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842 Leland St
D+ Composite 48.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$19,900

842 Leland St · Flint, MI 48507
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 616 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1940 3,485 sqft lot Est $23k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Water heater
  • 3,485 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW FURNACEWATER HEATERADDITIONAL ADJOINED LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($893 rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 38.4% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $20k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $19,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.49%
Cap rate
38.41%
Cash-on-cash
114.71%
DSCR
6.10
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$23,408
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
821 Vermilya Ave 0.28mi 2/1.0 616 (0%) 10mo $49,900 $81 78
1216 E Hemphill Rd 0.48mi 2/1.0 630 (+2%) 1mo $60,000 $95 73
1101 Lincoln Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 666 (+8%) 7mo $35,000 $53 65
1377 Allen St 0.70mi 2/1.0 630 (+2%) 1mo $72,000 $114 63
1137 Vermilya Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 660 (+7%) 10mo $25,000 $38 61
1302 Huron St 0.44mi 2/1.0 572 (-7%) 10mo $6,630 $12 59
619 Freeman Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 560 (-9%) 6mo $12,000 $21 58
908 Barrie Ave 0.53mi 2/2.0 660 (+7%) 8mo $9,250 $14 53
955 Paddington Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 660 (+7%) 10mo $16,000 $24 46
1151 Wells St 0.61mi 2/1.0 535 (-13%) 5mo $12,000 $22 46
1169 Carman St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 680 (+10%) 5mo $85,900 $126 42
842 Ossington Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 704 (+14%) 7mo $15,000 $21 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.05×
Total profit
$28,118
Equity at exit
$2,967
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.44×
Total profit
$58,198
Equity at exit
$1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$893 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $722/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$188
Net cashflow
$533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 13d 1 0.12mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 13d 19 0.52mi
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 21d 1 0.54mi
1023 Barrie Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $775 $1.17 21d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  2. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  3. 2026-04-08
    price $19,900 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  4. 2026-04-08
    price $19,900
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  5. 2026-04-05
    price $20,500 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  6. 2026-04-05
    price $20,500
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  7. 2026-03-27
    price $21,000 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  8. 2026-03-27
    price $21,000
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  9. 2026-03-25
    price $22,500 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  10. 2026-03-25
    price $22,500
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  11. 2026-03-18
    price $24,999 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  12. 2026-03-18
    price $24,999
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  13. 2026-03-12
    listed $28,000 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  14. 2026-03-12
    listed $28,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Good bones on this house, interior needs a refresh and bathroom needs a new subfloor due to lack of shower curtain from tub, was not a roof leak . New Furnace and Water heater. Comes with additional adjoined lot ATHERTON PARK LOT 47. Agent owned 24 hour notice

  15. 2022-08-06
    historical
  16. 2022-08-05
    historical
  17. 2022-05-01
    price $45,000
  18. 2022-05-01
    listed $39,999 Active
  19. 2022-05-01
    listed $45,000 Active
  20. 2021-05-07
    historical
  21. 2021-05-07
    historical
  22. 2021-05-04
    listed $35,000 Active
  23. 2021-05-04
    listed $35,000 Active
  24. 2017-11-08
    soldstatus $7,000
  25. 2017-09-21
    soldstatus $7,000
  26. 2017-09-21
    soldstatus $7,000 Closed
  27. 2017-08-29
    status Pending
  28. 2017-07-27
    price $8,000
  29. 2017-07-21
    listed $5,000 Active
  30. 2017-07-21
    listed $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$722 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$722 · $60/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,716
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$722
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$857
− Management
−$857
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$6,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,557
After-tax cash flow
$4,835/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+148.8% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $20,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $20,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $21,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $22,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $22,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $24,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $24,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-05-01 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-05-01 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-05-01 Listed $39,999 REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-04 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-04 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
  • 2017-09-21 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-21 Sold (MLS) $7,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-08-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-27 Price Changed $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-21 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-21 Listed $8,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $722 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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