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1005 19th St
C+ Composite 61.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,750

1005 19th St · Two Rivers, WI 54241
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1900 4,356 sqft lot Est $159k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated home near River and just walking minutes away from Neshotah Beach, and Mariners Trail! Fresh texture and paint throughout home. Brand new carpet in all bedrooms and living room! New flooring in kitchen, office/den and bathroom! Yard is extra deep - great for backyard play and bonfires! Per seller, furnace and water heater replaced in 2009. Home would make a great vacation home and just off the path to Door County! Call today for your tour!

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.1 acre (less than 1/2 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage with opener
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Information on year built: Assessor/Public Record
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Vinyl exterior; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with island — 12 x 10
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (upper) — 11 x 17; Second bedroom (upper) — 8 x 10
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with a shower stall
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Full basement; Kitchen island

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.0% in Two Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Two Rivers Public School District (town): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 342 in WI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Clarke Middle (math 17% / reading 28%, grade F, #334 of 383 statewide, top 87%, 462 students, 46% FRL); Two Rivers High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 474 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Manitowoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $966 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manitowoc County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $140k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,557 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.31%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,030
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2023 Lincoln St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+2%) 2mo $189,900 $181 82
1611 Jackson St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (+8%) 1mo $110,000 $100 74
2019 Jefferson St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 940 (-8%) 1mo $129,000 $137 66
1024 24th St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,095 (+7%) 7mo $189,000 $173 61
1711 20th St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,017 (-1%) 8mo $140,000 $138 60
1419 23rd St 0.44mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,001 (-2%) 10mo $147,000 $147 60
2318 Lincoln Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (+6%) 12mo $190,000 $174 58
1313 21st St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,168 (+14%) 0mo $130,000 $111 58
1805 Emmet St 0.05mi 3/1.0 (-1) 900 (-12%) 18mo $139,500 $155 57
1604 17th St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,054 (+3%) 22mo $193,200 $183 50
2205 Adams St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 990 (-4%) 20mo $160,000 $162 47
1812 21st St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,078 (+5%) 17mo $130,000 $121 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,372
Equity at exit
$20,837
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$17,583
Equity at exit
$12,083

Cash invested: $39,130 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54241

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,531 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$733
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,769/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,188
Max offer price $139,750
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $350 -5% $311 +0% $271 +5% $232 +10% $192
Rent -10% $150 -5% $211 +0% $271 +5% $332 +10% $392
Rate -1.0pp $341 -0.5pp $307 base $271 +0.5pp $235 +1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,938
Closing costs
$4,192
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    status $139,750 Pending 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,750 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,750 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,750 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,750 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,750 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,750 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,750 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,750 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    listed $144,500 Active
  11. 2016-08-01
    historical 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Updated home near River and just walking minutes away from Neshotah Beach, and Mariners Trail! Fresh texture and paint throughout home. Brand new carpet in all bedrooms and living room! New flooring in kitchen, office/den and bathroom! Yard is extra deep - great for backyard play and bonfires! Per seller, furnace and water heater replaced in 2009. Home would make a great vacation home and just off the path to Door County! Call today for your tour!

  12. 2016-06-20
    price $39,500 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Updated home near River and just walking minutes away from Neshotah Beach, and Mariners Trail! Fresh texture and paint throughout home. Brand new carpet in all bedrooms and living room! New flooring in kitchen, office/den and bathroom! Yard is extra deep - great for backyard play and bonfires! Per seller, furnace and water heater replaced in 2009. Home would make a great vacation home and just off the path to Door County! Call today for your tour!

  13. 2016-04-12
    listed $44,900 Active 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    Updated home near River and just walking minutes away from Neshotah Beach, and Mariners Trail! Fresh texture and paint throughout home. Brand new carpet in all bedrooms and living room! New flooring in kitchen, office/den and bathroom! Yard is extra deep - great for backyard play and bonfires! Per seller, furnace and water heater replaced in 2009. Home would make a great vacation home and just off the path to Door County! Call today for your tour!

  14. 2003-10-31
    soldstatus $33,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,769 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,177 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$408/yr (+$34/mo · 23.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,374
− Mortgage interest
−$7,828
− Property taxes
−$1,769
− Insurance
−$699
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,470
− Management
−$1,470
− Depreciation
−$4,065
Taxable income
$1,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$257
After-tax cash flow
$2,996/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Two Rivers Public School District
NCES district ID
5515120
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,006
Composite
20.63/100
National rank
#8545
State rank
#318 of 342 in WI

Livability — Two Rivers

Score
71/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#7250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Two Rivers, WI
County
Manitowoc County · 55,069 people
City population
14,120
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
Population (ZIP)
14,120
Household income
$61,014
Rent vs Own
22.3% rent · 77.7% own
Severe rent burden
199.0

Population outlook (Manitowoc County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,561 people
By 2030
74,096 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,752 · -11.5%
By 2050
60,731 · -20.7%
By 2075
48,723 · -36.4%
By 2100
39,250 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Manitowoc

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.4) · D 37.6% · R 61.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-30.9pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -23.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.4 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+2.8 2008: D+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.14%
Current HPI
261.6254
Rent YoY
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+333.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $144,500 METROMLS
  • 2016-08-01 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2016-06-20 Price Changed $39,500 METROMLS
  • 2016-04-12 Listed $44,900 METROMLS
  • 2003-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $33,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,769 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…