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1267 Nebraska Ave
C+ Composite 61.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,000

1267 Nebraska Ave · Toledo, OH 43607
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1887 5,200 sqft lot $37/sqft · 36% above area Est $31k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2-bed, 1-bath home with strong investment potential featuring all new windows. Great opportunity for investors looking to add to their portfolio or take on a renovation project, with potential as a Section 8 rental or a great option for a first-time buyer. Property is being sold as-is. Cash offers only. No seller financing.

Key facts

  • All new windows
  • Renovation project
  • 5,200 sq ft lot

Tags

ALL NEW WINDOWSRENOVATION PROJECT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Grove Patterson Academy Elementary School (math 47% / reading 66%, grade C+, #761 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 403 students, 38% FRL); Toledo Early College High School (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #35 of 781 statewide, top 6%, 334 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 72% district-wide (30 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+48 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Toledo City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $42k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1887 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,480 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1887 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.56%
Cap rate
22.18%
Cash-on-cash
56.73%
DSCR
3.52
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$30,848
List price
$42,000
Delta
36.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1049 King St 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,109 (-3%) 3mo $29,000 $26 72
1557 Indiana Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,161 (+1%) 7mo $87,000 $75 65
1119 Indiana Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,218 (+6%) 2mo $50,000 $41 65
1422 Tecumseh St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,298 (+13%) 3mo $16,700 $13 64
1155 Pinewood Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,192 (+4%) 6mo $54,000 $45 62
1614 Campbell St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (+4%) 10mo $41,000 $34 59
1038 Pinewood Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,203 (+5%) 3mo $89,000 $74 56
834 Nebraska Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,199 (+4%) 10mo $35,000 $29 52
1501 Fernwood Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,259 (+10%) 1mo $60,000 $48 47
1534 Pinewood Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,030 (-10%) 9mo $74,900 $73 46
213 Dale St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (+6%) 3mo $56,000 $46 46
1749 Hamilton St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,267 (+10%) 9mo $90,000 $71 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.8%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$34,315
Equity at exit
$6,262
10-year hold
IRR
67.2%
Equity multiple
9.63×
Total profit
$101,457
Equity at exit
$3,631

Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43607

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,077 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$220
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $683/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$556

Break-even live

Break-even rent $373
Max offer price $42,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $580 -5% $568 +0% $556 +5% $544 +10% $532
Rent -10% $471 -5% $513 +0% $556 +5% $599 +10% $641
Rate -1.0pp $577 -0.5pp $567 base $556 +0.5pp $545 +1.0pp $534

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,500
Closing costs
$1,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1341 $845 $0.63 45d 1 0.47mi
1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 930 $900 $0.97 45d 1 0.59mi
1140 Palmwood Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1292 $1,500 $1.16 45d 1 0.65mi
1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 975 $900 $0.92 45d 1 0.78mi
1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,050 $0.94 45d 1 0.79mi
1026 Oakwood Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 45d 1 0.90mi
915 Woodstock Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,100 $0.73 25d 1 0.98mi
1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 992 $1,200 $1.21 15d 1 1.03mi
523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,350 $1.05 15d 1 1.05mi
532 Carlton St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,050 $0.93 45d 1 1.06mi
1133 Parkside Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $850 $0.89 45d 1 1.17mi
705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1037 $900 $0.87 45d 1 1.24mi
724 Spencer St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1127 $1,100 $0.98 45d 1 1.25mi
2117 Clinton St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,115 $0.89 45d 1 1.27mi
837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1158 $695 $0.60 25d 1 1.32mi
837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1178 $700 $0.59 45d 1 1.32mi
827 Colburn St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1092 $750 $0.69 45d 1 1.33mi
307 Danberry St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 988 $950 $0.96 45d 1 1.35mi
707 Toronto Ave Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 25d 1 1.35mi
1825 Collingwood Blvd Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 710 $850 $1.20 15d 1 1.37mi
142 23rd St Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0–1.5 508 $1,395 $2.75 45d 1 1.42mi
2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1123 $1,478 $1.32 25d 1 1.45mi
771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1086 $645 $0.59 25d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $42,000 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $42,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $42,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $42,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $42,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $42,000 Active 61 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    price $42,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    2-bed, 1-bath home with strong investment potential featuring all new windows. Great opportunity for investors looking to add to their portfolio or take on a renovation project, with potential as a Section 8 rental or a great option for a first-time buyer. Property is being sold as-is. Cash offers only. No seller financing.

  18. 2026-03-30
    listed $45,000 Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    2-bed, 1-bath home with strong investment potential featuring all new windows. Great opportunity for investors looking to add to their portfolio or take on a renovation project, with potential as a Section 8 rental or a great option for a first-time buyer. Property is being sold as-is. Cash offers only. No seller financing.

  19. 2026-03-03
    status Active
  20. 2026-02-10
    status Pending
  21. 2026-02-10
    historical
  22. 2026-02-06
    price $35,000
  23. 2026-01-14
    price $32,500
  24. 2025-12-13
    listed $35,500 Active
  25. 2025-12-07
    historical
  26. 2025-12-03
    price $38,500
  27. 2025-11-05
    price $39,900
  28. 2025-10-14
    price $42,500
  29. 2025-10-14
    price $25,740
  30. 2025-10-13
    price $4,200
  31. 2025-09-25
    status Active
  32. 2025-09-18
    historical Contingent
  33. 2025-09-07
    listed $46,500 Active
  34. 2025-08-20
    historical
  35. 2025-06-07
    price $55,000
  36. 2025-05-30
    price $57,500
  37. 2025-05-13
    price $60,000
  38. 2025-04-14
    price $67,500
  39. 2025-04-02
    price $72,000
  40. 2025-03-04
    listed $75,000 Active
  41. 2024-04-11
    historical
  42. 2023-12-08
    listed $55,000 Active
  43. 2022-12-20
    soldstatus $25,740 Closed
  44. 2022-12-13
    status Pending
  45. 2022-11-19
    price $39,000
  46. 2022-07-27
    listed $42,000 Active
  47. 2020-05-04
    soldstatus $341,500
  48. 2019-07-17
    soldstatus $47,000
  49. 2009-08-06
    soldstatus $4,200
  50. 2009-06-25
    listed $4,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$683 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$683 · $57/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,922
− Mortgage interest
−$2,353
− Property taxes
−$683
− Insurance
−$210
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,034
− Management
−$1,034
− Depreciation
−$1,222
Taxable income
$6,387
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,533
After-tax cash flow
$5,139/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,469
Household income
$41,335
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1157.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.58%
Current HPI
175.2772
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+757.1% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $42,000 NORIS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $45,000 NORIS
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted NORIS
  • 2026-02-10 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-02-10 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $35,000 NORIS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $32,500 NORIS
  • 2025-12-13 Listed $35,500 NORIS
  • 2025-12-07 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $38,500 NORIS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $39,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $42,500 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $25,740 NORIS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $4,200 NORIS
  • 2025-09-25 Relisted NORIS
  • 2025-09-18 Contingent NORIS
  • 2025-09-07 Listed $46,500 NORIS
  • 2025-08-20 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2025-06-07 Price Changed $55,000 NORIS
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $57,500 NORIS
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $60,000 NORIS
  • 2025-04-14 Price Changed $67,500 NORIS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $72,000 NORIS
  • 2025-03-04 Listed $75,000 NORIS
  • 2024-04-11 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2023-12-08 Listed $55,000 NORIS
  • 2022-12-20 Sold (MLS) $25,740 NORIS
  • 2022-12-13 Pending NORIS
  • 2022-11-19 Price Changed $39,000 NORIS
  • 2022-07-27 Listed $42,000 NORIS
  • 2020-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $341,500 Public Records
  • 2019-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2009-08-06 Sold (MLS) $4,200 NORIS
  • 2009-06-25 Listed $4,900 NORIS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $683 · -18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…