1034 9th St · Charleston, IL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers solid potential with a history of consistent rental income. The home is ready for cosmetic updates, making it an ideal project for someone looking to build equity and customize a space to their needs. Situated on a spacious lot with a large backyard, there’s plenty of room to expand, entertain, or enhance outdoor living. Whether you’re searching for a personal residence or an investment property, this one is full of potential.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Spacious lot
- Cosmetic updates
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Masonite and wood siding exterior; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Range; Refrigerator; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($770 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.0% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#293 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
- Charleston CUSD 1 (town): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #489 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Carl Sandburg Elem School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 551 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson Elem School (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #482 of 665 statewide, top 73%, 635 students, 0% FRL); Charleston High School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 766 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 34 units permitted in Coles County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.81%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,943
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- 1.96%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1416 14th St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 624 (-7%) | 10mo | $44,000 | $71 | 60 |
| 1500 20th St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 744 (+11%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $81 | 46 |
| 414 Jackson Ave | 0.54mi | 2/0.5 (-1) | 726 (+8%) | 14mo | $55,000 | $76 | 43 |
| 128 W Polk Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 728 (+8%) | 15mo | $48,000 | $66 | 40 |
| 616 15th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 764 (+14%) | 20mo | $48,000 | $63 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $2,418
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $16,814
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61920
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $770 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$162
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $193 | +0% $177 | +5% $162 | +10% $146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $147 | +0% $177 | +5% $208 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $205 | -0.5pp $191 | base $177 | +0.5pp $163 | +1.0pp $148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907 10th St Charleston, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $675 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 206 W Polk Ave Unit 2 Charleston, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15 9th St Unit A Charleston, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $700 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$55,000 Active 541-char remark
-
2025-07-07$45,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,438
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$739
- − Management
- −$739
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $1,369
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$329
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,798/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleston CUSD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1709600
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,724
- Composite
- 14.45/100
- National rank
- #9429
- State rank
- #489 of 620 in IL
Livability — Charleston
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #5627
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charleston, IL
- County
- Coles County · 41,301 people
- City population
- 20,951
- Metro
- Charleston-Mattoon, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,951
- Household income
- $52,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1209.0
Population outlook (Coles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,967 people
- By 2030
- 53,829 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 52,332 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 49,989 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 42,226 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 34,675 · -35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coles
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.5) · D 34.9% · R 63.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.7pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -28.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+26.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.97%
- Current HPI
- 153.8607
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charleston-Mattoon, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+22.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $55,000 CIBR
- 2025-07-07 Listed $45,000 CIBR
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,438 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…