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4 Oxford Dr
B- Composite 69.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

4 Oxford Dr · Penn, PA 17870
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured · 44 Days on market
Built 1973

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1973
  • Listed 44 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-2
  • HOA & community: Located in Wedgewood Garden subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 garage spaces; 2 additional parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; No listed foundation
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s) on property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Ceiling fan(s); no central air
  • Interior features: Washer; Dryer; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($858 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Selinsgrove Area SD (town): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #138 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Snyder County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snyder County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
25.57%
Cash-on-cash
68.84%
DSCR
4.06
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.0%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$21,559
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
62.9%
Equity multiple
7.32×
Total profit
$52,906
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17870

Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$858 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $342/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $334
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $29,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $35,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $35,000 Active 204-char remark
  17. 2026-04-30
    historical
  18. 2026-03-17
    price $35,000
  19. 2026-03-04
    listed $45,000 Active
  20. 2023-11-06
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

  21. 2023-10-11
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

  22. 2023-10-04
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

  23. 2023-09-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

  24. 2023-09-08
    price $23,500
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

  25. 2023-08-11
    price $26,900
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

  26. 2023-07-11
    listed $29,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Well maintained mobile home on a spacious lot. Roof was replaced in 2014. Lot rent is $430 month which includes sewer, garbage and snow removal from the main road only. Buyer will need to fill out application for mobile home park approval. Proof of funds or pre-approval for purchase of a mobile home required prior to scheduling a showing. Call Kristine Horten 570-898-4977 or Heidi Dunigan 570-850-8651.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$342 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$407 · $34/mo
Expected delta
+$65/yr (+$5/mo · 19.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,299
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$342
− Insurance
−$947
− Repairs & maintenance
−$824
− Management
−$824
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$4,817
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,156
After-tax cash flow
$3,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Selinsgrove Area SD
NCES district ID
4221120
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$51,182
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2642
State rank
#138 of 539 in PA

Livability — Penn

Score
56/100
State rank
#1637
US rank
#22584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,538

Population outlook (Snyder County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,720 people
By 2030
42,207 · +1.2%
By 2040
42,918 · +2.9%
By 2050
43,125 · +3.4%
By 2075
42,498 · +1.9%
By 2100
39,544 · -5.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Snyder

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.0) · D 26.1% · R 73.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.8pp toward R · 2008: -29.2pp · 2024: -47.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.0 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+35.9 2008: R+29.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.74%
Current HPI
97.5016
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $29,900 CSVBR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $35,000 CSVBR
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-06 Sold (MLS) $20,000 CSVBR
  • 2023-10-11 Contingent CSVBR
  • 2023-10-04 Relisted CSVBR
  • 2023-09-21 Pending CSVBR
  • 2023-09-08 Price Changed $23,500 CSVBR
  • 2023-08-11 Price Changed $26,900 CSVBR
  • 2023-07-11 Listed $29,900 CSVBR

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $342 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…