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4844 Alert New London Rd Triplex
B Composite 73.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$264,900

4844 Alert New London Rd · Ross, OH 45013
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 4,000 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 203 Days on market
Built 1906 0.27 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

3 family, 2 story home. Good rental history. Trees trimmed in 2017. Roof 2018. Water heater in unit 1 (2017) unit 2 (2020). Fridge in unit 2 (2022). Stove in unit 1 (2023) Tenants would like to stay. Subject to tenant rights.

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Built 1906
  • Listed 203 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($36k/yr) — positive. Per door: $998/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $265k).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#591 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Ross Local (rural): math 71% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #95 of 656 in OH (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Morgan Elementary School (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A+, #116 of 1,584 statewide, top 9%, 408 students, 19% FRL); Ross Middle School (math 65% / reading 75%, grade A, #136 of 654 statewide, top 22%, 726 students, 24% FRL); Ross High School (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #52 of 781 statewide, top 7%, 933 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,020/mo this rent would consume 98% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 1047% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $265k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.27%
Cap rate
19.86%
Cash-on-cash
48.44%
DSCR
3.16
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$152,029
Equity at exit
$39,497
10-year hold
IRR
52.8%
Equity multiple
6.33×
Total profit
$395,645
Equity at exit
$22,904

Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45013

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,389
Tax from tax record
$262 /mo · $3,146/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,264
Net cashflow
$2,994

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,230
Max offer price $264,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,144 -5% $3,069 +0% $2,994 +5% $2,919 +10% $2,844
Rent -10% $2,519 -5% $2,756 +0% $2,994 +5% $3,232 +10% $3,470
Rate -1.0pp $3,128 -0.5pp $3,061 base $2,994 +0.5pp $2,925 +1.0pp $2,856

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,020

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,225
Closing costs
$7,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $264,900 Active 203 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $264,900 Active 202 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $264,900 Active 199 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $264,900 Active 198 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $264,900 Active 197 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $264,900 Active 196 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $264,900 Active 194 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $264,900 Active 190 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $264,900 Active 189 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $264,900 Active 188 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $264,900 Active 185 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $264,900 Active 184 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $264,900 Active 183 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $264,900 Active 182 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $264,900 Active 181 DOM
  16. 2025-12-01
    listed $264,900 Active 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    3 family, 2 story home. Good rental history. Trees trimmed in 2017. Roof 2018. Water heater in unit 1 (2017) unit 2 (2020). Fridge in unit 2 (2022). Stove in unit 1 (2023) Tenants would like to stay. Subject to tenant rights.

  17. 2012-05-24
    soldstatus $60,500 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    This 3 family is fully rented and in great condition. Newer siding and enjoy the country view.

  18. 2012-05-03
    soldstatus $60,500
  19. 2011-07-19
    listed $76,900 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    This 3 family is fully rented and in great condition. Newer siding and enjoy the country view.

  20. 1988-01-14
    soldstatus $28,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,146 · $262/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,639 · $303/mo
Expected delta
+$493/yr (+$41/mo · 15.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$72,240
− Mortgage interest
−$14,839
− Property taxes
−$3,146
− Insurance
−$1,324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,779
− Management
−$5,779
− Depreciation
−$7,706
Taxable income
$33,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,080
After-tax cash flow
$27,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ross Local
NCES district ID
3904614
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$70,035
Composite
64.17/100
National rank
#567
State rank
#95 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ross

Score
67/100
State rank
#591
US rank
#10127

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Butler County · 381,674 people
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
53,998
Household income
$73,633
Rent vs Own
26.5% rent · 73.5% own
Severe rent burden
1047.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
387,706 people
By 2030
392,028 · +1.1%
By 2040
395,307 · +2.0%
By 2050
391,116 · +0.9%
By 2075
378,642 · -2.3%
By 2100
343,248 · -11.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.3) · D 36.4% · R 62.7%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.6pp · 2024: -26.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+22.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.85%
Current HPI
237.0239
Rent YoY
▲ 3.69%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+826.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $264,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2012-05-24 Sold (MLS) $60,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2012-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $60,500 Public Records
  • 2011-07-19 Listed $76,900 Cincy MLS
  • 1988-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $28,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,146 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…