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393 Lowery Dr
B- Composite 68.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

393 Lowery Dr · Wright, FL 32547
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 294 Days on market
Built 1985 8,712 sqft lot $219/sqft · 37% below area Est $222k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Refreshed bathroom
  • New hvac unit

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDNEW HVAC UNITREFRESHED KITCHENREFRESHED BATHROOMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.2% in Wright — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#117 in FL, #1,790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F.
  • Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $140k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.88%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$221,507
List price
$139,900
Delta
-36.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,622
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,340
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32547

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,519 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,027/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,111
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1800 Tsuga Way Unit L Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 680 $1,350 $1.99 43d 1 0.24mi
1800 Tsuga Way Unit G Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 680 $1,300 $1.91 20d 1 0.24mi
210 Pelham Rd Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 809 $1,500 $1.85 13d 2 0.90mi
320 Clifford St Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,150 $1.92 43d 1 1.01mi
225 Wright Pkwy NW #4 Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 680 $1,195 $1.76 20d 1 1.16mi
200 Page Bacon Rd Mary Esther, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $2,208 $2.14 13d 18 1.48mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 294 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 293 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 292 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 291 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 289 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 288 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 286 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 285 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 284 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 283 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 280 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 278 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 277 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 276 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 275 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    price $139,900 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  17. 2026-04-12
    price $144,900 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  18. 2026-03-01
    status Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  19. 2026-02-27
    status Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  20. 2025-12-25
    price $149,900 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  21. 2025-10-30
    price $159,900 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  22. 2025-10-01
    price $164,900 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  23. 2025-08-28
    listed $169,900 Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.

  24. 2015-04-30
    soldstatus $75,000 795-char remark
    Show marketing remark (795 chars)

    Well-Maintained,Adorable and Affordable First Home- makes a terrific bachelor/bachelorette home-This 2 BDR/1BTH home has been meticulously cared for- granite countertop in Bathroom- Newly Insulated Attic (2 weeks ago)- Unfinished Hardwood floors under carpet in BDRooms/LvRoom/hall -Stove/Refrigerator Conveys- New Outbuilding/shed (7.5'x12')Conveys w/property- Large 200 sq' Front Uncovered Deck - There is also an approx. 280 sq' concrete pad located on property for recreational use -Basketball goal does NOT convey- There is a Right of Way to Power company noted on the Survey which is disclosed (see attachment to listing) Motivated Sellers!!!-Bring All offers! Conveniently located in the heart of Fort Walton Beach a few walking blocks away from Walmart/Lowes and many choice restaurants.

  25. 2015-04-30
    soldstatus $75,000 795-char remark
    Show marketing remark (795 chars)

    Well-Maintained,Adorable and Affordable First Home- makes a terrific bachelor/bachelorette home-This 2 BDR/1BTH home has been meticulously cared for- granite countertop in Bathroom- Newly Insulated Attic (2 weeks ago)- Unfinished Hardwood floors under carpet in BDRooms/LvRoom/hall -Stove/Refrigerator Conveys- New Outbuilding/shed (7.5'x12')Conveys w/property- Large 200 sq' Front Uncovered Deck - There is also an approx. 280 sq' concrete pad located on property for recreational use -Basketball goal does NOT convey- There is a Right of Way to Power company noted on the Survey which is disclosed (see attachment to listing) Motivated Sellers!!!-Bring All offers! Conveniently located in the heart of Fort Walton Beach a few walking blocks away from Walmart/Lowes and many choice restaurants.

  26. 2015-02-11
    listed $95,000 795-char remark
    Show marketing remark (795 chars)

    Well-Maintained,Adorable and Affordable First Home- makes a terrific bachelor/bachelorette home-This 2 BDR/1BTH home has been meticulously cared for- granite countertop in Bathroom- Newly Insulated Attic (2 weeks ago)- Unfinished Hardwood floors under carpet in BDRooms/LvRoom/hall -Stove/Refrigerator Conveys- New Outbuilding/shed (7.5'x12')Conveys w/property- Large 200 sq' Front Uncovered Deck - There is also an approx. 280 sq' concrete pad located on property for recreational use -Basketball goal does NOT convey- There is a Right of Way to Power company noted on the Survey which is disclosed (see attachment to listing) Motivated Sellers!!!-Bring All offers! Conveniently located in the heart of Fort Walton Beach a few walking blocks away from Walmart/Lowes and many choice restaurants.

  27. 2006-08-08
    soldstatus $80,000
  28. 1986-12-01
    soldstatus $33,000
  29. 1983-11-01
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,027 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,161 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$134/yr (+$11/mo · 13.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,226
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,027
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,458
− Management
−$1,458
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$1,677
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$402
After-tax cash flow
$3,466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okaloosa
NCES district ID
1201380
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,601
Composite
51.62/100
National rank
#1705
State rank
#12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wright

Score
80/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#1790

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wright, FL
County
Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
City population
35,522
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,527
Household income
$70,711
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1203.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,133 people
By 2030
253,483 · +7.8%
By 2040
289,537 · +23.1%
By 2050
322,954 · +37.3%
By 2075
399,624 · +70.0%
By 2100
425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.28%
Current HPI
268.6497
Rent YoY
▼ -0.13%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+976.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $139,900 ECAR
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $144,900 ECAR
  • 2026-03-01 Relisted ECAR
  • 2026-02-27 Relisted ECAR
  • 2025-12-25 Price Changed $149,900 ECAR
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $159,900 ECAR
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $164,900 ECAR
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $169,900 ECAR
  • 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NAMLS
  • 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 ECAR
  • 2015-02-11 Listed $95,000 NAMLS
  • 2006-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1986-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1983-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+23.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,027 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…