418 Powell St · Benton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
$227,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready home just outside of Draffenville in Marshall County. The three bedroom home boasts open concept kitchen, dining and living with a bedroom downstairs and full bathroom. Upstairs there are two more bedrooms and bathroom with stand up shower. At the top of the stairs there is an open area for an office, crafting, TV watching or gaming. The detached garage can store all of your toys for the lake or 4-wheeling. There are two driveways for plenty of parking and access from both Powell St. and Ruth St. The screened-in front porch allows you to enjoy the outdoors year round or enjoy a cup of coffee or glass of tea! Location is convenient to school, grocery, and hospital. A short drive to the lake, Paducah or Murray. All this property needs is YOU!
Key facts
- Two driveways
- Open concept kitchen
- Full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $228k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-749/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (4.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in Benton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#171 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Calvert City Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #255 of 676 statewide, top 42%, 281 students, 63% FRL); North Marshall Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 497 students, 45% FRL); Marshall County High School (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #151 of 254 statewide, top 61%, 1,256 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $228k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.18%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,697
- List price
- $227,500
- Delta
- 11.69%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $119,853
- Equity at exit
- $204,950
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.59×
- Total profit
- $355,931
- Equity at exit
- $441,982
Cash invested: $63,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42025
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,709 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,193
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,496/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $-62
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $66 | -5% $2 | +0% $-62 | +5% $-127 | +10% $-191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-197 | -5% $-130 | +0% $-62 | +5% $5 | +10% $73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $52 | -0.5pp $-5 | base $-62 | +0.5pp $-121 | +1.0pp $-181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,875
- Closing costs
- $6,825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $227,500 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $227,500 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $227,500 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $227,500 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $227,500 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $227,500 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $227,500 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $227,500 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $227,500 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $227,500 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $227,500 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $227,500 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $227,500 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $227,500 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $227,500 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $227,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-03-10price $227,500 764-char remark
Show marketing remark (764 chars)
Move-in ready home just outside of Draffenville in Marshall County. The three bedroom home boasts open concept kitchen, dining and living with a bedroom downstairs and full bathroom. Upstairs there are two more bedrooms and bathroom with stand up shower. At the top of the stairs there is an open area for an office, crafting, TV watching or gaming. The detached garage can store all of your toys for the lake or 4-wheeling. There are two driveways for plenty of parking and access from both Powell St. and Ruth St. The screened-in front porch allows you to enjoy the outdoors year round or enjoy a cup of coffee or glass of tea! Location is convenient to school, grocery, and hospital. A short drive to the lake, Paducah or Murray. All this property needs is YOU!
-
2026-01-01price $239,900 764-char remark
Show marketing remark (764 chars)
Move-in ready home just outside of Draffenville in Marshall County. The three bedroom home boasts open concept kitchen, dining and living with a bedroom downstairs and full bathroom. Upstairs there are two more bedrooms and bathroom with stand up shower. At the top of the stairs there is an open area for an office, crafting, TV watching or gaming. The detached garage can store all of your toys for the lake or 4-wheeling. There are two driveways for plenty of parking and access from both Powell St. and Ruth St. The screened-in front porch allows you to enjoy the outdoors year round or enjoy a cup of coffee or glass of tea! Location is convenient to school, grocery, and hospital. A short drive to the lake, Paducah or Murray. All this property needs is YOU!
-
2025-11-22$249,900 Active 764-char remark
Show marketing remark (764 chars)
Move-in ready home just outside of Draffenville in Marshall County. The three bedroom home boasts open concept kitchen, dining and living with a bedroom downstairs and full bathroom. Upstairs there are two more bedrooms and bathroom with stand up shower. At the top of the stairs there is an open area for an office, crafting, TV watching or gaming. The detached garage can store all of your toys for the lake or 4-wheeling. There are two driveways for plenty of parking and access from both Powell St. and Ruth St. The screened-in front porch allows you to enjoy the outdoors year round or enjoy a cup of coffee or glass of tea! Location is convenient to school, grocery, and hospital. A short drive to the lake, Paducah or Murray. All this property needs is YOU!
-
2018-06-15soldstatus $120,000 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
2
-
2018-05-12$120,000 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
2
-
2015-03-18soldstatus $90,000
-
2012-08-22soldstatus $110,000
-
2011-04-01soldstatus $49,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,496 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,956 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- +$460/yr (+$38/mo · 30.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,744
- − Property taxes
- −$1,496
- − Insurance
- −$1,138
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$6,618
- Taxable loss
- −$4,769
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,145
- After-tax cash flow
- $395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County
- NCES district ID
- 2103810
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,324
- Composite
- 28.62/100
- National rank
- #6710
- State rank
- #73 of 165 in KY
Livability — Benton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #8655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,238
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,647 people
- By 2030
- 30,276 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 29,232 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 27,940 · -8.8%
- By 2075
- 25,289 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 21,188 · -30.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -56.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+24.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.11%
- Current HPI
- 288.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+359.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $227,500 WKRMLS
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $239,900 WKRMLS
- 2025-11-22 Listed $249,900 WKRMLS
- 2018-06-15 Sold (MLS) $120,000 WKRMLS
- 2018-05-12 Listed $120,000 WKRMLS
- 2015-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2011-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,496 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…