6057 Knollwood Dr · Ridge Manor, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Splash into summer in this move in ready affordable pool home. Located on an oversized lot that feels very private with no rear neighbors and a platted no-build parcel owned by the county to the right. Save on energy costs with solar panels (owned outright, not a lease). FEMA flood zone X, so no flood insurance requirements. Inside is move in ready with a large primary bedroom, guest room, full bath with tub/shower combo, L-shaped living and dining room, kitchen with lots of cabinetry and counterspace, and a bonus room that would be a great office, gym, or craft space. The pool area is the highlight of this gem. A large screened pavered patio area around the sparking in-gr
Key facts
- In-ground pool
- No rear neighbors
- Oversized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Property zoned R1; Lot approximately 0.26 acre (80 x 140)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected (see remarks for source); Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Block and brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential single family
- Exterior features: Outdoor shower; Private in-ground pool with screen enclosure; Paved lot; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: L-shaped dining area; Bonus room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.3% in Ridge Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#736 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 737 students, 73% FRL); D. S. Parrott Middle School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #368 of 571 statewide, top 65%, 835 students, 67% FRL); Hernando High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,299 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 295 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $260k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,860
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6034 Idle A While Cir | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+3%) | 18mo | $285,000 | $259 | 60 |
| 33486 Westwood Dr | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,062 (-0%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $254 | 60 |
| 6114 Idle A While Cir | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 1,130 (+6%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $204 | 55 |
| 5425 Leisure St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+13%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $183 | 45 |
| 34307 Shaffer Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (+12%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $209 | 43 |
| 33357 Westwood Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-6%) | 11mo | $244,000 | $244 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $167,648
- Equity at exit
- $234,229
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.50×
- Total profit
- $472,907
- Equity at exit
- $505,123
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33523
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 295
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,490 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,011/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $558 | -5% $484 | +0% $411 | +5% $337 | +10% $263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $312 | +0% $411 | +5% $509 | +10% $607 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $542 | -0.5pp $477 | base $411 | +0.5pp $343 | +1.0pp $275 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5431 Tower St Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1188 | $2,000 | $1.68 | 19d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 34807 Evergreen Way Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 34807 Evergreen Way Unit 1571614P Ridge Manor, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $4,669 | $4.34 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $260,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$260,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,011 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,158 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,147/yr (+$96/mo · 113.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,874
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$1,011
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,390
- − Management
- −$2,390
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable income
- $656
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$157
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,771/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ridge Manor
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #736
- US rank
- #15912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridge Manor, FL
- City population
- 21,077
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,296
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.36%
- Current HPI
- 448.7
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+330.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $260,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,011 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…