922 S College St · Brandon, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful home near downtown Brandon in a desirable area. Great for retired couples or new family or singles. New vinyl plank flooring, laminate in garage which easily can be a rec room or extra bedroom. Loads of parking and a very lard deck in back for entertaining. Don't miss this one. All schools are in Brandon District.
Key facts
- Brick fireplace
- Pantry storage
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.2% in Brandon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in MS, #1,514 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brandon Elementary School (math 69% / reading 65%, grade B+, #11 of 375 statewide, top 3%, 741 students, 100% FRL); Brandon Middle School (math 67% / reading 49%, grade B, #11 of 179 statewide, top 6%, 1,193 students, 100% FRL); Brandon High School (math 47% / reading 49%, grade D, #27 of 197 statewide, top 13%, 1,648 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.41%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,268
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 922 S College St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+4%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $154 | 88 |
| 111 Sara Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (+7%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $161 | 75 |
| 1012 College South Cv | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,199 (+1%) | 24mo | $179,900 | $150 | 72 |
| 311 Danbar St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+11%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $170 | 49 |
| 368 Highway 468 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,251 (+5%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $164 | 46 |
| 420 Golden Ridge Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+14%) | 15mo | $224,900 | $166 | 35 |
| 1022 Red Oak Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (+10%) | 16mo | $189,000 | $144 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,261
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $68,761
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39042
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,931 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $925/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $373
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Fox Meadow Dr Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1500 Chapelridge Way Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $1,609 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1500 Chapelridge Way Brandon, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,399 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 202 Overby St Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,786 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-15status Active
-
2026-04-04status Pending
-
2026-04-01$190,000 Active
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2021-09-21soldstatus
-
2021-09-16soldstatus 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
Wonderful home near downtown Brandon in a desirable area. Great for retired couples or new family or singles. New vinyl plank flooring, laminate in garage which easily can be a rec room or extra bedroom. Loads of parking and a very lard deck in back for entertaining. Don't miss this one. All schools are in Brandon District.
-
2021-08-07$159,900 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
Wonderful home near downtown Brandon in a desirable area. Great for retired couples or new family or singles. New vinyl plank flooring, laminate in garage which easily can be a rec room or extra bedroom. Loads of parking and a very lard deck in back for entertaining. Don't miss this one. All schools are in Brandon District.
-
2015-04-30soldstatus
-
2015-03-20$109,000
-
2010-06-03$49,350
-
2006-07-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $925 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,501 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$576/yr (+$48/mo · 62.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$925
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,854
- − Management
- −$1,854
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $1,422
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$341
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rankin County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803830
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,867
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2587
- State rank
- #6 of 130 in MS
Livability — Brandon
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brandon, MS
- County
- Rankin County · 123,614 people
- City population
- 79,950
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,142
- Household income
- $88,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 474.0
Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,317 people
- By 2030
- 171,013 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 182,723 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 192,376 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 209,535 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 209,534 · +27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rankin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.04%
- Current HPI
- 172.5248
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.13%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+285.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-04-04 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-01 Listed $190,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-09-16 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2021-08-07 Listed $159,900 MLSU
- 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-03-20 Listed $109,000 MLSU
- 2010-06-03 Listed $49,350 MLSU
- 2006-07-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $925 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…