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1320 David Rd
D Composite 42.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

1320 David Rd · Mount Vernon, MO 65712
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,720 sqft · Other public records · 229 Days on market
Built 1967 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out this fantastic all brick three bedroom two bath home. Home has been very well-maintained. Large rooms with lots of storage. Carpeting was replaced with engineered Bamboo flooring. And wonderful real wood flooring. Completely renovated bathroom walls floors pipes and drains. left side of house added around 1990. Kitchen was opened up with an open concept in 2011. Wonderful inground pool with a fantastic covered deck in the backyard great for entertaining. Backyard is also chain-link fenced and some privacy fence. Large two car over sized garage with a workshop as well in the front of it. Owner has put in three different mini splits for heating and air max for low utility bills. Quartz countertops in the kitchen. Lots of built-ins/storage/space. Check out this fantastic home. Roof is only a year old. Easy access to I 44. Minutes from Stockton lake in Branson Missouri.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Fresh paint
  • Newer roof

Tags

NEWER ROOFFRESH PAINTNEW FLOORINGFLEXIBLE BONUS ROOMUPDATED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage faces front
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Composition roof; Built with standard foundation
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard (full chain link); In-ground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air); Electric heating available; Natural gas heating available; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Insulated windows; Skylights; Double-pane windows; Storm windows; Disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($831/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (16.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#98 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mt. Vernon R-V (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #129 of 324 in MO (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mt. Vernon Elem. (308 students, 53% FRL); Mt. Vernon Middle (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 361 students, 48% FRL); Mt. Vernon High (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 458 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 67 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,142 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.52%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-27,245
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-18,283
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65712

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,621 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,534
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $180 -5% $124 +0% $69 +5% $14 +10% $-41
Rent -10% $-59 -5% $5 +0% $69 +5% $133 +10% $197
Rate -1.0pp $167 -0.5pp $119 base $69 +0.5pp $19 +1.0pp $-33

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1706 S Hazel St Mt Vernon, MO 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,595 $1.12 15d 1 0.41mi
212 W Blaze Rd Mount Vernon, MO 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,650 $1.03 15d 1 0.50mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $195,000 Active 229 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 223 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 221 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 220 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 215 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 211 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 209 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 208 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 207 DOM
  17. 2025-12-08
    price $195,000
  18. 2025-11-20
    price $180,000
  19. 2025-11-05
    listed $190,000 Active
  20. 2025-09-03
    price $210,000
  21. 2025-08-21
    price $225,000
  22. 2025-07-25
    listed $230,000 Active
  23. 2022-07-11
    soldstatus Closed 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Come check out this fantastic all brick three bedroom two bath home. Home has been very well-maintained. Large rooms with lots of storage. Carpeting was replaced with engineered Bamboo flooring. And wonderful real wood flooring. Completely renovated bathroom walls floors pipes and drains. left side of house added around 1990. Kitchen was opened up with an open concept in 2011. Wonderful inground pool with a fantastic covered deck in the backyard great for entertaining. Backyard is also chain-link fenced and some privacy fence. Large two car over sized garage with a workshop as well in the front of it. Owner has put in three different mini splits for heating and air max for low utility bills. Quartz countertops in the kitchen. Lots of built-ins/storage/space. Check out this fantastic home. Roof is only a year old. Easy access to I 44. Minutes from Stockton lake in Branson Missouri.

  24. 2022-07-11
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Come check out this fantastic all brick three bedroom two bath home. Home has been very well-maintained. Large rooms with lots of storage. Carpeting was replaced with engineered Bamboo flooring. And wonderful real wood flooring. Completely renovated bathroom walls floors pipes and drains. left side of house added around 1990. Kitchen was opened up with an open concept in 2011. Wonderful inground pool with a fantastic covered deck in the backyard great for entertaining. Backyard is also chain-link fenced and some privacy fence. Large two car over sized garage with a workshop as well in the front of it. Owner has put in three different mini splits for heating and air max for low utility bills. Quartz countertops in the kitchen. Lots of built-ins/storage/space. Check out this fantastic home. Roof is only a year old. Easy access to I 44. Minutes from Stockton lake in Branson Missouri.

  25. 2022-05-29
    historical 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Come check out this fantastic all brick three bedroom two bath home. Home has been very well-maintained. Large rooms with lots of storage. Carpeting was replaced with engineered Bamboo flooring. And wonderful real wood flooring. Completely renovated bathroom walls floors pipes and drains. left side of house added around 1990. Kitchen was opened up with an open concept in 2011. Wonderful inground pool with a fantastic covered deck in the backyard great for entertaining. Backyard is also chain-link fenced and some privacy fence. Large two car over sized garage with a workshop as well in the front of it. Owner has put in three different mini splits for heating and air max for low utility bills. Quartz countertops in the kitchen. Lots of built-ins/storage/space. Check out this fantastic home. Roof is only a year old. Easy access to I 44. Minutes from Stockton lake in Branson Missouri.

  26. 2022-03-14
    listed $199,900 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    Come check out this fantastic all brick three bedroom two bath home. Home has been very well-maintained. Large rooms with lots of storage. Carpeting was replaced with engineered Bamboo flooring. And wonderful real wood flooring. Completely renovated bathroom walls floors pipes and drains. left side of house added around 1990. Kitchen was opened up with an open concept in 2011. Wonderful inground pool with a fantastic covered deck in the backyard great for entertaining. Backyard is also chain-link fenced and some privacy fence. Large two car over sized garage with a workshop as well in the front of it. Owner has put in three different mini splits for heating and air max for low utility bills. Quartz countertops in the kitchen. Lots of built-ins/storage/space. Check out this fantastic home. Roof is only a year old. Easy access to I 44. Minutes from Stockton lake in Branson Missouri.

  27. 2019-06-06
    soldstatus
  28. 2018-11-01
    listed $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,892 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$598/yr (+$50/mo · 46.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,457
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$1,293
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,557
− Management
−$1,557
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$2,520
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$605
After-tax cash flow
$1,436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mt. Vernon R-V
NCES district ID
2921600
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,114
Composite
35.03/100
National rank
#5040
State rank
#129 of 324 in MO

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
72/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#6475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, MO
Population (ZIP)
8,910

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,142 people
By 2030
36,212 · -2.5%
By 2040
34,080 · -8.2%
By 2050
31,621 · -14.9%
By 2075
25,987 · -30.0%
By 2100
20,151 · -45.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.6% · R 81.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -63.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.8 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+47.0 2008: R+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.55%
Current HPI
243.6185
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $195,000 SOMO
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $180,000 SOMO
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $190,000 SOMO
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $210,000 SOMO
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $225,000 SOMO
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $230,000 SOMO
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2022-05-29 Delisted SOMO
  • 2022-03-14 Listed $199,900 SOMO
  • 2019-06-06 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2018-11-01 Listed $129,900 SOMO

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,293 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…