16 Meadow Rd · Montrose, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.3/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 16 Meadow Road! Perfectly positioned in a wonderful neighborhood, this home offers the rare combination of peaceful suburban living and exceptional convenience where you will experience the best of neighborhood living and easy commuting. You also get to enjoy all the amenities the Town of Cortlandt has to offer, including the wonderful Town pool and camp for the kids, along with all the many Town programs offered to both adults and kids! The home’s location is one of its greatest assets. Here, every essential is just a short walk or drive away. From your front door, you can walk to playgrounds, ball fields, schools, the library, and minutes to the scenic Hudson River shore! -and offers the convenience commuters are looking for- only 2 miles from the Cortlandt Metro North train station, a 50 minute commute to Grand Central Station! Enter via the enclosed porch into the spacious dining room, just perfect for entertaining during the holidays, living room, an additional room for your office/den/playroom, kitchen, 3 bedrooms and full hall bath. Add your special touches and updates! Step outside to your deck and a large, level backyard, offering plenty of space for gatherings, playtime, gardening, or hosting weekend barbecues or simply relaxing outdoors. A generous driveway ensures ample parking! Hendrick Hudson School District! Also: hardwood floors, new furnace, water heater (5 Yrs), new septic fields (5 yrs) This location puts everything within reach, making it an unbeatable place to call home.
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $549k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($80/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $481k (12.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $481k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#68 in NY, #1,024 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Hendrick Hudson Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #143 of 590 in NY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($541k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $620,177
- List price
- $549,000
- Delta
- -11.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Meadow Rd | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,261 (-7%) | 24mo | $548,500 | $435 | 66 |
| 49 Henning Dr | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 | 1,544 (+14%) | 4mo | $670,000 | $434 | 58 |
| 117 Dutch St | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,225 (-9%) | 0mo | $639,000 | $522 | 57 |
| 8 Harper Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,541 (+14%) | 0mo | $580,000 | $376 | 55 |
| 12 Glenwood Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,256 (-7%) | 18mo | $500,000 | $398 | 52 |
| 7 Adele Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+14%) | 8mo | $582,500 | $378 | 52 |
| 15 Arlington Ct | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,552 (+15%) | 5mo | $577,500 | $372 | 51 |
| 2 Victoria Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-12%) | 14mo | $445,000 | $375 | 49 |
| 121 Dutch St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (-13%) | 19mo | $620,000 | $530 | 39 |
| 89 Montrose Point Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (+9%) | 21mo | $605,000 | $412 | 39 |
| 19 Travis Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,541 (+14%) | 23mo | $530,000 | $344 | 34 |
| 223 Catherine St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 24mo | $521,000 | $434 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-88,464
- Equity at exit
- $81,858
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-76,190
- Equity at exit
- $47,467
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10548
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,811 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$686 /mo · $8,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,010
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $386 | -5% $196 | +0% $7 | +5% $-183 | +10% $-373 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-373 | -5% $-183 | +0% $7 | +5% $197 | +10% $387 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $283 | -0.5pp $146 | base $7 | +0.5pp $-136 | +1.0pp $-280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275 Craft Ln Buchanan, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $4,811 | $4.94 | 2d | 91 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 1533-char remark
Show marketing remark (1533 chars)
Welcome to 16 Meadow Road! Perfectly positioned in a wonderful neighborhood, this home offers the rare combination of peaceful suburban living and exceptional convenience where you will experience the best of neighborhood living and easy commuting. You also get to enjoy all the amenities the Town of Cortlandt has to offer, including the wonderful Town pool and camp for the kids, along with all the many Town programs offered to both adults and kids! The home’s location is one of its greatest assets. Here, every essential is just a short walk or drive away. From your front door, you can walk to playgrounds, ball fields, schools, the library, and minutes to the scenic Hudson River shore! -and offers the convenience commuters are looking for- only 2 miles from the Cortlandt Metro North train station, a 50 minute commute to Grand Central Station! Enter via the enclosed porch into the spacious dining room, just perfect for entertaining during the holidays, living room, an additional room for your office/den/playroom, kitchen, 3 bedrooms and full hall bath. Add your special touches and updates! Step outside to your deck and a large, level backyard, offering plenty of space for gatherings, playtime, gardening, or hosting weekend barbecues or simply relaxing outdoors. A generous driveway ensures ample parking! Hendrick Hudson School District! Also: hardwood floors, new furnace, water heater (5 Yrs), new septic fields (5 yrs) This location puts everything within reach, making it an unbeatable place to call home.
-
2026-04-20price $549,000 1533-char remark
Show marketing remark (1533 chars)
Welcome to 16 Meadow Road! Perfectly positioned in a wonderful neighborhood, this home offers the rare combination of peaceful suburban living and exceptional convenience where you will experience the best of neighborhood living and easy commuting. You also get to enjoy all the amenities the Town of Cortlandt has to offer, including the wonderful Town pool and camp for the kids, along with all the many Town programs offered to both adults and kids! The home’s location is one of its greatest assets. Here, every essential is just a short walk or drive away. From your front door, you can walk to playgrounds, ball fields, schools, the library, and minutes to the scenic Hudson River shore! -and offers the convenience commuters are looking for- only 2 miles from the Cortlandt Metro North train station, a 50 minute commute to Grand Central Station! Enter via the enclosed porch into the spacious dining room, just perfect for entertaining during the holidays, living room, an additional room for your office/den/playroom, kitchen, 3 bedrooms and full hall bath. Add your special touches and updates! Step outside to your deck and a large, level backyard, offering plenty of space for gatherings, playtime, gardening, or hosting weekend barbecues or simply relaxing outdoors. A generous driveway ensures ample parking! Hendrick Hudson School District! Also: hardwood floors, new furnace, water heater (5 Yrs), new septic fields (5 yrs) This location puts everything within reach, making it an unbeatable place to call home.
-
2026-04-20status Active 1533-char remark
Show marketing remark (1533 chars)
Welcome to 16 Meadow Road! Perfectly positioned in a wonderful neighborhood, this home offers the rare combination of peaceful suburban living and exceptional convenience where you will experience the best of neighborhood living and easy commuting. You also get to enjoy all the amenities the Town of Cortlandt has to offer, including the wonderful Town pool and camp for the kids, along with all the many Town programs offered to both adults and kids! The home’s location is one of its greatest assets. Here, every essential is just a short walk or drive away. From your front door, you can walk to playgrounds, ball fields, schools, the library, and minutes to the scenic Hudson River shore! -and offers the convenience commuters are looking for- only 2 miles from the Cortlandt Metro North train station, a 50 minute commute to Grand Central Station! Enter via the enclosed porch into the spacious dining room, just perfect for entertaining during the holidays, living room, an additional room for your office/den/playroom, kitchen, 3 bedrooms and full hall bath. Add your special touches and updates! Step outside to your deck and a large, level backyard, offering plenty of space for gatherings, playtime, gardening, or hosting weekend barbecues or simply relaxing outdoors. A generous driveway ensures ample parking! Hendrick Hudson School District! Also: hardwood floors, new furnace, water heater (5 Yrs), new septic fields (5 yrs) This location puts everything within reach, making it an unbeatable place to call home.
-
2026-04-11$594,500 Active 1533-char remark
Show marketing remark (1533 chars)
Welcome to 16 Meadow Road! Perfectly positioned in a wonderful neighborhood, this home offers the rare combination of peaceful suburban living and exceptional convenience where you will experience the best of neighborhood living and easy commuting. You also get to enjoy all the amenities the Town of Cortlandt has to offer, including the wonderful Town pool and camp for the kids, along with all the many Town programs offered to both adults and kids! The home’s location is one of its greatest assets. Here, every essential is just a short walk or drive away. From your front door, you can walk to playgrounds, ball fields, schools, the library, and minutes to the scenic Hudson River shore! -and offers the convenience commuters are looking for- only 2 miles from the Cortlandt Metro North train station, a 50 minute commute to Grand Central Station! Enter via the enclosed porch into the spacious dining room, just perfect for entertaining during the holidays, living room, an additional room for your office/den/playroom, kitchen, 3 bedrooms and full hall bath. Add your special touches and updates! Step outside to your deck and a large, level backyard, offering plenty of space for gatherings, playtime, gardening, or hosting weekend barbecues or simply relaxing outdoors. A generous driveway ensures ample parking! Hendrick Hudson School District! Also: hardwood floors, new furnace, water heater (5 Yrs), new septic fields (5 yrs) This location puts everything within reach, making it an unbeatable place to call home.
-
2026-04-02historical $594,500 1533-char remark
Show marketing remark (1533 chars)
Welcome to 16 Meadow Road! Perfectly positioned in a wonderful neighborhood, this home offers the rare combination of peaceful suburban living and exceptional convenience where you will experience the best of neighborhood living and easy commuting. You also get to enjoy all the amenities the Town of Cortlandt has to offer, including the wonderful Town pool and camp for the kids, along with all the many Town programs offered to both adults and kids! The home’s location is one of its greatest assets. Here, every essential is just a short walk or drive away. From your front door, you can walk to playgrounds, ball fields, schools, the library, and minutes to the scenic Hudson River shore! -and offers the convenience commuters are looking for- only 2 miles from the Cortlandt Metro North train station, a 50 minute commute to Grand Central Station! Enter via the enclosed porch into the spacious dining room, just perfect for entertaining during the holidays, living room, an additional room for your office/den/playroom, kitchen, 3 bedrooms and full hall bath. Add your special touches and updates! Step outside to your deck and a large, level backyard, offering plenty of space for gatherings, playtime, gardening, or hosting weekend barbecues or simply relaxing outdoors. A generous driveway ensures ample parking! Hendrick Hudson School District! Also: hardwood floors, new furnace, water heater (5 Yrs), new septic fields (5 yrs) This location puts everything within reach, making it an unbeatable place to call home.
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2025-11-12$589,000 Active
-
2025-11-11historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,732
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$8,235
- − Insurance
- −$2,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,619
- − Management
- −$4,619
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable loss
- −$9,209
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,210
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with minor repairs needed in the kitchen and bathroom. It offers a good investment opportunity with updates that can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathtub and fixtures — Signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Both Replace bathtub and fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathtub and fixtures · Signs of wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace bathtub and fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendrick Hudson Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614190
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,159
- Composite
- 60.49/100
- National rank
- #846
- State rank
- #143 of 590 in NY
Livability — Montrose
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #1024
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montrose, NY
- City population
- 4,302
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,302
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 14% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.35%
- Current HPI
- 295.7112
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-6.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $549,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Listed $594,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Coming Soon $594,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-12 Listed $589,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…