19471 Dwyer St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit's Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1929
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,441/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.41%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,361
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 77.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4001 E Outer Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+3%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $75 | 65 |
| 19178 Sherwood St | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,381 (+2%) | 8mo | $149,000 | $108 | 60 |
| 20225 Moenart St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-4%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $81 | 57 |
| 19363 Packard St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,368 (+1%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $44 | 53 |
| 18820 Moenart St | 0.59mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,450 (+7%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $45 | 49 |
| 20143 Rogge St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,411 (+4%) | 7mo | $84,000 | $60 | 46 |
| 20000 Concord St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $117 | 44 |
| 19931 Keystone St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,548 (+14%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $45 | 40 |
| 18665 Helen St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-8%) | 9mo | $98,000 | $79 | 39 |
| 19610 Cliff St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,183 (-13%) | 8mo | $45,000 | $38 | 32 |
| 19466 Packard St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (-13%) | 6mo | $62,000 | $53 | 31 |
| 18800 Fenelon St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,173 (-14%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $43 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $13,840
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $68,493
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,441 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,273/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $383
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,384 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,394 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 19458 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1550 | $1,500 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 11d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,549 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,199 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7044 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1730 | $1,700 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-03-14$129,000 Active 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit’s Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586
-
2026-03-14$129,000 Active 711-char remark
Show marketing remark (711 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit’s Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586
-
2026-03-11historical $129,000 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial-style home located in Detroit's Farwell District, a quiet residential neighborhood known for its solid mid-century housing and strong sense of community. With its classic two-story layout and spacious footprint, this property is a true fixer-upper, offering the perfect chance for investors or homeowners to renovate and build equity in an affordable, up-and-coming area. Property is 1 of 11 in a portfolio being sold all within the Downtown Area. Buy 1 or as many as you would like. MLS#s for the other 10 properties: 20261015057, 20261015005, 20261015052, 20261015574, 20261015576, 20261015577, 20261015578, 20261015583, 20261015683, 20261015586
-
2023-06-08soldstatus $127,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,273 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,273 · $189/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,273
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,383
- − Management
- −$1,383
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,242
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$778
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+1.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-14 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $127,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,273 · -37.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…