6878 Tara Oaks Dr · Riverdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$157,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 bedrooms 2 bath unit in 55+ senior living community for those seeking one-level living Features spacious family / dining room, kitchen with ample cabinets space, walk-in closet and single garage. Fixer Needs some Repairs/TLC to bring to full potential. Property is Vacant. AS-IS Sale. Seller will not make repairs or provide a survey, inspection report, warranty, or certificate of occupancy. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for conducting all due diligence. Please note: No utilities will be activated for inspections or evaluation of the property. No Assignments or "Subject To" or Seller Financing
Key facts
- $60 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2006
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $157k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $148k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.5% in Riverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#100 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.61%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,341
- List price
- $157,000
- Delta
- -12.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6876 Tara Oaks Dr | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,105 (-5%) | 20mo | $168,000 | $152 | 75 |
| 390 Brookview Dr | 0.70mi | 2/2.5 | 1,152 (-0%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $161 | 63 |
| 7109 Brookview Way | 0.67mi | 2/2.5 | 1,112 (-4%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 7112 Brookview Way | 0.68mi | 2/2.5 | 1,112 (-4%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $144 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-14,988
- Equity at exit
- $23,409
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,634
- Equity at exit
- $13,574
Cash invested: $43,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30274
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,554 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$823
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $883/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,250
- Closing costs
- $4,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 582 Roberts Dr Riverdale, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 825 | $1,250 | $1.52 | 44d | 3 | 0.36mi |
| 582 Roberts Dr Riverdale, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 912 | $1,001 | $1.10 | 3d | 6 | 0.36mi |
| 839 River Glen Pl Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,870 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 501 Roberts Dr Riverdale, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,110 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 501 Roberts Dr Riverdale, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,194 | $1.17 | 2d | 12 | 0.60mi |
| 501 Roberts Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,144 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 417 Patrick Henry Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7157 Williamsburg Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,700 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6491 Camp St Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,468 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1019 River Stone Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,715 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7074 Williamsburg Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,461 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1070 Salisbury Trl Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 500 Denham St Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 363 Upper Riverdale Rd SW Riverdale, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,149 | $1.36 | 21d | 3 | 0.83mi |
| 7272 Indian Hill Trl Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,787 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6631 Baldwin Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1211 | $1,623 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7016 Adel Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 654 Roy Huie Rd Unit 1 Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7254 Fernwood Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,765 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7282 Williamsburg Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1183 | $1,940 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6476 Voyles Dr Unit 1 Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6476 Voyles Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 275 Upper Riverdale Rd Unit A63 Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7324 Caribou Trl Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,631 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 609 Allen Dr Riverdale, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $700 | $0.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 213 Shenandoah Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1485 | $1,500 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 237 Shenandoah Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1417 | $1,435 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 6447 River Park Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6465 River Park Dr Riverdale, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $530 | $0.52 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6450 River Park Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1320 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 206 Red Oak Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,691 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6632 Stark Ct Unit A Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,850 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 7016 Sun Valley Way Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,456 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 263 Roxbury Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1135 | $1,585 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7413 Penland Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 233 Lucan Way Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $1,665 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 828 Overlook Ter Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1270 | $1,495 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7560 Taylor Rd #26 Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $1,250 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-08status Under Contract 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Charming 2 bedrooms 2 bath unit in 55+ senior living community for those seeking one-level living Features spacious family / dining room, kitchen with ample cabinets space, walk-in closet and single garage. Fixer Needs some Repairs/TLC to bring to full potential. Property is Vacant. AS-IS Sale. Seller will not make repairs or provide a survey, inspection report, warranty, or certificate of occupancy. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for conducting all due diligence. Please note: No utilities will be activated for inspections or evaluation of the property. No Assignments or "Subject To" or Seller Financing
-
2026-04-12status Back On Market 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Charming 2 bedrooms 2 bath unit in 55+ senior living community for those seeking one-level living Features spacious family / dining room, kitchen with ample cabinets space, walk-in closet and single garage. Fixer Needs some Repairs/TLC to bring to full potential. Property is Vacant. AS-IS Sale. Seller will not make repairs or provide a survey, inspection report, warranty, or certificate of occupancy. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for conducting all due diligence. Please note: No utilities will be activated for inspections or evaluation of the property. No Assignments or "Subject To" or Seller Financing
-
2026-03-27status Under Contract 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Charming 2 bedrooms 2 bath unit in 55+ senior living community for those seeking one-level living Features spacious family / dining room, kitchen with ample cabinets space, walk-in closet and single garage. Fixer Needs some Repairs/TLC to bring to full potential. Property is Vacant. AS-IS Sale. Seller will not make repairs or provide a survey, inspection report, warranty, or certificate of occupancy. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for conducting all due diligence. Please note: No utilities will be activated for inspections or evaluation of the property. No Assignments or "Subject To" or Seller Financing
-
2026-03-17price $157,000 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Charming 2 bedrooms 2 bath unit in 55+ senior living community for those seeking one-level living Features spacious family / dining room, kitchen with ample cabinets space, walk-in closet and single garage. Fixer Needs some Repairs/TLC to bring to full potential. Property is Vacant. AS-IS Sale. Seller will not make repairs or provide a survey, inspection report, warranty, or certificate of occupancy. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for conducting all due diligence. Please note: No utilities will be activated for inspections or evaluation of the property. No Assignments or "Subject To" or Seller Financing
-
2026-02-09$169,000 New 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
Charming 2 bedrooms 2 bath unit in 55+ senior living community for those seeking one-level living Features spacious family / dining room, kitchen with ample cabinets space, walk-in closet and single garage. Fixer Needs some Repairs/TLC to bring to full potential. Property is Vacant. AS-IS Sale. Seller will not make repairs or provide a survey, inspection report, warranty, or certificate of occupancy. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for conducting all due diligence. Please note: No utilities will be activated for inspections or evaluation of the property. No Assignments or "Subject To" or Seller Financing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $883 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,444 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$561/yr (+$47/mo · 63.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,794
- − Property taxes
- −$883
- − Insurance
- −$785
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,492
- − Management
- −$1,492
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$4,567
- Taxable loss
- −$85
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$20
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Riverdale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #7907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverdale, GA
- County
- Clayton County · 230,153 people
- City population
- 61,126
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,081
- Household income
- $52,209
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2586.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.82%
- Current HPI
- 236.3592
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.30%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-12 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-27 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $157,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $169,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $883 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…