49 Magnolia Ln · Tabernacle, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO PROPERTY TAXES!! Enjoy the comfort of this great Holiday Cottage model for sale in peaceful Allenwood Estates. Relax in the cool breeze shaded by the trees and you know you are home. Own your home in Tabernacle without paying property taxes. Step inside and the huge family room welcomes you home. It just feels like home with the cathedral ceilings, exposed beams, ceiling fan and spacious area that is sure to please. The kitchen is large enough to satisfy the hungriest appetites and there is room for a full table and china cabinet as well. You can add your favorite coffee and cappuccino machines and enjoy the morning coffee with a park-like view. The spacious owner's bedroom is complete with double closets and plenty of room for all your needs. The large full bath has a generous counter and dressing area as well as a full laundry area. Outside there is a covered and screened in sunroom to enjoy with friends and neighbors. Extra storage is available with the included 12x8 shed. Shopping is easy with the full service Murphy’s Market just down the street and the shops of Medford are close by. Easy access to Rt. 206 and Rt. 70 can get you anywhere you need to go. Atsion Lake, the Jersey Pines, Philadelphia, Atlantic City, and New York are an easy reach from this central location. You will not want to miss owning this great home at a great price!
Key facts
- Ceiling fans
- Eat-in kitchen
- Essential appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease community with a monthly land lease of $912; Land lease years remaining: 0
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Shared well water; Shared septic
- Home design: Mobile home (single wide, manufactured before 1976); Located in a senior community (55+)
- Construction: Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Above-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Two or more accessible exits
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $985 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Tabernacle Township School District (rural): math 19% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #278 of 472 in NJ (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $92k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.87%
- DSCR
- 3.04
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $38,250
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Magnolia Ln | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 780 (+4%) | 19mo | $40,000 | $51 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $47,835
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- 49.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $122,531
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08088
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,051 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$115 /mo · $1,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $985
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $92,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $92,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $92,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $92,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $92,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $92,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $92,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$92,000 Active
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2026-04-14historical
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2026-03-21price $95,000
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2026-03-15status Active
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2026-03-09historical
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2026-02-02price $99,999
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2025-12-07$104,999 Active
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2025-05-23soldstatus $48,000 Closed 1371-char remark
Show marketing remark (1371 chars)
NO PROPERTY TAXES!! Enjoy the comfort of this great Holiday Cottage model for sale in peaceful Allenwood Estates. Relax in the cool breeze shaded by the trees and you know you are home. Own your home in Tabernacle without paying property taxes. Step inside and the huge family room welcomes you home. It just feels like home with the cathedral ceilings, exposed beams, ceiling fan and spacious area that is sure to please. The kitchen is large enough to satisfy the hungriest appetites and there is room for a full table and china cabinet as well. You can add your favorite coffee and cappuccino machines and enjoy the morning coffee with a park-like view. The spacious owner's bedroom is complete with double closets and plenty of room for all your needs. The large full bath has a generous counter and dressing area as well as a full laundry area. Outside there is a covered and screened in sunroom to enjoy with friends and neighbors. Extra storage is available with the included 12x8 shed. Shopping is easy with the full service Murphy’s Market just down the street and the shops of Medford are close by. Easy access to Rt. 206 and Rt. 70 can get you anywhere you need to go. Atsion Lake, the Jersey Pines, Philadelphia, Atlantic City, and New York are an easy reach from this central location. You will not want to miss owning this great home at a great price!
-
2025-05-17status Pending 1371-char remark
Show marketing remark (1371 chars)
NO PROPERTY TAXES!! Enjoy the comfort of this great Holiday Cottage model for sale in peaceful Allenwood Estates. Relax in the cool breeze shaded by the trees and you know you are home. Own your home in Tabernacle without paying property taxes. Step inside and the huge family room welcomes you home. It just feels like home with the cathedral ceilings, exposed beams, ceiling fan and spacious area that is sure to please. The kitchen is large enough to satisfy the hungriest appetites and there is room for a full table and china cabinet as well. You can add your favorite coffee and cappuccino machines and enjoy the morning coffee with a park-like view. The spacious owner's bedroom is complete with double closets and plenty of room for all your needs. The large full bath has a generous counter and dressing area as well as a full laundry area. Outside there is a covered and screened in sunroom to enjoy with friends and neighbors. Extra storage is available with the included 12x8 shed. Shopping is easy with the full service Murphy’s Market just down the street and the shops of Medford are close by. Easy access to Rt. 206 and Rt. 70 can get you anywhere you need to go. Atsion Lake, the Jersey Pines, Philadelphia, Atlantic City, and New York are an easy reach from this central location. You will not want to miss owning this great home at a great price!
-
2025-05-09historical Active Under Contract 1371-char remark
Show marketing remark (1371 chars)
NO PROPERTY TAXES!! Enjoy the comfort of this great Holiday Cottage model for sale in peaceful Allenwood Estates. Relax in the cool breeze shaded by the trees and you know you are home. Own your home in Tabernacle without paying property taxes. Step inside and the huge family room welcomes you home. It just feels like home with the cathedral ceilings, exposed beams, ceiling fan and spacious area that is sure to please. The kitchen is large enough to satisfy the hungriest appetites and there is room for a full table and china cabinet as well. You can add your favorite coffee and cappuccino machines and enjoy the morning coffee with a park-like view. The spacious owner's bedroom is complete with double closets and plenty of room for all your needs. The large full bath has a generous counter and dressing area as well as a full laundry area. Outside there is a covered and screened in sunroom to enjoy with friends and neighbors. Extra storage is available with the included 12x8 shed. Shopping is easy with the full service Murphy’s Market just down the street and the shops of Medford are close by. Easy access to Rt. 206 and Rt. 70 can get you anywhere you need to go. Atsion Lake, the Jersey Pines, Philadelphia, Atlantic City, and New York are an easy reach from this central location. You will not want to miss owning this great home at a great price!
-
2025-03-16$60,000 Active 1371-char remark
Show marketing remark (1371 chars)
NO PROPERTY TAXES!! Enjoy the comfort of this great Holiday Cottage model for sale in peaceful Allenwood Estates. Relax in the cool breeze shaded by the trees and you know you are home. Own your home in Tabernacle without paying property taxes. Step inside and the huge family room welcomes you home. It just feels like home with the cathedral ceilings, exposed beams, ceiling fan and spacious area that is sure to please. The kitchen is large enough to satisfy the hungriest appetites and there is room for a full table and china cabinet as well. You can add your favorite coffee and cappuccino machines and enjoy the morning coffee with a park-like view. The spacious owner's bedroom is complete with double closets and plenty of room for all your needs. The large full bath has a generous counter and dressing area as well as a full laundry area. Outside there is a covered and screened in sunroom to enjoy with friends and neighbors. Extra storage is available with the included 12x8 shed. Shopping is easy with the full service Murphy’s Market just down the street and the shops of Medford are close by. Easy access to Rt. 206 and Rt. 70 can get you anywhere you need to go. Atsion Lake, the Jersey Pines, Philadelphia, Atlantic City, and New York are an easy reach from this central location. You will not want to miss owning this great home at a great price!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,614
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$1,380
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,969
- − Management
- −$1,969
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $11,006
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investment is needed to address the poor condition of the kitchen, bathroom, exterior, and landscaping.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen appliances — No appliances visible
- Major bathroom fixtures — No fixtures visible
- Major exterior siding — Weathered siding
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Resale kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and attract buyers
- Resale bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures enhance appeal and functionality
- Both exterior siding — Fresh siding improves curb appeal and value
- Both landscaping — Pruned vegetation enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen appliances · No appliances visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · No fixtures visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Weathered siding | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and attract buyers ↑
- Resale bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures enhance appeal and functionality ↑
- Both exterior siding — Fresh siding improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping — Pruned vegetation enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tabernacle Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $96,192
- Composite
- 31.76/100
- National rank
- #5900
- State rank
- #278 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Tabernacle
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,153
Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 453,425 people
- By 2030
- 452,359 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 445,033 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 431,760 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 406,277 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 364,732 · -19.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burlington
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.45%
- Current HPI
- 302.9094
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+53.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $92,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-15 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $99,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-07 Listed $104,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $48,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-09 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-16 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…