🏷️ Likely Rental
525 Larimer Ave · Turtle Creek, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Heart of Turtle Creek! Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit, and offers easy access to anywhere in the city. Up/Down Frame Duplex waiting for your contractor! This is perfect for an investor who wants to inherit a great rental that needs renovations to place a tenant and generate income or a rehabber who wants to renovate and resell. Implement your own personal touches and revive this property to its potential! Layout: Unit 1 First Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, and Full Bathroom. Unit 2 Second Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, Laundry, and Full Bathroom. Full unfinished basement. 2 Gas Meters and 2 Electric Meters and Panels. 1 Water Meter. 2 Car Off Street Parking in Rear. Larimer is a great central location with easy public transit access! Blank canvas! Perfect for any investor- tons of potential! Opportunities are endless!
Key facts
- Up down frame duplex
- 2,626 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $919 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $459/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#807 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Woodland Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #486 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,233/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 344% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $55k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 107.45%
- DSCR
- 5.78
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,128
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -40.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $49,910
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 75.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.80×
- Total profit
- $120,091
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15145
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,233 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $919
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $2,234 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,117 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,117 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,233 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 Washington St Turtle Creek, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 906 Penn Ave Unit A Turtle Creek, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 906 Penn Ave Unit D Turtle Creek, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1615 Lynn Ave Unit 2 Turtle Creek, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,145 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 400 Greensburg Pike North Versailles, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 610 Brown Ave Turtle Creek, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,499 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 227 Parklane Dr Unit Parklane Dr unit North Braddock, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 12d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1100 Penn Center Blvd Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1203 | $2,199 | $1.83 | 2d | 17 | 1.16mi |
| 539 Atlantic Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 321 Center St Unit 1 East Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2189 | $1,150 | $0.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 407 Bessemer Ave Unit 407-3 East Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $775 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 101 Center St East Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,505 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 335 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 332 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 326 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-05-06price $55,000 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
Investor Special! Heart of Turtle Creek! Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit, and offers easy access to anywhere in the city. Up/Down Frame Duplex waiting for your contractor! This is perfect for an investor who wants to inherit a great rental that needs renovations to place a tenant and generate income or a rehabber who wants to renovate and resell. Implement your own personal touches and revive this property to its potential! Layout: Unit 1 First Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, and Full Bathroom. Unit 2 Second Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, Laundry, and Full Bathroom. Full unfinished basement. 2 Gas Meters and 2 Electric Meters and Panels. 1 Water Meter. 2 Car Off Street Parking in Rear. Larimer is a great central location with easy public transit access! Blank canvas! Perfect for any investor- tons of potential! Opportunities are endless!
-
2026-03-01price $65,000 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
Investor Special! Heart of Turtle Creek! Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit, and offers easy access to anywhere in the city. Up/Down Frame Duplex waiting for your contractor! This is perfect for an investor who wants to inherit a great rental that needs renovations to place a tenant and generate income or a rehabber who wants to renovate and resell. Implement your own personal touches and revive this property to its potential! Layout: Unit 1 First Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, and Full Bathroom. Unit 2 Second Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, Laundry, and Full Bathroom. Full unfinished basement. 2 Gas Meters and 2 Electric Meters and Panels. 1 Water Meter. 2 Car Off Street Parking in Rear. Larimer is a great central location with easy public transit access! Blank canvas! Perfect for any investor- tons of potential! Opportunities are endless!
-
2025-09-23price $69,000 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
Investor Special! Heart of Turtle Creek! Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit, and offers easy access to anywhere in the city. Up/Down Frame Duplex waiting for your contractor! This is perfect for an investor who wants to inherit a great rental that needs renovations to place a tenant and generate income or a rehabber who wants to renovate and resell. Implement your own personal touches and revive this property to its potential! Layout: Unit 1 First Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, and Full Bathroom. Unit 2 Second Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, Laundry, and Full Bathroom. Full unfinished basement. 2 Gas Meters and 2 Electric Meters and Panels. 1 Water Meter. 2 Car Off Street Parking in Rear. Larimer is a great central location with easy public transit access! Blank canvas! Perfect for any investor- tons of potential! Opportunities are endless!
-
2025-07-16$75,000 Active 889-char remark
Show marketing remark (889 chars)
Investor Special! Heart of Turtle Creek! Conveniently located near local shopping, public transit, and offers easy access to anywhere in the city. Up/Down Frame Duplex waiting for your contractor! This is perfect for an investor who wants to inherit a great rental that needs renovations to place a tenant and generate income or a rehabber who wants to renovate and resell. Implement your own personal touches and revive this property to its potential! Layout: Unit 1 First Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, and Full Bathroom. Unit 2 Second Floor- Living Room, Kitchen, Bedroom, Laundry, and Full Bathroom. Full unfinished basement. 2 Gas Meters and 2 Electric Meters and Panels. 1 Water Meter. 2 Car Off Street Parking in Rear. Larimer is a great central location with easy public transit access! Blank canvas! Perfect for any investor- tons of potential! Opportunities are endless!
-
2014-06-30price $20,000 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Duplex property in Turtle Creek. Rental ready, buy today, move in tomorrow! Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio!
-
2014-06-26price $26,145 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Duplex property in Turtle Creek. Rental ready, buy today, move in tomorrow! Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio!
-
2014-06-26soldstatus $20,000 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Duplex property in Turtle Creek. Rental ready, buy today, move in tomorrow! Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio!
-
2014-02-07$26,145 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Duplex property in Turtle Creek. Rental ready, buy today, move in tomorrow! Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio!
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2013-03-06$27,900
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2011-10-21price $19,900
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2011-10-21soldstatus $10,452
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2011-07-14$10,452
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1999-03-17soldstatus $26,900
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1999-03-16soldstatus $26,900
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1998-12-28$28,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$5,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,144
- − Management
- −$2,144
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $11,143
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,674
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,348/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodland Hills SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216500
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,803
- Composite
- 18.31/100
- National rank
- #8954
- State rank
- #486 of 539 in PA
Livability — Turtle Creek
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #807
- US rank
- #8228
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Turtle Creek, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 6,695
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,695
- Household income
- $49,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 344.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 22% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovene 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.67%
- Current HPI
- 162.0452
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+90.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $65,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $69,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-07-16 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-06-30 Price Changed $20,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-06-26 Sold (MLS) $20,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-06-26 Price Changed $26,145 West Penn MLS
- 2014-02-07 Listed $26,145 West Penn MLS
- 2013-03-06 Listed $27,900 West Penn MLS
- 2011-10-21 Sold (MLS) $10,452 West Penn MLS
- 2011-10-21 Price Changed $19,900 West Penn MLS
- 2011-07-14 Listed $10,452 West Penn MLS
- 1999-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $26,900 Public Records
- 1999-03-16 Sold (MLS) $26,900 West Penn MLS
- 1998-12-28 Listed $28,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $885 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…