🏷️ Likely Rental
4633 N 30th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property. Large 3 bedroom bungalow with lots of charm. Newer windows and roof. Formal Dining room. Parking for 3 cars on slab. . Tenant occupied through to January of 2022.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Private driveway
- Clean basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Milwaukee Parkside School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #783 of 1,041 statewide, top 79%, 838 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $130k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.76%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,619
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4633 N 30th St | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 | 1,407 (0%) | 1mo | $141,000 | $100 | 99 |
| 4624 N 29th St | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 | 1,398 (-1%) | 3mo | $100,001 | $72 | 92 |
| 3223 W Fairmount Ave | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 | 1,358 (-4%) | 3mo | $124,000 | $91 | 70 |
| 4628 N 24th Pl | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,436 (+2%) | 3mo | $103,500 | $72 | 70 |
| 4444 N 26th St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+5%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $112 | 68 |
| 4926 N 37th St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,357 (-4%) | 2mo | $138,500 | $102 | 62 |
| 4487 N 21st St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,384 (-2%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $134 | 58 |
| 4354 N 29th St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,573 (+12%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 4265 N 39th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,408 (+0%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $156 | 56 |
| 4650 N 38th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,237 (-12%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 2417 W Roosevelt Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,200 (-15%) | 0mo | $194,900 | $162 | 42 |
| 4557 N 42nd St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,228 (-13%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $151 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $16,549
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $92,541
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53209
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,718 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,091/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $447
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $521 | -5% $484 | +0% $447 | +5% $411 | +10% $374 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $312 | -5% $379 | +0% $447 | +5% $515 | +10% $583 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $513 | -0.5pp $480 | base $447 | +0.5pp $414 | +1.0pp $379 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5032 N 32nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,750 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4702 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4703 N 45th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1707 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4727 N 46th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,700 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4334 W Eggert Pl Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1077 | $1,695 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4340 W Eggert Pl Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,695 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5165-5167 N 45th St Unit 5165 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5541 N 35th St #5543 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,195 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5073 N 48th St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4139 N 50th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5696 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,495 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-15$129,900 Active
-
2021-06-08soldstatus $76,000
-
2021-06-03soldstatus $73,000 Sold 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great investment property. Large 3 bedroom bungalow with lots of charm. Newer windows and roof. Formal Dining room. Parking for 3 cars on slab. . Tenant occupied through to January of 2022.
-
2021-06-01status Pending 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great investment property. Large 3 bedroom bungalow with lots of charm. Newer windows and roof. Formal Dining room. Parking for 3 cars on slab. . Tenant occupied through to January of 2022.
-
2021-05-17historical Contingent 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great investment property. Large 3 bedroom bungalow with lots of charm. Newer windows and roof. Formal Dining room. Parking for 3 cars on slab. . Tenant occupied through to January of 2022.
-
2021-05-05$75,000 Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Great investment property. Large 3 bedroom bungalow with lots of charm. Newer windows and roof. Formal Dining room. Parking for 3 cars on slab. . Tenant occupied through to January of 2022.
-
2015-01-13soldstatus $2,500 Sold 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
EXTRA LARE 4BDR/1BATH MILWAUKEE BUNGALOW BEING SOLD IN THE ''AS IS'' CONDITION. PROPERTY HAS BUILT INS NATURAL WOODWORK. BRING YOUR DECORATIONG IDEAS TO MAKE THIS SHINE HOME AGAIN. LOT LOCATED AT 4629 N 30TH IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE SALE OF THE PROPERTY. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE ESTIMATES. BUYER TO RELY ON THEIR OWN INSPECTIONS.
-
2014-11-18status Pending 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
EXTRA LARE 4BDR/1BATH MILWAUKEE BUNGALOW BEING SOLD IN THE ''AS IS'' CONDITION. PROPERTY HAS BUILT INS NATURAL WOODWORK. BRING YOUR DECORATIONG IDEAS TO MAKE THIS SHINE HOME AGAIN. LOT LOCATED AT 4629 N 30TH IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE SALE OF THE PROPERTY. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE ESTIMATES. BUYER TO RELY ON THEIR OWN INSPECTIONS.
-
2014-10-31price $2,500 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
EXTRA LARE 4BDR/1BATH MILWAUKEE BUNGALOW BEING SOLD IN THE ''AS IS'' CONDITION. PROPERTY HAS BUILT INS NATURAL WOODWORK. BRING YOUR DECORATIONG IDEAS TO MAKE THIS SHINE HOME AGAIN. LOT LOCATED AT 4629 N 30TH IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE SALE OF THE PROPERTY. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE ESTIMATES. BUYER TO RELY ON THEIR OWN INSPECTIONS.
-
2014-09-17status Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
EXTRA LARE 4BDR/1BATH MILWAUKEE BUNGALOW BEING SOLD IN THE ''AS IS'' CONDITION. PROPERTY HAS BUILT INS NATURAL WOODWORK. BRING YOUR DECORATIONG IDEAS TO MAKE THIS SHINE HOME AGAIN. LOT LOCATED AT 4629 N 30TH IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE SALE OF THE PROPERTY. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE ESTIMATES. BUYER TO RELY ON THEIR OWN INSPECTIONS.
-
2014-09-16historical 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
EXTRA LARE 4BDR/1BATH MILWAUKEE BUNGALOW BEING SOLD IN THE ''AS IS'' CONDITION. PROPERTY HAS BUILT INS NATURAL WOODWORK. BRING YOUR DECORATIONG IDEAS TO MAKE THIS SHINE HOME AGAIN. LOT LOCATED AT 4629 N 30TH IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE SALE OF THE PROPERTY. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE ESTIMATES. BUYER TO RELY ON THEIR OWN INSPECTIONS.
-
2014-09-04$3,500 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
EXTRA LARE 4BDR/1BATH MILWAUKEE BUNGALOW BEING SOLD IN THE ''AS IS'' CONDITION. PROPERTY HAS BUILT INS NATURAL WOODWORK. BRING YOUR DECORATIONG IDEAS TO MAKE THIS SHINE HOME AGAIN. LOT LOCATED AT 4629 N 30TH IS ALSO INCLUDED IN THE SALE OF THE PROPERTY. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE ESTIMATES. BUYER TO RELY ON THEIR OWN INSPECTIONS.
-
2013-02-09historical
-
2013-02-09$9,750
-
2013-01-19historical
-
2013-01-19$22,900
-
2008-10-08soldstatus $17,250
-
2006-05-25soldstatus $101,000
-
2004-10-27soldstatus $100,000
-
1996-10-18soldstatus $25,000
-
1996-06-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,091 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,247 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 7.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,091
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,649
- − Management
- −$1,649
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $3,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,170
- Household income
- $48,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3390.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.98%
- Current HPI
- 172.4275
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.61%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+419.6% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $129,900 METROMLS
- 2021-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-03 Sold (MLS) $73,000 METROMLS
- 2021-06-01 Pending — METROMLS
- 2021-05-17 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2021-05-05 Listed $75,000 METROMLS
- 2015-01-13 Sold (MLS) $2,500 METROMLS
- 2014-11-18 Pending — METROMLS
- 2014-10-31 Price Changed $2,500 METROMLS
- 2014-09-17 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2014-09-16 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2014-09-04 Listed $3,500 METROMLS
- 2013-02-09 Listed $9,750 METROMLS
- 2013-02-09 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-01-19 Listed $22,900 METROMLS
- 2013-01-19 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2008-10-08 Sold (MLS) $17,250 METROMLS
- 2006-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1996-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2024): $2,091 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…