393 Lowery Dr · Wright, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Refreshed bathroom
- New hvac unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.2% in Wright — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#117 in FL, #1,790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $140k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.88%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,507
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -36.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,622
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,340
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32547
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,519 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 Tsuga Way Unit L Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,350 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1800 Tsuga Way Unit G Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,300 | $1.91 | 20d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 210 Pelham Rd Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $1,500 | $1.85 | 13d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 320 Clifford St Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,150 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 225 Wright Pkwy NW #4 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,195 | $1.76 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 200 Page Bacon Rd Mary Esther, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1030 | $2,208 | $2.14 | 13d | 18 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $139,900 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2026-04-12price $144,900 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2026-03-01status Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2026-02-27status Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2025-12-25price $149,900 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2025-10-30price $159,900 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2025-10-01price $164,900 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2025-08-28$169,900 Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
393 Lowery Drive in Fort Walton offers a charming two-bedroom, one-bath home situated on a . 20-acre lot. Originally built in 1985, this property has been fully renovated inside with fresh paint, updated flooring, new doors, modern light fixtures, and beautifully refreshed kitchen and bathroom spaces. A brand-new HVAC unit, installed in 2025, ensures year-round comfort. Conveniently located near shopping and everyday amenities, the home provides both accessibility and privacy, with the benefit of not being directly surrounded by neighboring properties.
-
2015-04-30soldstatus $75,000 795-char remark
Show marketing remark (795 chars)
Well-Maintained,Adorable and Affordable First Home- makes a terrific bachelor/bachelorette home-This 2 BDR/1BTH home has been meticulously cared for- granite countertop in Bathroom- Newly Insulated Attic (2 weeks ago)- Unfinished Hardwood floors under carpet in BDRooms/LvRoom/hall -Stove/Refrigerator Conveys- New Outbuilding/shed (7.5'x12')Conveys w/property- Large 200 sq' Front Uncovered Deck - There is also an approx. 280 sq' concrete pad located on property for recreational use -Basketball goal does NOT convey- There is a Right of Way to Power company noted on the Survey which is disclosed (see attachment to listing) Motivated Sellers!!!-Bring All offers! Conveniently located in the heart of Fort Walton Beach a few walking blocks away from Walmart/Lowes and many choice restaurants.
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2015-04-30soldstatus $75,000 795-char remark
Show marketing remark (795 chars)
Well-Maintained,Adorable and Affordable First Home- makes a terrific bachelor/bachelorette home-This 2 BDR/1BTH home has been meticulously cared for- granite countertop in Bathroom- Newly Insulated Attic (2 weeks ago)- Unfinished Hardwood floors under carpet in BDRooms/LvRoom/hall -Stove/Refrigerator Conveys- New Outbuilding/shed (7.5'x12')Conveys w/property- Large 200 sq' Front Uncovered Deck - There is also an approx. 280 sq' concrete pad located on property for recreational use -Basketball goal does NOT convey- There is a Right of Way to Power company noted on the Survey which is disclosed (see attachment to listing) Motivated Sellers!!!-Bring All offers! Conveniently located in the heart of Fort Walton Beach a few walking blocks away from Walmart/Lowes and many choice restaurants.
-
2015-02-11$95,000 795-char remark
Show marketing remark (795 chars)
Well-Maintained,Adorable and Affordable First Home- makes a terrific bachelor/bachelorette home-This 2 BDR/1BTH home has been meticulously cared for- granite countertop in Bathroom- Newly Insulated Attic (2 weeks ago)- Unfinished Hardwood floors under carpet in BDRooms/LvRoom/hall -Stove/Refrigerator Conveys- New Outbuilding/shed (7.5'x12')Conveys w/property- Large 200 sq' Front Uncovered Deck - There is also an approx. 280 sq' concrete pad located on property for recreational use -Basketball goal does NOT convey- There is a Right of Way to Power company noted on the Survey which is disclosed (see attachment to listing) Motivated Sellers!!!-Bring All offers! Conveniently located in the heart of Fort Walton Beach a few walking blocks away from Walmart/Lowes and many choice restaurants.
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2006-08-08soldstatus $80,000
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1986-12-01soldstatus $33,000
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1983-11-01soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,027 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$134/yr (+$11/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,226
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,027
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $1,677
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wright
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #1790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wright, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 35,522
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,527
- Household income
- $70,711
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1203.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.28%
- Current HPI
- 268.6497
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.13%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+976.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $139,900 ECAR
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $144,900 ECAR
- 2026-03-01 Relisted — ECAR
- 2026-02-27 Relisted — ECAR
- 2025-12-25 Price Changed $149,900 ECAR
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $159,900 ECAR
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $164,900 ECAR
- 2025-08-28 Listed $169,900 ECAR
- 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NAMLS
- 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 ECAR
- 2015-02-11 Listed $95,000 NAMLS
- 2006-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1986-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 1983-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+23.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,027 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…