221 Mulberry St · Berea, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated 3-4 Bed, 1 Bath Colonial with over 1400 square feet of living space approximately 1/2 mile from the campus of Baldwin Wallace University. Enclosed Porch, Fence and 2 Car Garage. Nice backyard.
Key facts
- Nice backyard
- Enclosed porch
- Fence
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Above-grade finished area about 1,434
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/Fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fence
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with radiators
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.9% in Berea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#136 in OH, #1,955 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Berea City (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #414 of 656 in OH (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $200k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1865 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1865 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.01%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $256,686
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262 Elmwood Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,489 (+4%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $158 | 76 |
| 348 High St | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,560 (+9%) | 1mo | $271,000 | $174 | 64 |
| 41 W 5th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,593 (+11%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $185 | 62 |
| 19 Baker St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+7%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $173 | 60 |
| 209 Gibson St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,564 (+9%) | 3mo | $187,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 143 Baker St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (-12%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $239 | 55 |
| 200 Gibson St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (-12%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $179 | 54 |
| 212 E Bridge St | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 | 1,346 (-6%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $186 | 52 |
| 28 Crocker St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-11%) | 4mo | $206,000 | $161 | 44 |
| 75 Sunset Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,592 (+11%) | 5mo | $245,600 | $154 | 43 |
| 159 Eastland Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,301 (-9%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $204 | 38 |
| 217 Kraft St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-14%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $219 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-8,587
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $23,204
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44017
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,161 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,415/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $374
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $487 | -5% $431 | +0% $374 | +5% $317 | +10% $261 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $289 | +0% $374 | +5% $459 | +10% $545 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $475 | -0.5pp $425 | base $374 | +0.5pp $322 | +1.0pp $269 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Barrett Rd Berea, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 798 | $1,445 | $1.81 | 11d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 287 Edgewood Dr Berea, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 367 S Rocky River Dr Unit 1496132P Berea, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $5,357 | $3.04 | 8d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 129 Riveredge Pkwy Berea, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1767 | $1,800 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 125 Sheldon Rd Berea, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 782 | $1,815 | $2.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $200,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 200-char remark
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2026-06-13$200,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,415 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,767 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$353/yr (+$29/mo · 14.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,935
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,415
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,075
- − Management
- −$2,075
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $1,349
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$324
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,164/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berea City
- NCES district ID
- 3904360
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,921
- Composite
- 44.18/100
- National rank
- #2856
- State rank
- #414 of 656 in OH
Livability — Berea
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #1955
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berea, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 18,279
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,279
- Household income
- $75,231
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.89%
- Current HPI
- 208.8113
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+53.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $200,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-09-22 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $159,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-07-17 Listed $179,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,415 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…