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1814 Prairie Ave
B Composite 70.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,900

1814 Prairie Ave · Dickinson, ND 58601
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 680 sqft · SingleFamily · 239 Days on market
Built 1977 680 sqft lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great first time home buyer opportunity or add to a rental portfolio. This is a top floor unit with a balcony facing north.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1977
  • Listed 239 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 2.9% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 18 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $55,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.40%
Cash-on-cash
28.95%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$15,747
Equity at exit
$9,379
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$44,053
Equity at exit
$5,438

Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58601

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,088 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$330
Tax est. 1.5%
$79 /mo · $944/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550
Max offer price $62,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,725
Closing costs
$1,887
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  2. 2025-08-25
    listed $62,900 Active
  3. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus Closed 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Investment opportunity to own a rental! Start your portfolio with this well maintained unit. Condo fees are $175 per month. This is a ground floor unit with minimal steps.

  4. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus Closed 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Investment opportunity to own a rental! Start your portfolio with this well maintained unit. Condo fees are $175 per month. This is a ground floor unit with minimal steps.

  5. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Investment opportunity to own a rental! Start your portfolio with this well maintained unit. Condo fees are $175 per month. This is a ground floor unit with minimal steps.

  6. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Investment opportunity to own a rental! Start your portfolio with this well maintained unit. Condo fees are $175 per month. This is a ground floor unit with minimal steps.

  7. 2025-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Investment opportunity to own a rental! Start your portfolio with this well maintained unit. Condo fees are $175 per month. This is a ground floor unit with minimal steps.

  8. 2024-11-14
    historical $750
  9. 2024-10-18
    price $750
  10. 2024-10-01
    soldstatus Closed
  11. 2024-08-28
    price $850
  12. 2024-08-15
    listed $74,500 Active 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Investment opportunity to own a rental! Start your portfolio with this well maintained unit. Condo fees are $175 per month. This is a ground floor unit with minimal steps.

  13. 2024-08-15
    listed $72,500 Active 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Investment opportunity to own a rental! Start your portfolio with this well maintained unit. Condo fees are $175 per month. This is a ground floor unit with minimal steps.

  14. 2024-08-08
    listed $950
  15. 2024-07-19
    listed $74,500 Active
  16. 2024-07-19
    listed $74,500 Active
  17. 2024-07-16
    soldstatus Closed
  18. 2024-07-15
    soldstatus Closed
  19. 2024-07-12
    status Active
  20. 2024-06-12
    listed $72,500 Active
  21. 2024-06-11
    listed $72,500 Active
  22. 2024-06-11
    listed $72,500 Active
  23. 2024-05-27
    soldstatus Closed
  24. 2024-04-29
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2024-04-24
    listed $74,900 Active
  26. 2024-01-25
    soldstatus Closed
  27. 2023-12-27
    price $66,000
  28. 2023-11-14
    soldstatus Closed
  29. 2023-10-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  30. 2023-09-06
    historical
  31. 2023-09-06
    historical
  32. 2023-09-06
    historical
  33. 2023-09-06
    historical
  34. 2023-09-06
    historical
  35. 2023-05-02
    listed $69,900 Active
  36. 2023-01-26
    listed $65,000 Active
  37. 2021-12-13
    listed $44,000
  38. 2020-06-02
    listed $40,000
  39. 2019-10-09
    listed $50,500
  40. 2019-10-09
    listed $50,500
  41. 2013-09-26
    listed $94,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,057
− Mortgage interest
−$3,523
− Property taxes
−$944
− Insurance
−$314
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,045
− Management
−$1,045
− Depreciation
−$1,830
Taxable income
$4,356
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,046
After-tax cash flow
$4,053/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickinson 1
NCES district ID
3800038
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$63,270
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5080
State rank
#29 of 53 in ND

Livability — Dickinson

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dickinson, ND
County
Stark County · 29,916 people
City population
29,916
Metro
Dickinson, ND
Population (ZIP)
29,916
Household income
$85,821
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
813.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,426 people
By 2030
60,812 · +20.6%
By 2040
84,155 · +66.9%
By 2050
110,718 · +119.6%
By 2075
186,710 · +270.3%
By 2100
264,902 · +425.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.57%
Current HPI
188.1029
Rent YoY
▲ 1.95%
Metro
Dickinson, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.1% since first listed
41 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $62,900 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2025-04-07 Contingent Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-11-14 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-18 Price Changed $750 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-01 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-08-28 Price Changed $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-15 Listed $72,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-08-15 Listed $74,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-08-08 Listed for Rent $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-19 Listed $74,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-07-19 Listed $74,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-07-16 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-07-12 Relisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-06-12 Listed $72,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-06-11 Listed $72,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-06-11 Listed $72,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-05-27 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-04-29 Contingent Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-04-24 Listed $74,900 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2024-01-25 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-12-27 Price Changed $66,000 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-11-14 Sold (MLS) Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-10-13 Contingent Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-05-02 Listed $69,900 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-01-26 Listed $65,000 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2021-12-13 Listed $44,000 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2020-06-02 Listed $40,000 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2019-10-09 Listed $50,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2019-10-09 Listed $50,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2013-09-26 Listed $94,000 Badlands BOR MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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