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9509 Botts St SE
B- Composite 68.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

9509 Botts St SE · Albuquerque, NM 87123
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,178 sqft · Manufactured · 105 Days on market
Built 2013 Good condition $76/sqft · 6% below area Est $95k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Meticulously cared and move in ready, this property is well worth a look. The location is ideal for anyone needing to commute to Kirtland Air Force Base or looking for something centrally located in ABQ. The neighborhood is gated and secure with a small park as well. Give this home a look ASAP.

Key facts

  • Centrally located
  • Secure
  • Gated

Tags

GATEDSECURECENTRALLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
11.98%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,093
List price
$89,000
Delta
-6.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-1,769
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$6,542
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87123

Rents YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,093 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 General Arnold St NE Apt B Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 0.40mi
117 General Arnold St NE Apt C Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 825 $1,075 $1.30 43d 1 0.42mi
117 General Arnold St NE Unit A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 850 $895 $1.05 23d 1 0.42mi
132 General Arnold St NE Apt D Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 14d 1 0.43mi
148 General Arnold St NE Apt 5 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 14d 1 0.47mi
148 General Arnold St NE Apt 4 Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 0.47mi
143 General Arnold St NE Apt A Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 765 $775 $1.01 43d 1 0.48mi
143 General Arnold St NE Apt D Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 765 $800 $1.05 23d 1 0.48mi
10404 Griffith Park Dr NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1287 $2,100 $1.63 3d 1 0.70mi
317 General Marshall St NE #2 Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 1093 $900 $0.82 43d 1 0.72mi
319 General Marshall St NE Apt 2 Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 43d 1 0.73mi
332 General Marshall St NE Apt 2 Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 780 $900 $1.15 43d 1 0.75mi
308 Virginia St NE Unit D Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 23d 1 0.79mi
500 Tennessee St SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 950 $900 $0.95 3d 1 0.81mi
420 Rhode Island St SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 916 $1,150 $1.26 3d 1 0.85mi
422 Rhode Island St SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 949 $1,100 $1.16 43d 1 0.85mi
324 Vermont St NE Unit 2 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 43d 1 0.86mi
134 Rhode Island St SE Apt A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 765 $900 $1.18 23d 1 0.87mi
134 Rhode Island St SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 765 $900 $1.18 43d 1 0.87mi
701 Stephen Moody St SE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 814 $1,715 $2.11 3d 10 0.89mi
209 Texas St NE Unit 209B Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 0.89mi
209 Texas St NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 43d 1 0.89mi
408 Pennsylvania St SE Unit B Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 827 $850 $1.03 43d 1 0.90mi
328 Utah St NE Apt A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 3d 1 0.91mi
508 Pennsylvania St SE Unit 1 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 756 $1,100 $1.46 43d 1 0.92mi
9125 Copper Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,524 $1.79 3d 10 0.96mi
507 Wisconsin St NE Apt 2B Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 23d 1 0.97mi
513 Wisconsin St NE Apt 1A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,577 $1.45 43d 1 0.98mi
8200 Copper Ave NE Unit A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 735 $1,149 $1.56 3d 1 0.98mi
419 Dallas St SE Unit A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 780 $1,149 $1.47 3d 1 0.99mi
423 Dallas St SE Unit A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 780 $1,149 $1.47 3d 1 0.99mi
310 Charleston St SE Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 700 $879 $1.26 43d 1 1.01mi
312 Charleston St SE Unit 3 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $920 $1.15 44d 1 1.02mi
445 Charleston St SE Unit D Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 23d 1 1.05mi
449 Charleston St SE Apt D Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 43d 1 1.05mi
217 Pennsylvania St NE Unit 217-A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 43d 1 1.05mi
217 Pennsylvania St NE Unit 217-E Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 23d 1 1.05mi
217 Pennsylvania St NE Unit 217-C Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,400 $1.10 43d 1 1.05mi
328 Rhode Island St NE Unit 5 Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 950 $1,230 $1.29 43d 1 1.06mi
328 Rhode Island St NE Unit 1 Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 950 $1,230 $1.29 3d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 87 DOM
  15. 2026-02-18
    listed $95,000 Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Meticulously cared and move in ready, this property is well worth a look. The location is ideal for anyone needing to commute to Kirtland Air Force Base or looking for something centrally located in ABQ. The neighborhood is gated and secure with a small park as well. Give this home a look ASAP.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,121
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,050
− Management
−$1,050
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$1,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$400
After-tax cash flow
$2,585/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value. It is move-in ready and well-suited for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Albuquerque

Score
72/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#6219

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albuquerque, NM
County
Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
City population
647,165
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
42,252
Household income
$64,359
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
1657.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 40% Two or more races 18% Native American 6% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -231.76%
Current HPI
233.3553
Rent YoY
▼ -2.10%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $95,000 Southwest MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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