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232 W River Rd N
D- Composite 38.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

232 W River Rd N · Elyria, OH 44035
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1900 5,227 sqft lot Est $105k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely home! Move-in condition! Hardwood in living and dining rooms; vinyl in kitchen. Second level has newer carpet. Backyard with deck and utility shed. Great front porch to relax on! Come and see your new home! New roof 2008; new hot water heater 2009.

Key facts

  • Updated panel
  • Updated baths
  • Large front porch

Tags

LARGE FRONT PORCHHUGE DECKUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHSNEW SEWER LINEUPDATED PANEL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($638/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (7.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.0% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hamilton Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,434 of 1,584 statewide, top 92%, 421 students, 90% FRL); Eastern Heights Middle School (math 15% / reading 29%, grade F, #602 of 654 statewide, top 93%, 579 students, 100% FRL); Elyria High School (math 20% / reading 47%, grade F, #598 of 781 statewide, top 77%, 1,639 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 58% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $120k implies a 561% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.90%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
447 W River Rd 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,241 (+0%) 17mo $105,000 $85 67
3 Henkle Ct 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,188 (-4%) 20mo $41,000 $35 67
6112 Gateway Blvd S 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-15%) 7mo $118,000 $112 62
227 7th St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,202 (-3%) 10mo $71,500 $59 50
469 11th St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,210 (-2%) 15mo $147,000 $121 48
327 8th St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,155 (-7%) 12mo $65,000 $56 46
160 Erie St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,413 (+14%) 4mo $56,000 $40 46
343 Furnace St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+13%) 1mo $45,000 $32 45
119 Floral Ct 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-10%) 21mo $79,900 $71 43
810 Riverside Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,341 (+8%) 18mo $150,000 $112 43
480 10th St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,087 (-12%) 9mo $129,900 $120 38
322 8th St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,328 (+7%) 23mo $152,000 $114 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-11,724
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$13,366
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44035

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,108 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,711/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,040
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $121 -5% $87 +0% $53 +5% $19 +10% $-15
Rent -10% $-34 -5% $9 +0% $53 +5% $97 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $114 -0.5pp $84 base $53 +0.5pp $22 +1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
116 Water St Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 888 $1,100 $1.24 25d 1 0.14mi
334 Washington Ave Unit 102F Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 23d 1 0.65mi
518 Lake Ave Unit 100 Rush Elyria, OH 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,099 $0.88 6d 1 0.66mi
100 Rush St Elyria, OH 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,099 $0.88 9d 1 0.67mi
138 Mendel Ct #1 Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 16d 1 0.72mi
421 Foster Ave Elyria, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $899 $1.28 3d 1 0.89mi
1309 Middle Ave Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 45d 1 1.04mi
944 Walnut St Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 19d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 142 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 138 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 137 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 134 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 133 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  17. 2026-04-22
    price $120,000
  18. 2026-01-16
    listed $135,000 Active
  19. 2011-03-04
    soldstatus $18,150 259-char remark
    Show marketing remark (259 chars)

    Lovely home! Move-in condition! Hardwood in living and dining rooms; vinyl in kitchen. Second level has newer carpet. Backyard with deck and utility shed. Great front porch to relax on! Come and see your new home! New roof 2008; new hot water heater 2009.

  20. 2010-08-17
    listed $25,000 259-char remark
    Show marketing remark (259 chars)

    Lovely home! Move-in condition! Hardwood in living and dining rooms; vinyl in kitchen. Second level has newer carpet. Backyard with deck and utility shed. Great front porch to relax on! Come and see your new home! New roof 2008; new hot water heater 2009.

  21. 2005-10-28
    historical
  22. 2005-04-28
    listed $84,900
  23. 2004-01-27
    soldstatus $76,500
  24. 2004-01-27
    soldstatus $76,500
  25. 2003-10-22
    historical
  26. 2003-04-22
    listed $76,500
  27. 2003-03-09
    historical
  28. 2002-09-09
    listed $89,500
  29. 1987-12-15
    soldstatus $26,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,711 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,791 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$81/yr (+$7/mo · 4.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,291
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,711
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,063
− Management
−$1,063
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$1,359
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$326
After-tax cash flow
$964/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elyria City Schools
NCES district ID
3904394
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$40,992
Composite
24.45/100
National rank
#7670
State rank
#586 of 656 in OH

Livability — Elyria

Score
75/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#3869

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elyria, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
62,179
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
62,179
Household income
$56,408
Rent vs Own
37.3% rent · 62.7% own
Severe rent burden
2229.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.09%
Current HPI
199.7354
Rent YoY
▲ 6.74%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+352.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $120,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $135,000 MLSNOW
  • 2011-03-04 Sold (MLS) $18,150 MLSNOW
  • 2010-08-17 Listed $25,000 MLSNOW
  • 2005-10-28 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2005-04-28 Listed $84,900 MLSNOW
  • 2004-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
  • 2004-01-27 Sold (MLS) $76,500 MLSNOW
  • 2003-10-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2003-04-22 Listed $76,500 MLSNOW
  • 2003-03-09 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2002-09-09 Listed $89,500 MLSNOW
  • 1987-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,711 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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