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39972 Idaho Pl
D- Composite 39.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$119,000

39972 Idaho Pl · Salome, AZ 85348
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1965 0.41 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice clean mobile with enclosed Patio room. Desert landscaping double wide lot. Storage building. One of the most desirable communities. Priced to sell! Bring Offers!!

Key facts

  • Enclosed patio room
  • Full rv hook up
  • Covered parking

Tags

ENCLOSED PATIO ROOMCOVERED PARKINGFULL RV HOOK UPDESERT LANDSCAPINGSTORAGE BUILDINGDETACHED LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: B-R1FB Res: SF Factory Built
  • HOA & community: Keller Retirement Community (subdivision)

Exterior

  • Parking: Oversized parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Natural gas available and connected; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Built by Mark
  • Exterior features: RV hookup; Patio; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 rooms total
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Furnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-695/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (8.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (27.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Salome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#76 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bicentennial Union High School District (4515) (rural): math 0% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #448 of 501 in AZ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Salome Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #687 of 1,109 statewide, top 65%, 124 students, 70% FRL); Salome High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #298 of 381 statewide, top 90%, 126 students, 80% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $119k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,246 (27.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.09%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$11,322
Equity at exit
$54,269
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$44,561
Equity at exit
$84,231

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85348

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$862 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $788/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$-58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $936
Max offer price $108,764
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $9 -5% $-24 +0% $-58 +5% $-92 +10% $-125
Rent -10% $-126 -5% $-92 +0% $-58 +5% $-24 +10% $10
Rate -1.0pp $2 -0.5pp $-28 base $-58 +0.5pp $-89 +1.0pp $-120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $119,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 86 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,000 Active 85 DOM
  19. 2026-05-18
    price $119,000
  20. 2026-03-05
    listed $139,000 Active
  21. 2020-12-10
    soldstatus $50,000 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Nice clean mobile with enclosed Patio room. Desert landscaping double wide lot. Storage building. One of the most desirable communities. Priced to sell! Bring Offers!!

  22. 2020-12-09
    soldstatus $50,000
  23. 2020-10-05
    listed $59,900 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Nice clean mobile with enclosed Patio room. Desert landscaping double wide lot. Storage building. One of the most desirable communities. Priced to sell! Bring Offers!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$788 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$788 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥109°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,350
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$788
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$828
− Management
−$828
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$2,817
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$676
After-tax cash flow
$-19/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bicentennial Union High School District (4515)
NCES district ID
0401160
Math proficiency
0% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,540
Composite
8.23/100
National rank
#14749
State rank
#448 of 501 in AZ

Livability — Salome

Score
66/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#11989

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salome, AZ
Population (ZIP)
2,201

Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,409 people
By 2030
17,592 · -4.4%
By 2040
16,600 · -9.8%
By 2050
16,328 · -11.3%
By 2075
17,075 · -7.2%
By 2100
17,042 · -7.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% German 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · La Paz

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.11%
Current HPI
161.321
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $119,000 LHAR
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $139,000 LHAR
  • 2020-12-10 Sold (MLS) $50,000 LHAR
  • 2020-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-05 Listed $59,900 LHAR

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $788 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…