14625 NW 298th St · Okeechobee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CBS HOME ON 1 1/4 ACRE - If you are into the country, come take a look. New electrical 2009, New water pump 2009, partial fenced yard, home is well insulated. Metal roof in 2009. Kitchen not finished, needs some cabinets and sink. LivestockYN = N,
Key facts
- 1.25-acre lot
- Solid cbs bones
- Natural paradise
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Pending
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: No specific security features provided
- Utilities: Electric power; Public water and sewer information not specified
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; South-facing
- Construction: Block construction; Aluminum roof; Built as resale (existing property)
- Exterior features: Fenced lot; First-floor entry; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Concrete
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Concrete floors
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.3% in Okeechobee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#210 in FL, #3,234 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Okeechobee (town): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #58 of 73 in FL (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 644 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Okeechobee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okeechobee County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $160k implies a 255% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.15%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,096
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14625 NW 298th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $139 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,363
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $17,546
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34972
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 644
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,767 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2025-11-12$159,900 Active
-
2014-03-15soldstatus $45,000 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
CBS HOME ON 1 1/4 ACRE - If you are into the country, come take a look. New electrical 2009, New water pump 2009, partial fenced yard, home is well insulated. Metal roof in 2009. Kitchen not finished, needs some cabinets and sink. LivestockYN = N,
-
2013-12-16soldstatus $45,100
-
2013-06-08$47,900 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
CBS HOME ON 1 1/4 ACRE - If you are into the country, come take a look. New electrical 2009, New water pump 2009, partial fenced yard, home is well insulated. Metal roof in 2009. Kitchen not finished, needs some cabinets and sink. LivestockYN = N,
-
2005-05-31soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $898 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$430/yr (+$36/mo · 47.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$2,302
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,696
- − Management
- −$1,696
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $1,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$241
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okeechobee
- NCES district ID
- 1201410
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,710
- Composite
- 35.73/100
- National rank
- #4855
- State rank
- #58 of 73 in FL
Livability — Okeechobee
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #210
- US rank
- #3234
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 23,975
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,185
Population outlook (Okeechobee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,273 people
- By 2030
- 35,885 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 32,931 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 29,433 · -21.0%
- By 2075
- 19,607 · -47.4%
- By 2100
- 11,814 · -68.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Okeechobee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.9% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -53.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.8 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.94%
- Current HPI
- 389.1156
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+299.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-12 Listed $159,900 Beaches MLS
- 2014-03-15 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $45,100 Public Records
- 2013-06-08 Listed $47,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $898 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…