9429 NW 122nd Ter · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This move-in ready home combines modern finishes, comfortable living, and a functional open layout. The kitchen, dining, and living area feature brand new LVP flooring, creating a stylish and low-maintenance main living space. Additional features include upgraded kitchen sink and faucet, cabinet hardware, and modern light fixtures throughout that give the home an elevated feel. Outside, you’ll find full wrap gutters, an extended back patio, and a large fenced backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and turnpike access, this well-maintained home offers both comfort and convenience.
Key facts
- Turnpike access
- Open layout
- New lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Occupied; No historical designation; No storm shelter
- Financial info: Loan qualification possible
- HOA & community: Mandatory association dues; Association fee $210 (includes common area maintenance)
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Homestead exemption applied
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-level home; Residential property; Robertsons Landing phase 1
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof (replaced/installed 2021); Slab foundation; Existing property
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Rain gutters; Wood fencing; Interior lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace; No in-law plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-48/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Piedmont (rural): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 270 in OK (top 3%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Stone Ridge Es (math 49% / reading 41%, grade D-, #60 of 845 statewide, top 7%, 594 students, 0% FRL); Piedmont Ms (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #39 of 345 statewide, top 12%, 772 students, 0% FRL); Piedmont Hs (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #24 of 447 statewide, top 5%, 1,422 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1574 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,940
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12921 Florence Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $203,500 | $163 | 85 |
| 12853 Torretta Way | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $211,600 | $170 | 82 |
| 12829 Torretta Way | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $210,838 | $169 | 82 |
| 12817 Torretta Way | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $170 | 82 |
| 12824 Torretta Way | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $211,600 | $170 | 80 |
| 12912 Florence Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+11%) | 1mo | $221,388 | $161 | 68 |
| 12933 Florence Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+11%) | 1mo | $226,350 | $165 | 68 |
| 12924 Florence Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+11%) | 2mo | $219,300 | $160 | 68 |
| 12837 Torretta Way | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+11%) | 1mo | $217,988 | $159 | 65 |
| 12849 Torretta Way | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+11%) | 1mo | $218,750 | $159 | 65 |
| 12916 Florence Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+13%) | 2mo | $226,000 | $161 | 64 |
| 12820 Torretta Way | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+11%) | 2mo | $226,850 | $165 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-37,475
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-45,651
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73099
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1574
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$18
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $115 | -5% $55 | +0% $-4 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-146 | -5% $-75 | +0% $-4 | +5% $67 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $49 | base $-4 | +0.5pp $-58 | +1.0pp $-114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12845 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,745 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 12845 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,745 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 12816 Torretta Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,730 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 11628 Annette Dr Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,555 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 11709 Jude Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,661 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 11625 Krew Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 6d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 11620 Krew Way Yukon, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,725 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9109 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,845 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9109 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,845 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9017 NW 127th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 12008 Brinley Reign Dr Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11505 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11608 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1259 | $1,545 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11608 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1259 | $1,495 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11606 Mackenzie Way Yukon, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,850 | $2.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8922 NW 109th Ter Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $18 · $216/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-15status $209,900 Pending 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $209,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-07$215,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,633 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,633 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$2,633
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − HOA
- −$216
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$3,623
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready home features modern finishes and a functional open layout, making it an excellent investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Piedmont
- NCES district ID
- 4023970
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,943
- Composite
- 36.08/100
- National rank
- #4762
- State rank
- #9 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Canadian County · 154,341 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 91,014
- Household income
- $88,030
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,062 people
- By 2030
- 195,170 · +12.1%
- By 2040
- 239,293 · +37.5%
- By 2050
- 285,457 · +64.0%
- By 2075
- 403,766 · +132.0%
- By 2100
- 498,766 · +186.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Canadian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -206.04%
- Current HPI
- 244.6836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.19%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $215,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+152.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,633 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…