🏷️ Likely Rental
897 77th St S · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors! Investors! Investors! Don't miss this opportunity to own this tenant occupied 3 bedroom one bath home. The home features hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and in the heart of the East Lake area. The home is currently being sold AS IS. Please do not disturb the tenants.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- East lake area
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.66%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,082
- List price
- $92,500
- Delta
- -21.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 816 Vanderbilt St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (+1%) | 3mo | $81,500 | $74 | 86 |
| 758 Vanderbilt St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (+1%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $160 | 78 |
| 904 75th St S | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-8%) | 7mo | $139,000 | $139 | 76 |
| 7432 Queenstown Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,127 (+4%) | 5mo | $179,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 1009 S 82nd St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,094 (+1%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 7915 7th Ave S | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,162 (+7%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $73 | 62 |
| 7801 7th Ave S | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $120 | 62 |
| 7316 Rome Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-13%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $79 | 62 |
| 7916 5th Ave S | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-2%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $136 | 59 |
| 7830 5th Ave S | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,151 (+6%) | 2mo | $142,500 | $124 | 58 |
| 740 81st Pl S | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,137 (+5%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $35 | 52 |
| 775 81st Pl S | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+13%) | 6mo | $103,000 | $84 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $5,161
- Equity at exit
- $13,792
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $26,699
- Equity at exit
- $7,998
Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35206
- Home prices YoY
- -32.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,151 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$485
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $576/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $390 | -5% $364 | +0% $338 | +5% $312 | +10% $286 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $247 | -5% $292 | +0% $338 | +5% $383 | +10% $429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $385 | -0.5pp $361 | base $338 | +0.5pp $314 | +1.0pp $290 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,125
- Closing costs
- $2,775
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 836 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $850 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 7808 Vienna Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7341 Rome Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7341 Rome Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 832 79th Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 756 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7825 Rugby Ct Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 929 | $875 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7404 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 802 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 7313 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7823 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,175 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7827 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $850 | $0.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 768 80th Pl S Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 630 77th St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $983 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8013 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7740 Rugby Ave Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7740 Rugby Ave Unit b Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7216 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 19d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 764 81st St S Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 7728 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7931 7th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7701 7th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7213 Naples Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7213 Naples Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 937 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 775 81st Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,095 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 735 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,400 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 731 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1221 | $995 | $0.81 | 11d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8122 Rugby Ave Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8229 9th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 997 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7815 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 730 82nd Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,023 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 514 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 745 82nd Pl S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,168 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 512 81st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,150 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7620 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,025 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8242 Vassar Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,100 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7801 3rd Ave S Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7829 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1005 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8035 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8211 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,250 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8108 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $92,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $92,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $92,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-04status Active 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Investors! Investors! Investors! Don't miss this opportunity to own this tenant occupied 3 bedroom one bath home. The home features hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and in the heart of the East Lake area. The home is currently being sold AS IS. Please do not disturb the tenants.
-
2026-04-26historical Contingent 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Investors! Investors! Investors! Don't miss this opportunity to own this tenant occupied 3 bedroom one bath home. The home features hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and in the heart of the East Lake area. The home is currently being sold AS IS. Please do not disturb the tenants.
-
2026-03-04$92,500 Active 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Investors! Investors! Investors! Don't miss this opportunity to own this tenant occupied 3 bedroom one bath home. The home features hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and in the heart of the East Lake area. The home is currently being sold AS IS. Please do not disturb the tenants.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $576 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $576 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,181
- − Property taxes
- −$576
- − Insurance
- −$462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,105
- − Management
- −$1,105
- − Depreciation
- −$2,691
- Taxable income
- $2,695
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$647
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,621
- Household income
- $42,549
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1169.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 22% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.70%
- Current HPI
- 146.2168
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-26 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $92,500 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $576 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…