Duplex
1426 Kingswood Way · Radcliff, KY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Need space? Check out this tri-level duplex with over 1800 SQFT of space. Home has 3bedrooms with 1.5 baths with a finished walk-out basement to include a laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. Owner has made updates to the home to include the following: new windows, doors, HVAC system, and water heater. In addition, seller will include a home warranty with the purchase of this home. Home comes with the following appliances: stove, microwave, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Please call/text, if you need more information 5025091876. Owner is licensed to sell real estate in the state of KY.
Key facts
- Home warranty
- New doors
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $865 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $433/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.5% in Radcliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#367 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,212/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 638% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.24%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,008
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Eagle Pass Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,297 (+6%) | 16mo | $87,500 | $67 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $31,476
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $91,255
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40160
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,212 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $865
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3.0 | 1.5 | $2,212 |
| #1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | $1,106 |
| #2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | $1,106 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,212 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Innovation Way Radcliff, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,032 | $1.38 | 23d | 2 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-14soldstatus $137,500
-
2026-05-14soldstatus $137,500
-
2026-04-08$135,000
-
2025-03-20price $149,900
-
2025-03-20price $149,900
-
2025-03-10$159,900 Active
-
2024-10-29soldstatus $75,200
-
2022-10-31soldstatus $58,000
-
2017-02-08historical
-
2016-02-16$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $748 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$413/yr (+$34/mo · 55.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,544
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$1,342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $8,718
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,092
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hardin County
- NCES district ID
- 2102490
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,728
- Composite
- 31.61/100
- National rank
- #5945
- State rank
- #47 of 165 in KY
Livability — Radcliff
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #17445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Radcliff, KY
- County
- Hardin County · 77,611 people
- City population
- 23,624
- Metro
- Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,624
- Household income
- $58,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 638.0
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,573 people
- By 2030
- 103,563 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 97,077 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 88,367 · -16.3%
- By 2075
- 65,405 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 42,245 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.02%
- Current HPI
- 268.1177
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+111.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $137,500 Public Records
- 2026-05-14 Sold (MLS) $137,500 HKARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $135,000 HKARMLS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $149,900 HKARMLS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $149,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-03-10 Listed $159,900 HKARMLS
- 2024-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,200 Public Records
- 2022-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-08 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2016-02-16 Listed $64,900 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $748 · +28.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…