CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2627 Merwin St
A- Composite 80.09
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$32,000

2627 Merwin St · Shreveport, LA 71103
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,037 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 239 Days on market
Built 1900 10,106 sqft lot $31/sqft · 20% below area Est $40k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect income or investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 239 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($840 rent vs $32k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $168 of equity ($221 loan paydown + $-53 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.62%
Cap rate
22.83%
Cash-on-cash
59.05%
DSCR
3.63
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,913
List price
$32,000
Delta
-19.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3726 Portland Ave 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,105 (+7%) 2mo $50,500 $46 73
2560 Emery St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 977 (-6%) 12mo $45,000 $46 70
2632 Desoto St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,069 (+3%) 10mo $32,500 $30 69
3934 Fairfax Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-0%) 2mo $84,000 $81 64
2647 Drexel St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,079 (+4%) 2mo $67,500 $63 61
2446 Drexel St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 979 (-6%) 4mo $15,000 $15 56
2511 Drexel St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,005 (-3%) 9mo $45,000 $45 55
2449 Midway St 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,103 (+6%) 4mo $35,000 $32 53
3240 Jackson St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,014 (-2%) 7mo $34,900 $34 51
2908 Hardy St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 990 (-4%) 12mo $42,998 $43 49
3216 Fulton St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 999 (-4%) 14mo $20,000 $20 45
2618 Drexel 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,158 (+12%) 17mo $50,000 $43 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.6%
Equity multiple
4.00×
Total profit
$26,910
Equity at exit
$9,028
10-year hold
IRR
63.0%
Equity multiple
8.09×
Total profit
$63,567
Equity at exit
$10,644

Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71103

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$840 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$168
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $497/yr
Insurance
$13
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $282
Max offer price $32,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,000
Closing costs
$960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2551 Claiborne Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.5 1202 $945 $0.79 13d 1 0.11mi
2520 Merwin St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 924 $700 $0.76 21d 1 0.14mi
2714 DuPont St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 980 $565 $0.58 13d 1 0.17mi
2924 DuPont St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 768 $750 $0.98 21d 1 0.28mi
2134 Queens Hwy Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1374 $1,475 $1.07 21d 1 0.41mi
2531 Drexel St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1250 $950 $0.76 21d 1 0.57mi
3240 Jackson St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1014 $700 $0.69 13d 1 0.76mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 960 $850 $0.89 43d 1 0.77mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 21d 1 0.77mi
1749 Caroline St Shreveport, LA 4.0 1.0 1092 $975 $0.89 21d 1 0.92mi
5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 971 $825 $0.85 21d 1 1.05mi
5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 957 $975 $1.02 43d 1 1.06mi
3628 Sumner St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 956 $950 $0.99 44d 1 1.07mi
1632 Malcolm St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,150 $0.92 21d 1 1.11mi
3022 Lillian St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1115 $695 $0.62 21d 1 1.12mi
3323 Darien St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $785 $0.65 43d 1 1.13mi
1954 State St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 43d 1 1.17mi
3515 Stonewall St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $600 $0.60 13d 1 1.19mi
3420 Darien St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1200 $665 $0.55 13d 1 1.20mi
2644 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA 4.0 1.0 1023 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 1.21mi
2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1045 $725 $0.69 21d 1 1.24mi
1719 Lakeshore Dr Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1200 $950 $0.79 43d 1 1.25mi
1353 Glen Oak Pl Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1116 $850 $0.76 21d 1 1.27mi
1353 Glen Oak Pl Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1116 $800 $0.72 13d 1 1.27mi
1430 Grigsby St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1052 $775 $0.74 43d 1 1.33mi
3902 Sumner St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 43d 1 1.34mi
2042 Laurel St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $800 $0.73 43d 1 1.35mi
1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1120 $850 $0.76 13d 1 1.36mi
1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1120 $950 $0.85 43d 1 1.36mi
1421 Clover St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $675 $0.75 13d 1 1.42mi
3907 Milton St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1275 $1,100 $0.86 43d 1 1.46mi
2711 Thayer St Shreveport, LA 4.0 1.0 1436 $1,552 $1.08 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $32,000 Active 239 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,000 Active 238 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $32,000 Active 237 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,000 Active 236 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $32,000 Active 234 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,000 Active 233 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $32,000 Active 231 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,000 Active 230 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,000 Active 229 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $32,000 Active 228 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $32,000 Active 225 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $32,000 Active 224 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,000 Active 223 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,000 Active 222 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,000 Active 221 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $32,000 Active 220 DOM
  17. 2025-10-22
    listed $32,000 Active 41-char remark
    Show marketing remark (41 chars)

    Perfect income or investment opportunity.

  18. 2012-12-28
    soldstatus $1,044,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$497 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$497 · $41/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,078
− Mortgage interest
−$1,792
− Property taxes
−$497
− Insurance
−$160
− Repairs & maintenance
−$806
− Management
−$806
− Depreciation
−$931
Taxable income
$5,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,220
After-tax cash flow
$4,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
City population
164,123
Population (ZIP)
6,142

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Hispanic 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.17%
Current HPI
26.3904
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $32,000 NTREIS
  • 2012-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $1,044,750 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $497 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…