316 Columbus St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy home with great potential! Features include an enclosed front porch, an oversized master bedroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen, plus a small basement. With a little TLC, this property could shine—perfect for rental income or resale!
Key facts
- 2,000 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1887
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; No attached units; No common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built as a residential single family home
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level (approx. 14 x 14); Second bedroom on the main level (approx. 9 x 9)
- Flooring: Linoleum flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Family room on the main level; Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details: see remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Riverside Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,471 of 1,584 statewide, top 95%, 361 students, 0% FRL); Woodward High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 672 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $35k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1887 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1887 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.68%
- DSCR
- 3.57
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,616
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -23.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2422 N Ontario St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (-5%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $68 | 82 |
| 2816 N Michigan St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (-10%) | 5mo | $64,362 | $83 | 63 |
| 729 Chicago St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 764 (-11%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $59 | 58 |
| 1919 N Ontario St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+4%) | 8mo | $27,000 | $30 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $24,336
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 61.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.11×
- Total profit
- $59,847
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43611
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $887 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $383/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $491 | -5% $481 | +0% $471 | +5% $461 | +10% $451 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $401 | -5% $436 | +0% $471 | +5% $506 | +10% $541 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $489 | -0.5pp $480 | base $471 | +0.5pp $462 | +1.0pp $453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 Sandusky St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2929 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $550 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2932 N Ontario St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2023 N Erie St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $685 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1951 N Summit St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $800 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2514 York St Unit Back Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $850 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2039 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $625 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3405 Beaumont Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $745 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3563 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $850 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 622 Whitlock Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,195 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3439 Jeannette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 21 Magyar St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,050 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3474 Maher St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,125 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 630 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $35,000 Pending 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $35,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $35,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $35,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$35,000 Active 121-char remark
-
2025-12-09historical
-
2025-12-01historical Contingent
-
2025-11-03price $39,400
-
2025-10-14price $22,000
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Cozy home with great potential! Features include an enclosed front porch, an oversized master bedroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen, plus a small basement. With a little TLC, this property could shine—perfect for rental income or resale!
-
2025-09-14price $39,900
-
2025-09-01price $42,900
-
2025-08-13$45,000 Active
-
2025-06-06soldstatus $22,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Cozy home with great potential! Features include an enclosed front porch, an oversized master bedroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen, plus a small basement. With a little TLC, this property could shine—perfect for rental income or resale!
-
2025-06-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Cozy home with great potential! Features include an enclosed front porch, an oversized master bedroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen, plus a small basement. With a little TLC, this property could shine—perfect for rental income or resale!
-
2025-04-25$27,000 Active
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
Cozy home with great potential! Features include an enclosed front porch, an oversized master bedroom, a spacious living room, and kitchen, plus a small basement. With a little TLC, this property could shine—perfect for rental income or resale!
-
2018-03-14soldstatus $117,000
-
2009-11-18soldstatus $12,000
-
2009-10-14historical
-
2009-04-17$19,500
-
1998-06-03soldstatus $6,000
-
1990-11-19soldstatus $8,040
-
1989-08-08soldstatus $40,000
-
1988-03-24soldstatus $10,000
-
1985-08-08soldstatus $14,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $383 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$81/yr (+$7/mo · 21.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,650
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$383
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $5,409
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,354/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,664
- Household income
- $62,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 298.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.15%
- Current HPI
- 245.2841
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+143.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $35,000 NORIS
- 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-12-01 Contingent — NORIS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $39,400 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $22,000 NORIS
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $39,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-01 Price Changed $42,900 NORIS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $45,000 NORIS
- 2025-06-06 Sold (MLS) $22,000 NORIS
- 2025-06-04 Pending — NORIS
- 2025-04-25 Listed $27,000 NORIS
- 2018-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-14 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2009-04-17 Listed $19,500 NORIS
- 1998-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 1990-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $8,040 Public Records
- 1989-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1988-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1985-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $14,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $383 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…