39972 Idaho Pl · Salome, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice clean mobile with enclosed Patio room. Desert landscaping double wide lot. Storage building. One of the most desirable communities. Priced to sell! Bring Offers!!
Key facts
- Enclosed patio room
- Full rv hook up
- Covered parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: B-R1FB Res: SF Factory Built
- HOA & community: Keller Retirement Community (subdivision)
Exterior
- Parking: Oversized parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Natural gas available and connected; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Built by Mark
- Exterior features: RV hookup; Patio; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 rooms total
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Furnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-695/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (8.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (27.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Salome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#76 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bicentennial Union High School District (4515) (rural): math 0% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #448 of 501 in AZ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Salome Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #687 of 1,109 statewide, top 65%, 124 students, 70% FRL); Salome High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #298 of 381 statewide, top 90%, 126 students, 80% FRL).
- Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $119k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.09%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $11,322
- Equity at exit
- $54,269
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $44,561
- Equity at exit
- $84,231
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85348
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $862 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $-58
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $9 | -5% $-24 | +0% $-58 | +5% $-92 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-126 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-58 | +5% $-24 | +10% $10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2 | -0.5pp $-28 | base $-58 | +0.5pp $-89 | +1.0pp $-120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $119,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $119,000
-
2026-03-05$139,000 Active
-
2020-12-10soldstatus $50,000 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Nice clean mobile with enclosed Patio room. Desert landscaping double wide lot. Storage building. One of the most desirable communities. Priced to sell! Bring Offers!!
-
2020-12-09soldstatus $50,000
-
2020-10-05$59,900 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Nice clean mobile with enclosed Patio room. Desert landscaping double wide lot. Storage building. One of the most desirable communities. Priced to sell! Bring Offers!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥109°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$828
- − Management
- −$828
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$2,817
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$676
- After-tax cash flow
- $-19/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bicentennial Union High School District (4515)
- NCES district ID
- 0401160
- Math proficiency
- 0% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,540
- Composite
- 8.23/100
- National rank
- #14749
- State rank
- #448 of 501 in AZ
Livability — Salome
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #11989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salome, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,201
Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,409 people
- By 2030
- 17,592 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 16,600 · -9.8%
- By 2050
- 16,328 · -11.3%
- By 2075
- 17,075 · -7.2%
- By 2100
- 17,042 · -7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% German 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · La Paz
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.11%
- Current HPI
- 161.321
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+98.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $119,000 LHAR
- 2026-03-05 Listed $139,000 LHAR
- 2020-12-10 Sold (MLS) $50,000 LHAR
- 2020-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-05 Listed $59,900 LHAR
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $788 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…