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15501 Maryland Ave
B+ Composite 76.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$151,000

15501 Maryland Ave · Dolton, IL 60419
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,265 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1958 5,850 sqft lot Est $194k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH LARGE FENCED IN YARD. THREE BEDROOMS, LARGE KITCHEN WITH EATING AREA, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU-OUT, NEWER FURNACE, ROOF, CENTRAL AIR AND OVERHEAD SEWER SYSTEM. BASEMENT WITH FULL BATH. CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND TRANSPORTATION.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Ranch-style home
  • Bright living room

Tags

RANCH-STYLE HOMEBRIGHT LIVING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENSEMI-FINISHED BASEMENTDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREALARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Commuter bus service nearby; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Ownership: Fee simple; Built before 1978 (61–70 years old)
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 5,852 sq ft

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in bedrooms; Hardwood flooring in other areas; Vinyl flooring in kitchen; Carpet in living room; Other flooring in basement laundry
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement bathroom present
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Partially finished full basement; 6 total rooms; Curtains/drapes on living room windows
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $151k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $151k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,746/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $130k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $151,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
11.88%
Cash-on-cash
19.96%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$193,545
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15505 Drexel Ave 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-5%) 2mo $205,000 $171 80
615 E 156th Pl 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+3%) 2mo $198,650 $153 76
15265 Drexel Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+6%) 2mo $155,000 $115 71
717 E 154th St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-12%) 2mo $177,000 $158 68
15509 Rose Dr 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-13%) 0mo $135,000 $123 64
686 E 155th St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (+11%) 2mo $157,000 $112 64
15439 University Ave 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,428 (+13%) 1mo $250,000 $175 60
618 E 159th Pl 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,294 (+2%) 2mo $236,000 $182 60
746 E 157th St 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,403 (+11%) 3mo $180,000 $128 60
15518 Maple St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,345 (+6%) 1mo $120,000 $89 60
619 E 152nd St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,146 (-9%) 1mo $153,000 $134 54
14927 Cottage Grove Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,095 (-13%) 1mo $250,000 $228 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$35,128
Equity at exit
$22,515
10-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
4.68×
Total profit
$155,522
Equity at exit
$13,056

Cash invested: $42,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,746 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$792
Tax from tax record
$611 /mo · $7,334/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$577
Net cashflow
$703

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,856
Max offer price $151,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,750
Closing costs
$4,530
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 24d 1 0.37mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 7d 1 0.37mi
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 7d 1 0.58mi
15707 Dante Dr South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,950 $1.64 2d 1 0.74mi
16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1136 $3,330 $2.93 6d 1 0.75mi
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 24d 1 0.78mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 21d 1 0.90mi
16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,170 $2.54 1d 1 0.95mi
14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 19d 1 1.19mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 10d 1 1.22mi
15400 Merrill Ave South Holland, IL 4.0 2.0 1508 $3,330 $2.21 21d 1 1.29mi
660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,750 $1.25 3d 1 1.30mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 24d 1 1.32mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 6d 1 1.37mi
409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,795 $1.50 3d 1 1.39mi
14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 18d 1 1.40mi
1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1600 $2,500 $1.56 1d 1 1.41mi
659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 2.0 1255 $2,461 $1.96 10d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $151,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $153,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $153,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $153,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $153,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $153,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $153,000 Active 236 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $153,000 Active 235 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,000 Active 234 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $153,000 Active 231 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $153,000 Active 230 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $153,000 Active 229 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $153,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $153,000 Active 227 DOM
  15. 2026-04-24
    price $153,000
  16. 2026-03-27
    price $158,000
  17. 2026-02-27
    price $163,000
  18. 2026-01-30
    price $168,000
  19. 2026-01-09
    price $173,000
  20. 2025-12-05
    price $178,000
  21. 2025-11-07
    price $184,000
  22. 2025-10-16
    listed $192,000 Active
  23. 2015-12-09
    soldstatus $130,500
  24. 2013-08-20
    soldstatus $45,000
  25. 2013-08-14
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed Sale 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH LARGE FENCED IN YARD. THREE BEDROOMS, LARGE KITCHEN WITH EATING AREA, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU-OUT, NEWER FURNACE, ROOF, CENTRAL AIR AND OVERHEAD SEWER SYSTEM. BASEMENT WITH FULL BATH. CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND TRANSPORTATION.

  26. 2013-08-01
    status Pending 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH LARGE FENCED IN YARD. THREE BEDROOMS, LARGE KITCHEN WITH EATING AREA, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU-OUT, NEWER FURNACE, ROOF, CENTRAL AIR AND OVERHEAD SEWER SYSTEM. BASEMENT WITH FULL BATH. CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND TRANSPORTATION.

  27. 2013-06-05
    listed $59,500 New 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH LARGE FENCED IN YARD. THREE BEDROOMS, LARGE KITCHEN WITH EATING AREA, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU-OUT, NEWER FURNACE, ROOF, CENTRAL AIR AND OVERHEAD SEWER SYSTEM. BASEMENT WITH FULL BATH. CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND TRANSPORTATION.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,334 · $611/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,334 · $611/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,949
− Mortgage interest
−$8,458
− Property taxes
−$7,334
− Insurance
−$755
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,636
− Management
−$2,636
− Depreciation
−$4,393
Taxable income
$6,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,617
After-tax cash flow
$6,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $153,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $158,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $163,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $168,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $173,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $178,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $184,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $192,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $130,500 Public Records
  • 2013-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2013-08-14 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-08-01 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-05 Listed $59,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,334 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…