458 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1550 $1,500 $0.97 3d 1 1.13mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 1.16mi
7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 945 $1,450 $1.53 11d 1 1.18mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.29mi
20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,200 $1.04 24d 1 1.33mi
18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,250 $1.03 24d 1 1.34mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 1.34mi
8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,549 $1.72 24d 1 1.35mi
7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,199 $1.16 22d 1 1.41mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 1.45mi
7044 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1730 $1,700 $0.98 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-03-14
    listed $129,000 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit’s Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586

  14. 2026-03-14
    listed $129,000 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit’s Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586

  15. 2026-03-11
    historical $129,000 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit's Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586

  16. 2023-06-08
    soldstatus $127,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,273 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,273 · $189/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,292
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,273
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,383
− Management
−$1,383
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$3,242
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$778
After-tax cash flow
$3,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $127,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,273 · -37.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…