49 Theo St #49 · Boyne City, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this brand-new home located in Boyne City s newest community! It includes an open floor plan with a fantastic kitchen and with an island. It is a full drywall home and has three bedrooms and two bathrooms. It includes all appliances, including washer and dryer, and central air.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Fantastic kitchen
- Central air
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $139,995
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family style unit at 49 Theo St #49, Boyne City, MI
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,404; Built/listed in 2026 (spec/plan named "49 Theo St")
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home (new construction)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($62/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#93 in MI, #2,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Boyne City Public Schools (town): math 39% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #128 of 540 in MI (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Boyne City Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #236 of 1,397 statewide, top 19%, 407 students, 56% FRL); Boyne City Middle School (math 31% / reading 50%, grade F, #202 of 493 statewide, top 42%, 388 students, 50% FRL); Boyne City High School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #128 of 713 statewide, top 19%, 450 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 113 units permitted in Charlevoix County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlevoix County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.16%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-22,336
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-18,948
- Equity at exit
- $12,104
Cash invested: $39,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49712
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $102 | -5% $54 | +0% $5 | +5% $-43 | +10% $-92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-92 | -5% $-43 | +0% $5 | +5% $54 | +10% $102 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $41 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-31 | +1.0pp $-68 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,999
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Fox Run St Boyne City, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,599 | $1.23 | 46d | 1 | 0.24mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $139,995 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,995 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,995 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,995 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,995 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,995 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,995 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,995 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,995 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,995 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,995 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,995 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,995 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,995 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,995 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,995 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,995 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,995 Active 8 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$2,304
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$553
- After-tax cash flow
- $615/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This brand-new manufactured home in Boyne City offers a modern open floor plan with a well-equipped kitchen and two bathrooms. It is move-in ready with minimal maintenance required.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the flooring to hardwood or tile — Improves the aesthetic and durability of the living spaces.
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring to hardwood or tile — Improves the aesthetic and durability of the living spaces. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boyne City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2606500
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 39.85/100
- National rank
- #3869
- State rank
- #128 of 540 in MI
Livability — Boyne City
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #2175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Boyne City, MI
- City population
- 8,177
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,177
Population outlook (Charlevoix County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,625 people
- By 2030
- 26,629 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 26,037 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 24,648 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 21,275 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 16,263 · -38.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlevoix
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.9) · D 40.8% · R 57.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.4pp · 2024: -16.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.9 2020: R+17.1 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.32%
- Current HPI
- 281.0628
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…