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200 San Bernardino Ave #46
B Composite 71.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$172,800

200 San Bernardino Ave #46 · Rialto, CA 92376
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 30 Days on market
Built 1979 Est $184k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rialto, Ca. 200 W San Bernardino Ave SP 46. 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath Mobile Home for sale in the Capri Rialto Mobile Home Estates. Home is Located on a corner lot, Park is a 55+ age park. Space rent $883. per month. Home is a Fixer. Centrally located close to Freeways, shopping, business's, park, and churches. Your opportunity to purchase your own home and fix to your desire. Probate with full authority. Home sold 'AS-IS'. Seller will make no repairs. Seller and/or agent make no warranties. All information deem accurate however buyer to do their own investigations to satisfy themselves. Sale Contingent on buyer obtaining park approval. Park amenities include a community clubhouse and pool. Re: Offer: Good faith deposit must be 10%. along with proof of funds. Don't wait call your agent today. Thank you.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1979
  • Listed 30 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: NW corner of San Bernardino Ave. & Riverside Ave.
  • Financial info: Land lease of $850 per month (park)
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Park name: Capri Rialto Mobile Estates; Curbs in the community; Manager approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with unassigned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Mobile home (24' x 60') — mobile home remains; Single-story property; Entry at front door
  • Construction: Year built: other (source indicates 'Other')
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Community pool; Corner lot; Level/flat lot; Near public transit; No landscaping; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Quartz countertops; Kitchen island; Self-closing drawers; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Gas range and gas oven; Water line to refrigerator; Dishwasher; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Combination of walk-in shower and shower in tub; includes bathtub
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: One-level home with front door entry; Kitchen open to family room; All bedrooms on the main level; Laundry room inside
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $173k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $173k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.5% in Rialto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#598 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Rialto Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #268 of 517 in CA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $173k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,208 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.27%
Cash-on-cash
24.94%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,320
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 W San Bernardino Ave #46 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 4mo $65,000 $45 92
200 San Bernardino #47 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 8mo $140,000 $97 88
200 W San Bernardino Ave #100 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,375 (-4%) 7mo $210,000 $153 86
200 W San Bernardino Ave #35 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,442 (+0%) 13mo $162,000 $112 81
1025 S Riverside Ave #20 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 18mo $185,000 $128 70
1155 S RIVERSIDE Dr #7 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-10%) 2mo $170,000 $131 64
1155 S Riverside Ave #113 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,493 (+4%) 22mo $190,000 $127 63
1155 S Riverside Ave #112 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (-4%) 16mo $212,000 $154 62
1025 S Riverside Ave #66 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 2mo $165,000 $132 61
1166 S Riverside #81 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (+9%) 22mo $194,999 $124 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$32,179
Equity at exit
$25,765
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$95,107
Equity at exit
$14,941

Cash invested: $48,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92376

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,784 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$906
Tax est. 1.5%
$216 /mo · $2,592/yr
Insurance
$72
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$585
Net cashflow
$1,005

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,512
Max offer price $172,800
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,125 -5% $1,065 +0% $1,005 +5% $946 +10% $886
Rent -10% $785 -5% $895 +0% $1,005 +5% $1,115 +10% $1,225
Rate -1.0pp $1,092 -0.5pp $1,049 base $1,005 +0.5pp $961 +1.0pp $915

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,200
Closing costs
$5,184
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1108 S Riverside Ave Rialto, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 45d 1 0.15mi
1004 S Riverside Ave Unit A-3 Rialto, CA 3.0 2.5 1155 $2,750 $2.38 45d 1 0.30mi
1004 S Riverside Ave Rialto, CA 3.0 3.0 1155 $2,750 $2.38 45d 1 0.30mi
2047 Greenbriar St Colton, CA 2.0 2.0 1032 $2,595 $2.51 45d 1 0.54mi
1084 Jacaranda Rd Colton, CA 2.0 2.0 1032 $2,400 $2.33 45d 1 0.65mi
1031 S Cactus Ave Rialto, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $2,715 $2.63 6d 1 0.66mi
1351 Christobal Ln Colton, CA 4.0 2.5 1726 $3,300 $1.91 3d 1 0.70mi
1351 Christobal Ln Colton, CA 4.0 2.5 1726 $3,300 $1.91 0d 1 0.70mi
606 S Riverside Ave Rialto, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $2,995 $2.90 0d 3 0.74mi
554 S Willow Ave Unit 1 Rialto, CA 3.0 1.0 993 $2,600 $2.62 45d 1 0.82mi
142 E Merrill Ave Rialto, CA 3.0 1.5 1120 $2,495 $2.23 45d 1 0.97mi
1163 Bent Rail Cir Colton, CA 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,795 $2.24 45d 1 1.04mi
210 West South St Unit a Rialto, CA 3.0 2.0 1275 $2,600 $2.04 45d 1 1.05mi
202 Bonita Ln Rialto, CA 3.0 2.5 1549 $3,050 $1.97 0d 1 1.14mi
10026 Portola Ave Bloomington, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,850 $2.06 45d 1 1.21mi
443 S Tamarisk Ave Rialto, CA 4.0 2.0 1574 $3,700 $2.35 45d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $172,800 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $172,800 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $172,800 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $172,800 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $172,800 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $172,800 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $172,800 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $172,800 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $172,800 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $172,800 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $172,800 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $172,800 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $172,800 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $172,800 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $172,800 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $172,800 Active
  17. 2026-05-19
    historical $172,800
  18. 2026-03-03
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed 808-char remark
    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    Rialto, Ca. 200 W San Bernardino Ave SP 46. 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath Mobile Home for sale in the Capri Rialto Mobile Home Estates. Home is Located on a corner lot, Park is a 55+ age park. Space rent $883. per month. Home is a Fixer. Centrally located close to Freeways, shopping, business's, park, and churches. Your opportunity to purchase your own home and fix to your desire. Probate with full authority. Home sold 'AS-IS'. Seller will make no repairs. Seller and/or agent make no warranties. All information deem accurate however buyer to do their own investigations to satisfy themselves. Sale Contingent on buyer obtaining park approval. Park amenities include a community clubhouse and pool. Re: Offer: Good faith deposit must be 10%. along with proof of funds. Don't wait call your agent today. Thank you.

  19. 2026-01-21
    status Pending 808-char remark
    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    Rialto, Ca. 200 W San Bernardino Ave SP 46. 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath Mobile Home for sale in the Capri Rialto Mobile Home Estates. Home is Located on a corner lot, Park is a 55+ age park. Space rent $883. per month. Home is a Fixer. Centrally located close to Freeways, shopping, business's, park, and churches. Your opportunity to purchase your own home and fix to your desire. Probate with full authority. Home sold 'AS-IS'. Seller will make no repairs. Seller and/or agent make no warranties. All information deem accurate however buyer to do their own investigations to satisfy themselves. Sale Contingent on buyer obtaining park approval. Park amenities include a community clubhouse and pool. Re: Offer: Good faith deposit must be 10%. along with proof of funds. Don't wait call your agent today. Thank you.

  20. 2025-12-17
    listed $55,000 Active 808-char remark
    Show marketing remark (808 chars)

    Rialto, Ca. 200 W San Bernardino Ave SP 46. 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath Mobile Home for sale in the Capri Rialto Mobile Home Estates. Home is Located on a corner lot, Park is a 55+ age park. Space rent $883. per month. Home is a Fixer. Centrally located close to Freeways, shopping, business's, park, and churches. Your opportunity to purchase your own home and fix to your desire. Probate with full authority. Home sold 'AS-IS'. Seller will make no repairs. Seller and/or agent make no warranties. All information deem accurate however buyer to do their own investigations to satisfy themselves. Sale Contingent on buyer obtaining park approval. Park amenities include a community clubhouse and pool. Re: Offer: Good faith deposit must be 10%. along with proof of funds. Don't wait call your agent today. Thank you.

  21. 2006-05-05
    soldstatus $75,000 42-char remark
    Show marketing remark (42 chars)

    200 W San Bernardino Ave, Sp 46-79 Skyline

  22. 2006-02-23
    listed $90,000 42-char remark
    Show marketing remark (42 chars)

    200 W San Bernardino Ave, Sp 46-79 Skyline

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,411
− Mortgage interest
−$9,679
− Property taxes
−$2,592
− Insurance
−$864
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,673
− Management
−$2,673
− Depreciation
−$5,027
Taxable income
$9,903
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,377
After-tax cash flow
$9,688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rialto Unified
NCES district ID
0632370
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,916
Composite
30.77/100
National rank
#6154
State rank
#268 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rialto

Score
60/100
State rank
#598
US rank
#19283

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rialto, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
105,208
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
84,394
Household income
$79,675
Rent vs Own
38.1% rent · 61.9% own
Severe rent burden
2574.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 78% Two or more races 22% Black 11% White 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 68%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 61% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -323.82%
Current HPI
505.95
Rent YoY
▲ 1.59%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $172,800 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $172,800 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $55,000 GPSMLS
  • 2006-05-05 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-02-23 Listed $90,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…