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221 Mulberry St
B- Composite 65.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

221 Mulberry St · Berea, OH 44017
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,434 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1865 8,276 sqft lot Est $257k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated 3-4 Bed, 1 Bath Colonial with over 1400 square feet of living space approximately 1/2 mile from the campus of Baldwin Wallace University. Enclosed Porch, Fence and 2 Car Garage. Nice backyard.

Key facts

  • Nice backyard
  • Enclosed porch
  • Fence

Tags

ENCLOSED PORCHFENCENICE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Above-grade finished area about 1,434
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/Fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fence

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with radiators
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.9% in Berea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#136 in OH, #1,955 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Berea City (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #414 of 656 in OH (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $200k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1865 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $200,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1865 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.01%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$256,686
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
262 Elmwood Dr 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,489 (+4%) 1mo $235,000 $158 76
348 High St 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,560 (+9%) 1mo $271,000 $174 64
41 W 5th Ave 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,593 (+11%) 4mo $295,000 $185 62
19 Baker St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+7%) 5mo $265,000 $173 60
209 Gibson St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,564 (+9%) 3mo $187,000 $120 58
143 Baker St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,256 (-12%) 1mo $300,000 $239 55
200 Gibson St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,256 (-12%) 4mo $225,000 $179 54
212 E Bridge St 0.64mi 3/3.0 1,346 (-6%) 0mo $250,000 $186 52
28 Crocker St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,280 (-11%) 4mo $206,000 $161 44
75 Sunset Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,592 (+11%) 5mo $245,600 $154 43
159 Eastland Rd 0.75mi 3/2.5 1,301 (-9%) 7mo $265,000 $204 38
217 Kraft St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-14%) 8mo $270,000 $219 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-8,587
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$23,204
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44017

Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,161 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,415/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,688
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $487 -5% $431 +0% $374 +5% $317 +10% $261
Rent -10% $203 -5% $289 +0% $374 +5% $459 +10% $545
Rate -1.0pp $475 -0.5pp $425 base $374 +0.5pp $322 +1.0pp $269

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
55 Barrett Rd Berea, OH 3.0 1.0–2.0 798 $1,445 $1.81 11d 1 0.45mi
287 Edgewood Dr Berea, OH 3.0 1.0 1284 $1,800 $1.40 3d 1 0.91mi
367 S Rocky River Dr Unit 1496132P Berea, OH 4.0 2.0 1765 $5,357 $3.04 8d 1 0.97mi
129 Riveredge Pkwy Berea, OH 3.0 1.5 1767 $1,800 $1.02 45d 1 1.13mi
125 Sheldon Rd Berea, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 782 $1,815 $2.32 3d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $200,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 200-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $200,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,415 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,767 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$353/yr (+$29/mo · 14.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,935
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,415
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,075
− Management
−$2,075
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$1,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$324
After-tax cash flow
$4,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berea City
NCES district ID
3904360
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,921
Composite
44.18/100
National rank
#2856
State rank
#414 of 656 in OH

Livability — Berea

Score
80/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#1955

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berea, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
18,279
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,279
Household income
$75,231
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
356.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.89%
Current HPI
208.8113
Rent YoY
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+53.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $200,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $139,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-04 Price Changed $159,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $179,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,415 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…